StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Londrina v Ponte Preta

Spielbeginn: 2026-09-15 22:30 UTC

Endstand: Londrina 6–0 Ponte Preta

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

46 Wettanbieter (17 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Londrina (Heim)

Prognose 69.81%1.43faire Quote
EV -4.37%
Vorteil -3.19%
Kelly -11.80%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.37

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
68.55%69.98%69.87%72.11%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.251.311.301.3780.00%76.49%76.92%72.99%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Ponte Preta (Auswärts)

Prognose 10.80%9.26faire Quote
EV +3.13%
Vorteil +0.327%
Kelly +0.366%
Wachstum +0.011%

bei einer Höchstquote von 9.55

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
9.49%10.69%10.79%12.00%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
7.508.688.509.5513.33%11.53%11.76%10.47%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 19.40%5.16faire Quote
EV -3.02%
Vorteil -0.604%
Kelly -0.755%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 5.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
18.40%19.33%19.34%20.72%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.404.774.755.0022.73%20.98%21.05%20.00%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Londrina (Heim): 69.81%; Ponte Preta (Auswärts): 10.80%; Unentschieden: 19.40%. Für Ponte Preta (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 9.26. 12 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 9.55 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +3.13%.

Wettanbieterquoten (46 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
1xBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.57%EV -6.46%E -4.82%K -19.00%G +0.000%9.55I 10.47%NM 9.76%EV +3.13%E +0.327%K +0.366%G +0.011%4.51I 22.17%NM 20.67%EV -12.52%E -2.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-15 22:19
SportsBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.43%EV -8.55%E -6.53%K -27.60%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV +2.59%E +0.272%K +0.304%G +0.008%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 22:20
Coolbet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.58%EV -7.86%E -5.95%K -24.55%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV +2.59%E +0.272%K +0.304%G +0.008%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-15 22:20
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV +2.59%E +0.272%K +0.304%G +0.008%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-15 22:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV +2.59%E +0.272%K +0.304%G +0.008%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-15 22:00
Casumo🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV +2.59%E +0.272%K +0.304%G +0.008%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-15 22:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV +2.59%E +0.272%K +0.304%G +0.008%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-15 22:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV +2.59%E +0.272%K +0.304%G +0.008%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-15 22:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV +2.59%E +0.272%K +0.304%G +0.008%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-15 22:00
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV +2.59%E +0.272%K +0.304%G +0.008%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-15 22:00
FanDuel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV +2.59%E +0.272%K +0.304%G +0.008%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-15 22:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.11%EV -12.74%E -10.19%K -50.97%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.49%EV +2.59%E +0.272%K +0.304%G +0.008%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.40%EV -4.96%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-15 22:20
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.52%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -2.81%E -0.313%K -0.352%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-15 22:00
NordicBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.39%EV -10.65%E -8.32%K -38.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.15%EV -2.81%E -0.313%K -0.352%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.46%EV -3.99%E -0.806%K -1.01%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-15 22:20
Betsson🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.39%EV -10.65%E -8.32%K -38.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.15%EV -2.81%E -0.313%K -0.352%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.46%EV -3.99%E -0.806%K -1.01%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-15 22:20
Grosvenor🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 70.86%EV -11.35%E -8.93%K -42.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -2.81%E -0.313%K -0.352%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.15%EV -8.84%E -1.88%K -2.39%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-15 22:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 70.86%EV -11.35%E -8.93%K -42.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -2.81%E -0.313%K -0.352%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.15%EV -8.84%E -1.88%K -2.39%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-15 22:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 70.86%EV -11.35%E -8.93%K -42.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -2.81%E -0.313%K -0.352%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.15%EV -8.84%E -1.88%K -2.39%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-15 22:00
Pinnacle🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.76%EV -4.37%E -3.19%K -11.80%G +0.000%8.94I 11.19%NM 10.69%EV -3.46%E -0.387%K -0.436%G +0.000%4.89I 20.45%NM 19.55%EV -5.15%E -1.05%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-15 22:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.74%EV -7.86%E -5.95%K -24.55%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.46%EV -4.97%E -0.565%K -0.638%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.80%EV -9.81%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-15 22:25
DraftKings🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.56%EV -5.06%E -3.72%K -14.07%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.13%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.31%EV -4.96%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-15 22:25
Betway🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.30%EV -5.76%E -4.27%K -16.46%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 22:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -7.16%E -5.38%K -21.69%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-15 22:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 69.93%EV -8.55%E -6.53%K -27.60%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-15 22:20
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.87%EV -7.16%E -5.38%K -21.69%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -12.72%E -2.83%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-15 22:20
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.87%EV -7.16%E -5.38%K -21.69%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -12.72%E -2.83%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-15 22:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.87%EV -7.16%E -5.38%K -21.69%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -12.72%E -2.83%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-15 22:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.87%EV -7.16%E -5.38%K -21.69%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -12.72%E -2.83%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-15 22:20
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.55%EV -7.16%E -5.38%K -21.69%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.73%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -14.66%E -3.33%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-15 22:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 70.44%EV -11.35%E -8.93%K -42.03%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.52%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.03%EV -8.84%E -1.88%K -2.39%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-15 21:25
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.91%EV -12.74%E -10.19%K -50.97%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.43%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.66%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-15 22:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.91%EV -12.74%E -10.19%K -50.97%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.43%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.66%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-15 22:20
TABtouch🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 70.32%EV -12.05%E -9.56%K -46.33%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.42%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.26%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-15 22:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.88%EV -5.76%E -4.27%K -16.46%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.34%EV -11.45%E -1.40%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -8.84%E -1.88%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-15 22:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.88%EV -5.76%E -4.27%K -16.46%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.34%EV -11.45%E -1.40%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -8.84%E -1.88%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-15 22:25
BetUS🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.88%EV -5.76%E -4.27%K -16.46%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.34%EV -11.45%E -1.40%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -8.84%E -1.88%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-15 22:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 69.80%EV -8.55%E -6.53%K -27.60%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.15%EV -11.45%E -1.40%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -6.90%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-15 22:20
BetMGM🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.16%E -5.38%K -21.69%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -13.61%E -1.70%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -6.90%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-15 22:25
Bovada🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.55%EV -6.46%E -4.82%K -19.00%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -13.61%E -1.70%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-15 22:25
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.20%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.24%EV -13.61%E -1.70%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-15 22:20
betano_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.20%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.24%EV -13.61%E -1.70%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-15 22:25
BoyleSports🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.90%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.20%EV -13.61%E -1.70%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -12.72%E -2.83%K -3.63%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-15 22:20
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -19.01%E -2.53%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -6.90%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-15 22:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -19.01%E -2.53%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -6.90%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-15 22:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -19.01%E -2.53%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -6.90%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-15 22:25
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -19.01%E -2.53%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -6.90%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-15 22:25
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.70%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.49%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.81%0.3%2026-09-15 22:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.70%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.49%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.81%0.3%2026-09-15 22:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.70%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.49%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.81%0.3%2026-09-15 22:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.85%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.44%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%0.9%2026-09-15 22:25
Smarkets◎1.37I 72.99%NM 71.66%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.82%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.52%1.9%2026-09-15 22:25