Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Londrina v Ponte Preta

Inizio: 2026-09-15 22:30 UTC

Finale: Londrina 6–0 Ponte Preta

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

46 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Londrina (Casa)

Previsione 69.81%1.43quota equa
EV -4.37%
Vantaggio -3.19%
Kelly -11.80%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.37

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
68.55%69.98%69.87%72.11%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.251.311.301.3780.00%76.49%76.92%72.99%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Ponte Preta (Trasferta)

Previsione 10.80%9.26quota equa
EV +3.13%
Vantaggio +0.327%
Kelly +0.366%
Crescita +0.011%

ipotizzando la quota massima 9.55

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
9.49%10.69%10.79%12.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
7.508.688.509.5513.33%11.53%11.76%10.47%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 19.40%5.16quota equa
EV -3.02%
Vantaggio -0.604%
Kelly -0.755%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.40%19.33%19.34%20.72%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.404.774.755.0022.73%20.98%21.05%20.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Londrina (Casa): 69.81%; Ponte Preta (Trasferta): 10.80%; Pareggio: 19.40%. Per Ponte Preta (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 9.26. 12 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 9.55, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +3.13%.

Quote dei bookmaker (46 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.57%EV -6.46%E -4.82%K -19.00%G +0.000%9.55I 10.47%NM 9.76%EV +3.13%E +0.327%K +0.366%G +0.011%4.51I 22.17%NM 20.67%EV -12.52%E -2.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-15 22:19
SportsBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.43%EV -8.55%E -6.53%K -27.60%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV +2.59%E +0.272%K +0.304%G +0.008%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 22:20
Coolbet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.58%EV -7.86%E -5.95%K -24.55%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV +2.59%E +0.272%K +0.304%G +0.008%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-15 22:20
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV +2.59%E +0.272%K +0.304%G +0.008%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-15 22:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV +2.59%E +0.272%K +0.304%G +0.008%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-15 22:00
Casumo🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV +2.59%E +0.272%K +0.304%G +0.008%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-15 22:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV +2.59%E +0.272%K +0.304%G +0.008%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-15 22:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV +2.59%E +0.272%K +0.304%G +0.008%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-15 22:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV +2.59%E +0.272%K +0.304%G +0.008%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-15 22:00
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV +2.59%E +0.272%K +0.304%G +0.008%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-15 22:00
FanDuel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV +2.59%E +0.272%K +0.304%G +0.008%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-15 22:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.11%EV -12.74%E -10.19%K -50.97%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.49%EV +2.59%E +0.272%K +0.304%G +0.008%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.40%EV -4.96%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-15 22:20
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.52%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -2.81%E -0.313%K -0.352%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-15 22:00
NordicBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.39%EV -10.65%E -8.32%K -38.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.15%EV -2.81%E -0.313%K -0.352%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.46%EV -3.99%E -0.806%K -1.01%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-15 22:20
Betsson🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.39%EV -10.65%E -8.32%K -38.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.15%EV -2.81%E -0.313%K -0.352%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.46%EV -3.99%E -0.806%K -1.01%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-15 22:20
Grosvenor🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 70.86%EV -11.35%E -8.93%K -42.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -2.81%E -0.313%K -0.352%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.15%EV -8.84%E -1.88%K -2.39%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-15 22:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 70.86%EV -11.35%E -8.93%K -42.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -2.81%E -0.313%K -0.352%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.15%EV -8.84%E -1.88%K -2.39%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-15 22:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 70.86%EV -11.35%E -8.93%K -42.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -2.81%E -0.313%K -0.352%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.15%EV -8.84%E -1.88%K -2.39%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-15 22:00
Pinnacle🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.76%EV -4.37%E -3.19%K -11.80%G +0.000%8.94I 11.19%NM 10.69%EV -3.46%E -0.387%K -0.436%G +0.000%4.89I 20.45%NM 19.55%EV -5.15%E -1.05%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-15 22:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.74%EV -7.86%E -5.95%K -24.55%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.46%EV -4.97%E -0.565%K -0.638%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.80%EV -9.81%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-15 22:25
DraftKings🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.56%EV -5.06%E -3.72%K -14.07%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.13%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.31%EV -4.96%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-15 22:25
Betway🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.30%EV -5.76%E -4.27%K -16.46%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 22:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -7.16%E -5.38%K -21.69%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-15 22:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 69.93%EV -8.55%E -6.53%K -27.60%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-15 22:20
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.87%EV -7.16%E -5.38%K -21.69%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -12.72%E -2.83%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-15 22:20
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.87%EV -7.16%E -5.38%K -21.69%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -12.72%E -2.83%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-15 22:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.87%EV -7.16%E -5.38%K -21.69%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -12.72%E -2.83%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-15 22:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.87%EV -7.16%E -5.38%K -21.69%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -12.72%E -2.83%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-15 22:20
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.55%EV -7.16%E -5.38%K -21.69%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.73%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -14.66%E -3.33%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-15 22:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 70.44%EV -11.35%E -8.93%K -42.03%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.52%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.03%EV -8.84%E -1.88%K -2.39%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-15 21:25
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.91%EV -12.74%E -10.19%K -50.97%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.43%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.66%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-15 22:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.91%EV -12.74%E -10.19%K -50.97%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.43%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.66%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-15 22:20
TABtouch🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 70.32%EV -12.05%E -9.56%K -46.33%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.42%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.26%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-15 22:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.88%EV -5.76%E -4.27%K -16.46%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.34%EV -11.45%E -1.40%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -8.84%E -1.88%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-15 22:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.88%EV -5.76%E -4.27%K -16.46%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.34%EV -11.45%E -1.40%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -8.84%E -1.88%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-15 22:25
BetUS🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.88%EV -5.76%E -4.27%K -16.46%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.34%EV -11.45%E -1.40%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -8.84%E -1.88%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-15 22:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 69.80%EV -8.55%E -6.53%K -27.60%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.15%EV -11.45%E -1.40%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -6.90%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-15 22:20
BetMGM🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.16%E -5.38%K -21.69%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -13.61%E -1.70%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -6.90%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-15 22:25
Bovada🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.55%EV -6.46%E -4.82%K -19.00%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -13.61%E -1.70%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-15 22:25
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.20%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.24%EV -13.61%E -1.70%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-15 22:20
betano_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.20%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.24%EV -13.61%E -1.70%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-15 22:25
BoyleSports🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.90%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.20%EV -13.61%E -1.70%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -12.72%E -2.83%K -3.63%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-15 22:20
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -19.01%E -2.53%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -6.90%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-15 22:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -19.01%E -2.53%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -6.90%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-15 22:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -19.01%E -2.53%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -6.90%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-15 22:25
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -19.01%E -2.53%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -6.90%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-15 22:25
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.70%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.49%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.81%0.3%2026-09-15 22:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.70%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.49%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.81%0.3%2026-09-15 22:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.70%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.49%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.81%0.3%2026-09-15 22:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.85%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.44%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%0.9%2026-09-15 22:25
Smarkets◎1.37I 72.99%NM 71.66%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.82%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.52%1.9%2026-09-15 22:25