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Londrina v Ponte Preta
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Londrina (Хозяева)
Прогноз 69.81%1.43справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.37%
Преимущество -3.19%
Kelly -11.80%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.37
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
68.55%69.98%69.87%72.11%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.251.311.301.3780.00%76.49%76.92%72.99%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ponte Preta (Гости)
Прогноз 10.80%9.26справедливый коэффициент
EV +3.13%
Преимущество +0.327%
Kelly +0.366%
Рост +0.011%
при максимальном коэффициенте 9.55
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
9.49%10.69%10.79%12.00%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
7.508.688.509.5513.33%11.53%11.76%10.47%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 19.40%5.16справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.02%
Преимущество -0.604%
Kelly -0.755%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 5.00
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
18.40%19.33%19.34%20.72%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.404.774.755.0022.73%20.98%21.05%20.00%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Londrina (Хозяева): 69.81%; Ponte Preta (Гости): 10.80%; Ничья: 19.40%. Для исхода «Ponte Preta (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 9.26. 12 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 9.55, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +3.13%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (46 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.57%EV -6.46%E -4.82%K -19.00%G +0.000% | 9.55I 10.47%NM 9.76%EV +3.13%E +0.327%K +0.366%G +0.011% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 20.67%EV -12.52%E -2.78%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-15 22:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.43%EV -8.55%E -6.53%K -27.60%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV +2.59%E +0.272%K +0.304%G +0.008% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.58%EV -7.86%E -5.95%K -24.55%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV +2.59%E +0.272%K +0.304%G +0.008% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV +2.59%E +0.272%K +0.304%G +0.008% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-15 22:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV +2.59%E +0.272%K +0.304%G +0.008% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-15 22:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV +2.59%E +0.272%K +0.304%G +0.008% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-15 22:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV +2.59%E +0.272%K +0.304%G +0.008% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-15 22:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV +2.59%E +0.272%K +0.304%G +0.008% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-15 22:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV +2.59%E +0.272%K +0.304%G +0.008% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-15 22:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV +2.59%E +0.272%K +0.304%G +0.008% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-15 22:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV +2.59%E +0.272%K +0.304%G +0.008% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.11%EV -12.74%E -10.19%K -50.97%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.49%EV +2.59%E +0.272%K +0.304%G +0.008% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.40%EV -4.96%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.52%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -2.81%E -0.313%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-15 22:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.39%EV -10.65%E -8.32%K -38.03%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.15%EV -2.81%E -0.313%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.46%EV -3.99%E -0.806%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.39%EV -10.65%E -8.32%K -38.03%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.15%EV -2.81%E -0.313%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.46%EV -3.99%E -0.806%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.86%EV -11.35%E -8.93%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -2.81%E -0.313%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.15%EV -8.84%E -1.88%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-15 22:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.86%EV -11.35%E -8.93%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -2.81%E -0.313%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.15%EV -8.84%E -1.88%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-15 22:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.86%EV -11.35%E -8.93%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -2.81%E -0.313%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.15%EV -8.84%E -1.88%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-15 22:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.76%EV -4.37%E -3.19%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 8.94I 11.19%NM 10.69%EV -3.46%E -0.387%K -0.436%G +0.000% | 4.89I 20.45%NM 19.55%EV -5.15%E -1.05%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.74%EV -7.86%E -5.95%K -24.55%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.46%EV -4.97%E -0.565%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.80%EV -9.81%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.56%EV -5.06%E -3.72%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.13%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.31%EV -4.96%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.30%EV -5.76%E -4.27%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -7.16%E -5.38%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.93%EV -8.55%E -6.53%K -27.60%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.87%EV -7.16%E -5.38%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -12.72%E -2.83%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.87%EV -7.16%E -5.38%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -12.72%E -2.83%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.87%EV -7.16%E -5.38%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -12.72%E -2.83%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.87%EV -7.16%E -5.38%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -12.72%E -2.83%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.55%EV -7.16%E -5.38%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.73%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -14.66%E -3.33%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.44%EV -11.35%E -8.93%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.52%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.03%EV -8.84%E -1.88%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-15 21:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.91%EV -12.74%E -10.19%K -50.97%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.43%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.66%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.91%EV -12.74%E -10.19%K -50.97%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.43%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.66%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 70.32%EV -12.05%E -9.56%K -46.33%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.42%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.26%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-15 22:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.88%EV -5.76%E -4.27%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.34%EV -11.45%E -1.40%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -8.84%E -1.88%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.88%EV -5.76%E -4.27%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.34%EV -11.45%E -1.40%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -8.84%E -1.88%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.88%EV -5.76%E -4.27%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.34%EV -11.45%E -1.40%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -8.84%E -1.88%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.80%EV -8.55%E -6.53%K -27.60%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.15%EV -11.45%E -1.40%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -6.90%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.16%E -5.38%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -13.61%E -1.70%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -6.90%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.55%EV -6.46%E -4.82%K -19.00%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -13.61%E -1.70%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.20%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.24%EV -13.61%E -1.70%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.20%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.24%EV -13.61%E -1.70%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.90%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.20%EV -13.61%E -1.70%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -12.72%E -2.83%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-15 22:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -19.01%E -2.53%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -6.90%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -19.01%E -2.53%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -6.90%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -19.01%E -2.53%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -6.90%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -19.01%E -2.53%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -6.90%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (5)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.70% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.49% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.81% | 0.3% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.70% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.49% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.81% | 0.3% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.70% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.49% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.81% | 0.3% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.85% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.44% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 0.9% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.66% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.82% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.52% | 1.9% | 2026-09-15 22:25 |