Szkoła Kursów

Ponte Preta v Criciuma

Początek: 2026-07-08 23:02 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Ponte Preta 1–2 Criciuma

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

45 bukmacherów (17 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Ponte Preta (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 15.60%6.41kurs godziwy
EV +2.51%
Przewaga +0.382%
Kelly +0.451%
Wzrost +0.011%

przy maksymalnym kursie 6.57

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
14.29%15.55%15.62%17.30%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
5.255.815.806.5719.05%17.20%17.24%15.22%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Criciuma (Goście)

Prognoza 58.35%1.71kurs godziwy
EV -4.30%
Przewaga -2.62%
Kelly -6.73%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.64

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
56.46%58.38%58.38%60.29%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.501.581.581.6466.67%63.42%63.29%60.98%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 26.05%3.84kurs godziwy
EV -3.37%
Przewaga -0.908%
Kelly -1.24%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.71

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
25.12%26.07%26.00%26.91%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.403.523.503.7129.41%28.40%28.57%26.95%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (45 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeRemisMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle6.57I 15.22%NM 14.60%EV +2.51%E +0.382%K +0.451%G +0.011%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.56%EV -6.05%E -3.76%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.85%EV -3.37%E -0.908%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 22:59
DraftKings6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV +1.42%E +0.218%K +0.258%G +0.004%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.61%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 23:00
SportsBet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.35%EV +1.42%E +0.218%K +0.258%G +0.004%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.01%EV -7.81%E -4.94%K -13.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-08 22:59
FanDuel6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV +1.42%E +0.218%K +0.258%G +0.004%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.17%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-08 23:00
1xBet6.28I 15.92%NM 14.90%EV -2.01%E -0.321%K -0.381%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.24%EV -7.81%E -4.94%K -13.46%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.86%EV -5.71%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-08 22:59
BetUS6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV -2.48%E -0.397%K -0.473%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.27%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-08 22:59
LowVig.ag6.20I 16.13%NM 15.16%EV -3.26%E -0.526%K -0.627%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.37%EV -6.05%E -3.76%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -7.54%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-08 23:00
BetOnline.ag6.20I 16.13%NM 15.16%EV -3.26%E -0.526%K -0.627%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.37%EV -6.05%E -3.76%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -7.54%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-08 23:00
Tipico (DE)6.20I 16.13%NM 14.59%EV -3.26%E -0.526%K -0.627%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.29%EV -12.47%E -8.32%K -24.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-08 22:59
LeoVegas6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -6.38%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 23:00
Unibet (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -6.38%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.81%E -4.94%K -13.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-08 22:59
Betway6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -6.38%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-08 22:59
Bovada6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -6.38%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.10%EV -7.81%E -4.94%K -13.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -10.14%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-08 22:58
888sport6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -6.38%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-08 22:59
William Hill6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -6.38%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-08 22:59
Mr Green (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -6.38%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-08 22:59
Paddy Power6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -6.38%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.65%EV -10.72%E -7.01%K -20.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-08 23:00
Betsson5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -7.94%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.80%EV -7.81%E -4.94%K -13.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -4.93%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-08 22:59
NordicBet5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -7.94%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.80%EV -7.81%E -4.94%K -13.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -4.93%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-08 22:59
Unibet5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -9.50%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.34%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -4.93%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-08 22:59
Casumo5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -9.50%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.34%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -4.93%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-08 23:00
Unibet (NL)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -9.50%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.34%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -4.93%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-08 23:00
Unibet (SE)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -9.50%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.34%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -4.93%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-08 23:00
ATG (SE)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -9.50%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.34%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -4.93%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-08 23:00
Svenska Spel5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -9.50%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.34%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -4.93%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-08 23:00
betPARX5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -9.50%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.34%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -4.93%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-08 23:00
Marathon Bet5.80I 17.24%NM 15.97%EV -9.50%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.88%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.16%EV -7.80%E -2.20%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-08 22:59
Codere (IT)5.80I 17.24%NM 15.80%EV -9.50%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.74%EV -8.97%E -5.75%K -16.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-08 23:00
Coolbet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.26%EV -10.28%E -1.79%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.02%EV -4.30%E -2.62%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 22:58
888sport (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 15.91%EV -10.28%E -1.79%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.18%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-08 22:59
Bet Victor5.75I 17.39%NM 15.62%EV -10.28%E -1.79%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.96%EV -9.56%E -6.17%K -17.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.42%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-08 23:00
PointsBet (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -14.18%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.46%EV -5.47%E -3.38%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-08 22:59
BetRivers5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -14.18%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.99%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.43%EV -10.14%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-08 22:51
BetMGM5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -14.18%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.67%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-08 22:59
Grosvenor5.50I 18.18%NM 16.28%EV -14.18%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.77%EV -9.56%E -6.17%K -17.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.95%EV -10.14%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-08 22:59
BoyleSports5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -14.18%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.30%EV -10.72%E -7.01%K -20.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-08 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)5.40I 18.52%NM 16.53%EV -15.74%E -2.92%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.59%EV -9.56%E -6.17%K -17.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.88%EV -10.14%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-08 22:59
TABtouch5.40I 18.52%NM 16.47%EV -15.74%E -2.92%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.75%EV -10.14%E -6.58%K -18.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.78%EV -10.14%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-08 22:59
LiveScore Bet5.30I 18.87%NM 16.54%EV -17.30%E -3.26%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 57.68%EV -11.31%E -7.44%K -21.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-08 23:00
Virgin Bet5.30I 18.87%NM 16.54%EV -17.30%E -3.26%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 57.68%EV -11.31%E -7.44%K -21.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-08 23:00
PlayUp5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -18.08%E -3.44%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-08 22:59
Ladbrokes (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -18.08%E -3.44%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.79%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-08 22:59
Ladbrokes (AU)5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -18.08%E -3.44%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.79%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-08 22:59
Neds5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -18.08%E -3.44%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.79%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-08 22:59
Coral5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -18.08%E -3.44%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.79%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-08 23:00
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)7.20I 13.89%NM 13.87%1.66I 60.24%NM 60.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.95%0.1%2026-07-08 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)7.20I 13.89%NM 13.82%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.85%0.5%2026-07-08 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)7.20I 13.89%NM 13.82%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.85%0.5%2026-07-08 23:00
Smarkets7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.76%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.57%1.6%2026-07-08 23:00
Matchbook7.40I 13.51%NM 13.29%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.48%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.22%1.7%2026-07-08 23:00