StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Londrina v Ponte Preta

Matchstart: 2026-09-15 22:30 UTC

Slutresultat: Londrina 6–0 Ponte Preta

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

46 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Londrina (Hemma)

Prognos 69.81%1.43rättvist odds
EV -4.37%
Fördel -3.19%
Kelly -11.80%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.37

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
68.55%69.98%69.87%72.11%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.251.311.301.3780.00%76.49%76.92%72.99%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Ponte Preta (Borta)

Prognos 10.80%9.26rättvist odds
EV +3.13%
Fördel +0.327%
Kelly +0.366%
Tillväxt +0.011%

med antagandet om högsta odds 9.55

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
9.49%10.69%10.79%12.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
7.508.688.509.5513.33%11.53%11.76%10.47%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 19.40%5.16rättvist odds
EV -3.02%
Fördel -0.604%
Kelly -0.755%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
18.40%19.33%19.34%20.72%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.404.774.755.0022.73%20.98%21.05%20.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Londrina (Hemma): 69.81%; Ponte Preta (Borta): 10.80%; Oavgjort: 19.40%. För Ponte Preta (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 9.26. 12 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 9.55, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +3.13%.

Spelbolagsodds (46 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
1xBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.57%EV -6.46%E -4.82%K -19.00%G +0.000%9.55I 10.47%NM 9.76%EV +3.13%E +0.327%K +0.366%G +0.011%4.51I 22.17%NM 20.67%EV -12.52%E -2.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-15 22:19
SportsBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.43%EV -8.55%E -6.53%K -27.60%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV +2.59%E +0.272%K +0.304%G +0.008%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 22:20
Coolbet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.58%EV -7.86%E -5.95%K -24.55%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV +2.59%E +0.272%K +0.304%G +0.008%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-15 22:20
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV +2.59%E +0.272%K +0.304%G +0.008%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-15 22:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV +2.59%E +0.272%K +0.304%G +0.008%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-15 22:00
Casumo🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV +2.59%E +0.272%K +0.304%G +0.008%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-15 22:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV +2.59%E +0.272%K +0.304%G +0.008%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-15 22:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV +2.59%E +0.272%K +0.304%G +0.008%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-15 22:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV +2.59%E +0.272%K +0.304%G +0.008%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-15 22:00
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV +2.59%E +0.272%K +0.304%G +0.008%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-15 22:00
FanDuel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV +2.59%E +0.272%K +0.304%G +0.008%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-15 22:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.11%EV -12.74%E -10.19%K -50.97%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.49%EV +2.59%E +0.272%K +0.304%G +0.008%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.40%EV -4.96%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-15 22:20
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.52%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -2.81%E -0.313%K -0.352%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-15 22:00
NordicBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.39%EV -10.65%E -8.32%K -38.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.15%EV -2.81%E -0.313%K -0.352%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.46%EV -3.99%E -0.806%K -1.01%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-15 22:20
Betsson🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.39%EV -10.65%E -8.32%K -38.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.15%EV -2.81%E -0.313%K -0.352%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.46%EV -3.99%E -0.806%K -1.01%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-15 22:20
Grosvenor🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 70.86%EV -11.35%E -8.93%K -42.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -2.81%E -0.313%K -0.352%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.15%EV -8.84%E -1.88%K -2.39%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-15 22:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 70.86%EV -11.35%E -8.93%K -42.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -2.81%E -0.313%K -0.352%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.15%EV -8.84%E -1.88%K -2.39%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-15 22:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 70.86%EV -11.35%E -8.93%K -42.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -2.81%E -0.313%K -0.352%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.15%EV -8.84%E -1.88%K -2.39%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-15 22:00
Pinnacle🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.76%EV -4.37%E -3.19%K -11.80%G +0.000%8.94I 11.19%NM 10.69%EV -3.46%E -0.387%K -0.436%G +0.000%4.89I 20.45%NM 19.55%EV -5.15%E -1.05%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-15 22:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.74%EV -7.86%E -5.95%K -24.55%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.46%EV -4.97%E -0.565%K -0.638%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.80%EV -9.81%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-15 22:25
DraftKings🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.56%EV -5.06%E -3.72%K -14.07%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.13%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.31%EV -4.96%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-15 22:25
Betway🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.30%EV -5.76%E -4.27%K -16.46%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 22:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -7.16%E -5.38%K -21.69%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -3.02%E -0.604%K -0.755%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-15 22:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 69.93%EV -8.55%E -6.53%K -27.60%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-15 22:20
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.87%EV -7.16%E -5.38%K -21.69%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -12.72%E -2.83%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-15 22:20
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.87%EV -7.16%E -5.38%K -21.69%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -12.72%E -2.83%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-15 22:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.87%EV -7.16%E -5.38%K -21.69%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -12.72%E -2.83%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-15 22:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.87%EV -7.16%E -5.38%K -21.69%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -12.72%E -2.83%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-15 22:20
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.55%EV -7.16%E -5.38%K -21.69%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.73%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -14.66%E -3.33%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-15 22:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 70.44%EV -11.35%E -8.93%K -42.03%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.52%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.03%EV -8.84%E -1.88%K -2.39%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-15 21:25
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.91%EV -12.74%E -10.19%K -50.97%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.43%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.66%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-15 22:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.91%EV -12.74%E -10.19%K -50.97%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.43%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.66%EV -7.87%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-15 22:20
TABtouch🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 70.32%EV -12.05%E -9.56%K -46.33%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.42%EV -8.21%E -0.966%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.26%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-15 22:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.88%EV -5.76%E -4.27%K -16.46%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.34%EV -11.45%E -1.40%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -8.84%E -1.88%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-15 22:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.88%EV -5.76%E -4.27%K -16.46%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.34%EV -11.45%E -1.40%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -8.84%E -1.88%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-15 22:25
BetUS🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.88%EV -5.76%E -4.27%K -16.46%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.34%EV -11.45%E -1.40%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -8.84%E -1.88%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-15 22:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 69.80%EV -8.55%E -6.53%K -27.60%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.15%EV -11.45%E -1.40%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -6.90%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-15 22:20
BetMGM🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.16%E -5.38%K -21.69%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -13.61%E -1.70%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -6.90%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-15 22:25
Bovada🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.55%EV -6.46%E -4.82%K -19.00%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -13.61%E -1.70%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-15 22:25
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.20%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.24%EV -13.61%E -1.70%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-15 22:20
betano_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.20%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.24%EV -13.61%E -1.70%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -10.78%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-15 22:25
BoyleSports🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.90%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.20%EV -13.61%E -1.70%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -12.72%E -2.83%K -3.63%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-15 22:20
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -19.01%E -2.53%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -6.90%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-15 22:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -19.01%E -2.53%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -6.90%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-15 22:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -19.01%E -2.53%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -6.90%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-15 22:25
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -9.25%E -7.12%K -30.84%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -19.01%E -2.53%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -6.90%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-15 22:25
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.70%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.49%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.81%0.3%2026-09-15 22:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.70%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.49%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.81%0.3%2026-09-15 22:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.70%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.49%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.81%0.3%2026-09-15 22:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.85%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.44%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%0.9%2026-09-15 22:25
Smarkets◎1.37I 72.99%NM 71.66%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.82%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.52%1.9%2026-09-15 22:25