Language:English
Londrina v Ponte Preta
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Londrina (Local)
Prediction 69.81%1.43fair odd
EV -4.37%
Edge -3.19%
Kelly -11.80%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.37
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.55%69.98%69.87%72.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.311.301.3780.00%76.49%76.92%72.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ponte Preta (Visit)
Prediction 10.80%9.26fair odd
EV +3.13%
Edge +0.327%
Kelly +0.366%
Growth +0.011%
assuming max odds 9.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.49%10.69%10.79%12.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.508.688.509.5513.33%11.53%11.76%10.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 19.40%5.16fair odd
EV -3.02%
Edge -0.604%
Kelly -0.755%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.40%19.33%19.34%20.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.404.774.755.0022.73%20.98%21.05%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Londrina (Local): 69.81%; Ponte Preta (Visit): 10.80%; Draw: 19.40%. For Ponte Preta (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.26. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.13%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.57%EV -6.46%E -4.82%K -19.00%G +0.000% | 9.55I 10.47%NM 9.76%EV +3.13%E +0.327%K +0.366%G +0.011% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 20.67%EV -12.52%E -2.78%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-15 22:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.43%EV -8.55%E -6.53%K -27.60%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV +2.59%E +0.272%K +0.304%G +0.008% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.58%EV -7.86%E -5.95%K -24.55%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV +2.59%E +0.272%K +0.304%G +0.008% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV +2.59%E +0.272%K +0.304%G +0.008% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-15 22:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV +2.59%E +0.272%K +0.304%G +0.008% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-15 22:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV +2.59%E +0.272%K +0.304%G +0.008% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-15 22:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV +2.59%E +0.272%K +0.304%G +0.008% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-15 22:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV +2.59%E +0.272%K +0.304%G +0.008% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-15 22:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV +2.59%E +0.272%K +0.304%G +0.008% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-15 22:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV +2.59%E +0.272%K +0.304%G +0.008% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-15 22:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV +2.59%E +0.272%K +0.304%G +0.008% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.11%EV -12.74%E -10.19%K -50.97%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.49%EV +2.59%E +0.272%K +0.304%G +0.008% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.40%EV -4.96%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.52%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -2.81%E -0.313%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-15 22:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.39%EV -10.65%E -8.32%K -38.03%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.15%EV -2.81%E -0.313%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.46%EV -3.99%E -0.806%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.39%EV -10.65%E -8.32%K -38.03%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.15%EV -2.81%E -0.313%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.46%EV -3.99%E -0.806%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.86%EV -11.35%E -8.93%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -2.81%E -0.313%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.15%EV -8.84%E -1.88%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-15 22:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.86%EV -11.35%E -8.93%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -2.81%E -0.313%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.15%EV -8.84%E -1.88%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-15 22:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.86%EV -11.35%E -8.93%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -2.81%E -0.313%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.15%EV -8.84%E -1.88%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-15 22:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.76%EV -4.37%E -3.19%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 8.94I 11.19%NM 10.69%EV -3.46%E -0.387%K -0.436%G +0.000% | 4.89I 20.45%NM 19.55%EV -5.15%E -1.05%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.74%EV -7.86%E -5.95%K -24.55%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.46%EV -4.97%E -0.565%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.80%EV -9.81%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.56%EV -5.06%E -3.72%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.13%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.31%EV -4.96%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.30%EV -5.76%E -4.27%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -7.16%E -5.38%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.93%EV -8.55%E -6.53%K -27.60%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.87%EV -7.16%E -5.38%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -12.72%E -2.83%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.87%EV -7.16%E -5.38%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -12.72%E -2.83%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.87%EV -7.16%E -5.38%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -12.72%E -2.83%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.87%EV -7.16%E -5.38%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -12.72%E -2.83%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.55%EV -7.16%E -5.38%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.73%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -14.66%E -3.33%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.44%EV -11.35%E -8.93%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.52%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.03%EV -8.84%E -1.88%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-15 21:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.91%EV -12.74%E -10.19%K -50.97%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.43%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.66%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.91%EV -12.74%E -10.19%K -50.97%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.43%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.66%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 70.32%EV -12.05%E -9.56%K -46.33%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.42%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.26%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-15 22:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.88%EV -5.76%E -4.27%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.34%EV -11.45%E -1.40%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -8.84%E -1.88%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.88%EV -5.76%E -4.27%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.34%EV -11.45%E -1.40%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -8.84%E -1.88%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.88%EV -5.76%E -4.27%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.34%EV -11.45%E -1.40%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -8.84%E -1.88%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.80%EV -8.55%E -6.53%K -27.60%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.15%EV -11.45%E -1.40%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -6.90%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.16%E -5.38%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -13.61%E -1.70%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -6.90%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.55%EV -6.46%E -4.82%K -19.00%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -13.61%E -1.70%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.20%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.24%EV -13.61%E -1.70%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.20%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.24%EV -13.61%E -1.70%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.90%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.20%EV -13.61%E -1.70%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -12.72%E -2.83%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -19.01%E -2.53%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -6.90%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -19.01%E -2.53%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -6.90%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -19.01%E -2.53%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -6.90%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -19.01%E -2.53%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -6.90%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.70% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.49% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.81% | 0.3% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.70% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.49% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.81% | 0.3% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.70% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.49% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.81% | 0.3% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.85% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.44% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 0.9% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.66% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.82% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.52% | 1.9% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |