Idioma:Español
Londrina v Ponte Preta
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Londrina (Local)
Predicción 69.81%1.43momio equitativo
EV -4.37%
Ventaja -3.19%
Kelly -11.80%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.37
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.55%69.98%69.87%72.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.251.311.301.3780.00%76.49%76.92%72.99%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Ponte Preta (Visitante)
Predicción 10.80%9.26momio equitativo
EV +3.13%
Ventaja +0.327%
Kelly +0.366%
Crecimiento +0.011%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 9.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
9.49%10.69%10.79%12.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
7.508.688.509.5513.33%11.53%11.76%10.47%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 19.40%5.16momio equitativo
EV -3.02%
Ventaja -0.604%
Kelly -0.755%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.40%19.33%19.34%20.72%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.404.774.755.0022.73%20.98%21.05%20.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Londrina (Local): 69.81%; Ponte Preta (Visitante): 10.80%; Empate: 19.40%. Para Ponte Preta (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 9.26. 12 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 9.55, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.13%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.57%EV -6.46%E -4.82%K -19.00%G +0.000% | 9.55I 10.47%NM 9.76%EV +3.13%E +0.327%K +0.366%G +0.011% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 20.67%EV -12.52%E -2.78%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-15 22:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.43%EV -8.55%E -6.53%K -27.60%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV +2.59%E +0.272%K +0.304%G +0.008% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.58%EV -7.86%E -5.95%K -24.55%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV +2.59%E +0.272%K +0.304%G +0.008% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV +2.59%E +0.272%K +0.304%G +0.008% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-15 22:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV +2.59%E +0.272%K +0.304%G +0.008% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-15 22:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV +2.59%E +0.272%K +0.304%G +0.008% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-15 22:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV +2.59%E +0.272%K +0.304%G +0.008% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-15 22:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV +2.59%E +0.272%K +0.304%G +0.008% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-15 22:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV +2.59%E +0.272%K +0.304%G +0.008% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-15 22:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV +2.59%E +0.272%K +0.304%G +0.008% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-15 22:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV +2.59%E +0.272%K +0.304%G +0.008% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.11%EV -12.74%E -10.19%K -50.97%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.49%EV +2.59%E +0.272%K +0.304%G +0.008% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.40%EV -4.96%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.52%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -2.81%E -0.313%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-15 22:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.39%EV -10.65%E -8.32%K -38.03%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.15%EV -2.81%E -0.313%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.46%EV -3.99%E -0.806%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.39%EV -10.65%E -8.32%K -38.03%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.15%EV -2.81%E -0.313%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.46%EV -3.99%E -0.806%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.86%EV -11.35%E -8.93%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -2.81%E -0.313%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.15%EV -8.84%E -1.88%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-15 22:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.86%EV -11.35%E -8.93%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -2.81%E -0.313%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.15%EV -8.84%E -1.88%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-15 22:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.86%EV -11.35%E -8.93%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -2.81%E -0.313%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.15%EV -8.84%E -1.88%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-15 22:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.76%EV -4.37%E -3.19%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 8.94I 11.19%NM 10.69%EV -3.46%E -0.387%K -0.436%G +0.000% | 4.89I 20.45%NM 19.55%EV -5.15%E -1.05%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.74%EV -7.86%E -5.95%K -24.55%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.46%EV -4.97%E -0.565%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.80%EV -9.81%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.56%EV -5.06%E -3.72%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.13%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.31%EV -4.96%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.30%EV -5.76%E -4.27%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -7.16%E -5.38%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.93%EV -8.55%E -6.53%K -27.60%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.87%EV -7.16%E -5.38%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -12.72%E -2.83%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.87%EV -7.16%E -5.38%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -12.72%E -2.83%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.87%EV -7.16%E -5.38%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -12.72%E -2.83%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.87%EV -7.16%E -5.38%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -12.72%E -2.83%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.55%EV -7.16%E -5.38%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.73%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -14.66%E -3.33%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.44%EV -11.35%E -8.93%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.52%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.03%EV -8.84%E -1.88%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-15 21:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.91%EV -12.74%E -10.19%K -50.97%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.43%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.66%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.91%EV -12.74%E -10.19%K -50.97%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.43%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.66%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 70.32%EV -12.05%E -9.56%K -46.33%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.42%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.26%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-15 22:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.88%EV -5.76%E -4.27%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.34%EV -11.45%E -1.40%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -8.84%E -1.88%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.88%EV -5.76%E -4.27%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.34%EV -11.45%E -1.40%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -8.84%E -1.88%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.88%EV -5.76%E -4.27%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.34%EV -11.45%E -1.40%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -8.84%E -1.88%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.80%EV -8.55%E -6.53%K -27.60%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.15%EV -11.45%E -1.40%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -6.90%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.16%E -5.38%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -13.61%E -1.70%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -6.90%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.55%EV -6.46%E -4.82%K -19.00%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -13.61%E -1.70%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.20%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.24%EV -13.61%E -1.70%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.20%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.24%EV -13.61%E -1.70%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.90%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.20%EV -13.61%E -1.70%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -12.72%E -2.83%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -19.01%E -2.53%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -6.90%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -19.01%E -2.53%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -6.90%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -19.01%E -2.53%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -6.90%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -19.01%E -2.53%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -6.90%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.70% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.49% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.81% | 0.3% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.70% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.49% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.81% | 0.3% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.70% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.49% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.81% | 0.3% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.85% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.44% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 0.9% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.66% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.82% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.52% | 1.9% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |