语言:简体中文
Londrina v Ponte Preta
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Londrina (主队)
预测 69.81%1.43公平赔率
EV -4.37%
优势 -3.19%
Kelly -11.80%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.37
博彩公司预测分布
68.55%69.98%69.87%72.11%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.251.311.301.3780.00%76.49%76.92%72.99%最小值均值中位数最大值
Ponte Preta (客队)
预测 10.80%9.26公平赔率
EV +3.13%
优势 +0.327%
Kelly +0.366%
增长率 +0.011%
假设最高赔率为 9.55
博彩公司预测分布
9.49%10.69%10.79%12.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
7.508.688.509.5513.33%11.53%11.76%10.47%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 19.40%5.16公平赔率
EV -3.02%
优势 -0.604%
Kelly -0.755%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 5.00
博彩公司预测分布
18.40%19.33%19.34%20.72%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.404.774.755.0022.73%20.98%21.05%20.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Londrina (主队)：69.81%；Ponte Preta (客队)：10.80%；平局：19.40%。 对于“Ponte Preta (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为9.26。 当时有12家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为9.55，对应+3.13%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (46 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.57%EV -6.46%E -4.82%K -19.00%G +0.000% | 9.55I 10.47%NM 9.76%EV +3.13%E +0.327%K +0.366%G +0.011% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 20.67%EV -12.52%E -2.78%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-15 22:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.43%EV -8.55%E -6.53%K -27.60%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV +2.59%E +0.272%K +0.304%G +0.008% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.58%EV -7.86%E -5.95%K -24.55%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV +2.59%E +0.272%K +0.304%G +0.008% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV +2.59%E +0.272%K +0.304%G +0.008% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-15 22:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV +2.59%E +0.272%K +0.304%G +0.008% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-15 22:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV +2.59%E +0.272%K +0.304%G +0.008% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-15 22:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV +2.59%E +0.272%K +0.304%G +0.008% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-15 22:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV +2.59%E +0.272%K +0.304%G +0.008% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-15 22:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV +2.59%E +0.272%K +0.304%G +0.008% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-15 22:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV +2.59%E +0.272%K +0.304%G +0.008% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-15 22:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV +2.59%E +0.272%K +0.304%G +0.008% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.11%EV -12.74%E -10.19%K -50.97%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.49%EV +2.59%E +0.272%K +0.304%G +0.008% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.40%EV -4.96%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.52%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -2.81%E -0.313%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-15 22:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.39%EV -10.65%E -8.32%K -38.03%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.15%EV -2.81%E -0.313%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.46%EV -3.99%E -0.806%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.39%EV -10.65%E -8.32%K -38.03%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.15%EV -2.81%E -0.313%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.46%EV -3.99%E -0.806%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.86%EV -11.35%E -8.93%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -2.81%E -0.313%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.15%EV -8.84%E -1.88%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-15 22:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.86%EV -11.35%E -8.93%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -2.81%E -0.313%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.15%EV -8.84%E -1.88%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-15 22:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.86%EV -11.35%E -8.93%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -2.81%E -0.313%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.15%EV -8.84%E -1.88%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-15 22:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.76%EV -4.37%E -3.19%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 8.94I 11.19%NM 10.69%EV -3.46%E -0.387%K -0.436%G +0.000% | 4.89I 20.45%NM 19.55%EV -5.15%E -1.05%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.74%EV -7.86%E -5.95%K -24.55%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.46%EV -4.97%E -0.565%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.80%EV -9.81%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.56%EV -5.06%E -3.72%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.13%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.31%EV -4.96%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.30%EV -5.76%E -4.27%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -7.16%E -5.38%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.93%EV -8.55%E -6.53%K -27.60%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.87%EV -7.16%E -5.38%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -12.72%E -2.83%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.87%EV -7.16%E -5.38%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -12.72%E -2.83%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.87%EV -7.16%E -5.38%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -12.72%E -2.83%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.87%EV -7.16%E -5.38%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -12.72%E -2.83%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.55%EV -7.16%E -5.38%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.73%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -14.66%E -3.33%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.44%EV -11.35%E -8.93%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.52%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.03%EV -8.84%E -1.88%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-15 21:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.91%EV -12.74%E -10.19%K -50.97%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.43%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.66%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.91%EV -12.74%E -10.19%K -50.97%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.43%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.66%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 70.32%EV -12.05%E -9.56%K -46.33%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.42%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.26%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-15 22:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.88%EV -5.76%E -4.27%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.34%EV -11.45%E -1.40%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -8.84%E -1.88%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.88%EV -5.76%E -4.27%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.34%EV -11.45%E -1.40%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -8.84%E -1.88%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.88%EV -5.76%E -4.27%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.34%EV -11.45%E -1.40%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -8.84%E -1.88%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.80%EV -8.55%E -6.53%K -27.60%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.15%EV -11.45%E -1.40%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -6.90%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.16%E -5.38%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -13.61%E -1.70%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -6.90%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.55%EV -6.46%E -4.82%K -19.00%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -13.61%E -1.70%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.20%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.24%EV -13.61%E -1.70%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.20%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.24%EV -13.61%E -1.70%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.90%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.20%EV -13.61%E -1.70%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -12.72%E -2.83%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -19.01%E -2.53%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -6.90%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -19.01%E -2.53%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -6.90%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -19.01%E -2.53%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -6.90%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -19.01%E -2.53%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -6.90%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.70% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.49% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.81% | 0.3% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.70% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.49% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.81% | 0.3% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.70% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.49% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.81% | 0.3% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.85% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.44% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 0.9% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.66% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.82% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.52% | 1.9% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |