Language:English
Juventude v Avai
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Juventude (Local)
Prediction 55.25%1.81fair odd
EV -6.08%
Edge -3.57%
Kelly -8.68%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.44%55.28%55.17%57.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.651.651.7064.10%60.44%60.61%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Avai (Visit)
Prediction 16.82%5.94fair odd
EV +6.83%
Edge +1.08%
Kelly +1.28%
Growth +0.087%
assuming max odds 6.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.06%16.76%16.86%18.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.505.506.3520.00%18.20%18.18%15.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.93%3.58fair odd
EV -3.65%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -1.49%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.04%27.96%27.97%29.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.293.253.4532.26%30.42%30.77%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Juventude (Local): 55.25%; Avai (Visit): 16.82%; Draw: 27.93%. For Avai (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.94. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.83%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.24%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 6.35I 15.75%NM 15.06%EV +6.83%E +1.08%K +1.28%G +0.087% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.71%EV -7.00%E -2.10%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-28 21:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.24%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 6.35I 15.75%NM 15.06%EV +6.83%E +1.08%K +1.28%G +0.087% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.71%EV -7.00%E -2.10%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-28 22:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.24%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 6.35I 15.75%NM 15.06%EV +6.83%E +1.08%K +1.28%G +0.087% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.71%EV -7.00%E -2.10%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-28 21:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 6.12I 16.34%NM 15.64%EV +2.96%E +0.484%K +0.578%G +0.017% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.07%EV -4.77%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-28 22:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.50%EV -6.63%E -3.92%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV +0.941%E +0.157%K +0.188%G +0.002% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-28 22:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.25%EV -6.63%E -3.92%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV +0.941%E +0.157%K +0.188%G +0.002% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-28 22:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.56%EV -13.26%E -8.45%K -23.26%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV +0.941%E +0.157%K +0.188%G +0.002% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -7.84%E -2.38%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-28 21:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.88%EV -9.39%E -5.73%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -2.42%E -0.418%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -3.65%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.88%EV -9.39%E -5.73%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -2.42%E -0.418%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -3.65%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-28 21:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.88%EV -9.39%E -5.73%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -2.42%E -0.418%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -3.65%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.88%EV -9.39%E -5.73%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -2.42%E -0.418%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -3.65%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.88%EV -9.39%E -5.73%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -2.42%E -0.418%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -3.65%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-28 21:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.88%EV -9.39%E -5.73%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -2.42%E -0.418%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -3.65%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-28 21:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.88%EV -9.39%E -5.73%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -2.42%E -0.418%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -3.65%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.61%EV -6.63%E -3.92%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.34%EV -3.26%E -0.568%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-28 22:13 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.13%EV -7.73%E -4.63%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -3.26%E -0.568%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.05%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-28 22:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.15%EV -8.84%E -5.36%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.11%EV -3.26%E -0.568%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.74%EV -6.72%E -2.01%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-28 22:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.72%EV -8.84%E -5.36%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.99%EV -3.26%E -0.568%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-28 22:23 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.41%EV -10.50%E -6.48%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.32%EV -5.79%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-28 21:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.58%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.87%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-28 21:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.87%EV -7.18%E -4.28%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-28 21:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.87%EV -7.18%E -4.28%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-28 21:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.31%EV -11.60%E -7.25%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.38%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -7.84%E -2.38%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-28 21:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.58%EV -8.84%E -5.36%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.42%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-28 22:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.58%EV -8.84%E -5.36%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.42%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-28 22:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.54%EV -13.26%E -8.45%K -23.26%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.32%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.46%EV -7.18%E -4.28%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.94%EV -9.15%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.59%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-28 21:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.53%EV -13.81%E -8.85%K -24.66%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.33%EV -9.15%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.14%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.29%EV -13.81%E -8.85%K -24.66%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.26%EV -9.15%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-28 21:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.29%EV -13.81%E -8.85%K -24.66%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.26%EV -9.15%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.91%EV -7.73%E -4.63%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.30%EV -10.84%E -2.04%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -7.84%E -2.38%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-28 22:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.83%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -11.68%E -2.22%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.05%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-28 22:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.82%EV -7.73%E -4.63%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -11.68%E -2.22%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -7.84%E -2.38%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-28 22:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.59%EV -7.73%E -4.63%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.36%EV -11.68%E -2.22%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-28 22:18 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.89%EV -8.84%E -5.36%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -11.68%E -2.22%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.86%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-28 22:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.05%EV -6.63%E -3.92%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.84%E -2.38%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-28 22:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.44%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-28 22:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.44%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-28 22:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.44%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-28 22:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.44%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-28 22:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.12%EV -7.73%E -4.63%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-28 22:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -8.84%E -5.36%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -7.84%E -2.38%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-28 22:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.42%EV -8.84%E -5.36%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.63%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-28 22:23 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.18%EV -8.84%E -5.36%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.94%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-28 22:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.18%EV -8.84%E -5.36%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.94%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-28 22:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.18%EV -8.84%E -5.36%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.94%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-28 22:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.18%EV -8.84%E -5.36%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.94%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-28 22:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.18%EV -11.60%E -7.25%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.16%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-07-28 22:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.74% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.13% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.13% | 0.1% | 2026-07-28 22:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.51% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.07% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42% | 0.5% | 2026-07-28 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.65% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.02% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.33% | 0.9% | 2026-07-28 22:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.65% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.02% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.33% | 0.9% | 2026-07-28 22:29 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.53% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.37% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.10% | 1.7% | 2026-07-28 22:25 |
Discuss this game on odds.forum
No published comments yet.