L’École des cotes

Juventude v Avai

2026-07-28 22:30 UTC — Brazil Série B

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Juventude (Local)

Prévision 59.58%1.68cote équitable
EV -5.87%
Avantage -3.71%
Kelly -10.11%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.58

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.02%59.60%59.62%62.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.451.541.541.5868.97%64.85%64.94%63.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Avai (Visiteur)

Prévision 15.20%6.58cote équitable
EV +1.97%
Avantage +0.294%
Kelly +0.346%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 6.71

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.46%15.14%15.17%16.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.305.926.006.7118.87%16.89%16.67%14.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.22%3.96cote équitable
EV -4.15%
Avantage -1.09%
Kelly -1.48%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.37%25.26%25.21%26.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.603.603.8029.41%27.77%27.78%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 60.46%EV -7.06%E -4.52%K -12.60%G +0.000%6.71I 14.90%NM 14.06%EV +1.97%E +0.294%K +0.346%G +0.007%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -6.67%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-24 12:40
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.18%EV -13.61%E -9.39%K -30.25%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.46%EV +1.82%E +0.272%K +0.320%G +0.006%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -6.67%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-24 12:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.74%EV -7.65%E -4.94%K -13.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.48%EV -1.22%E -0.187%K -0.221%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -4.15%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-25 22:34
SportsBet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.89%EV -8.25%E -5.36%K -15.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV -1.22%E -0.187%K -0.221%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -4.15%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-24 12:34
Marathon Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.16%EV -8.25%E -5.36%K -15.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -1.22%E -0.187%K -0.221%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.59%EV -8.69%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-24 12:35
Bovada1.53I 65.36%NM 60.23%EV -8.84%E -5.78%K -16.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -1.22%E -0.187%K -0.221%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -9.19%E -2.55%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 12:36
Coolbet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.04%EV -7.06%E -4.52%K -12.60%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.99%EV -5.02%E -0.803%K -0.956%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.98%EV -5.41%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-24 12:35
PointsBet (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.73%EV -8.25%E -5.36%K -15.27%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.72%EV -5.02%E -0.803%K -0.956%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.19%E -2.55%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 00:09
LowVig.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 59.50%EV -7.65%E -4.94%K -13.91%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.88%EV -5.78%E -0.932%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -9.19%E -2.55%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-24 12:34
BetOnline.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 59.50%EV -7.65%E -4.94%K -13.91%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.88%EV -5.78%E -0.932%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -9.19%E -2.55%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-24 12:35
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.77%EV -7.65%E -4.94%K -13.91%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.19%EV -7.30%E -1.20%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -6.67%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 02:24
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 59.77%EV -7.65%E -4.94%K -13.91%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.19%EV -7.30%E -1.20%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -6.67%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 02:25
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 59.47%EV -7.06%E -4.52%K -12.60%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -8.82%E -1.47%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -6.67%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-25 22:30
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 59.82%EV -7.65%E -4.94%K -13.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -8.82%E -1.47%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -5.41%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-25 06:05
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.62%EV -7.65%E -4.94%K -13.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.40%EV -8.82%E -1.47%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -6.67%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-25 22:35
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 59.93%EV -8.84%E -5.78%K -16.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -8.82%E -1.47%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -6.67%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-24 12:35
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -8.82%E -1.47%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -14.24%E -4.19%K -5.93%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-24 12:30
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -8.82%E -1.47%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -14.24%E -4.19%K -5.93%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-24 12:30
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -8.82%E -1.47%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -14.24%E -4.19%K -5.93%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-24 12:30
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -8.82%E -1.47%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -14.24%E -4.19%K -5.93%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-24 12:30
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 60.25%EV -10.04%E -6.65%K -19.68%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -8.82%E -1.47%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -6.67%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-24 12:32
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 60.41%EV -10.63%E -7.09%K -21.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -8.82%E -1.47%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -6.67%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-24 12:34
betfred_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 59.10%EV -8.84%E -5.78%K -16.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -8.82%E -1.47%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -11.72%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-24 12:33
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 59.10%EV -8.84%E -5.78%K -16.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -8.82%E -1.47%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -11.72%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-25 09:05
betano_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 59.10%EV -8.84%E -5.78%K -16.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -8.82%E -1.47%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -11.72%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-25 09:03
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 59.58%EV -8.84%E -5.78%K -16.69%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.45%EV -10.34%E -1.75%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -7.93%E -2.17%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-25 02:19
Unibet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.84%EV -5.87%E -3.71%K -10.11%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV -11.86%E -2.04%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.67%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-25 10:49
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.00%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.97%EV -11.86%E -2.04%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.67%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 10:50
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.00%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.97%EV -11.86%E -2.04%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.67%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 10:49
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 59.00%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.97%EV -11.86%E -2.04%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.67%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 10:50
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 59.00%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.97%EV -11.86%E -2.04%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.67%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 10:50
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 59.00%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.97%EV -11.86%E -2.04%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.67%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 10:50
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.00%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.97%EV -11.86%E -2.04%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.67%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 10:50
Codere (IT)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.16%EV -9.44%E -6.21%K -18.15%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.50%EV -11.86%E -2.04%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -10.46%E -2.95%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-25 02:30
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 58.98%EV -8.25%E -5.36%K -15.27%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -12.62%E -2.19%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -9.19%E -2.55%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-24 19:45
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 58.40%EV -7.65%E -4.94%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.74%EV -12.62%E -2.19%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -11.72%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-25 21:45
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 58.24%EV -7.06%E -4.52%K -12.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.52%EV -16.41%E -2.98%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -9.19%E -2.55%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-25 10:50
Grosvenor1.54I 64.94%NM 58.35%EV -8.25%E -5.36%K -15.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -16.41%E -2.98%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.31%EV -10.46%E -2.95%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-25 10:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.30%EV -8.84%E -5.78%K -16.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -16.41%E -2.98%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.72%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-24 19:45
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 58.30%EV -8.84%E -5.78%K -16.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -16.41%E -2.98%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.72%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-24 19:44
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 58.30%EV -8.84%E -5.78%K -16.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -16.41%E -2.98%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.72%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-24 19:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.30%EV -8.84%E -5.78%K -16.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -16.41%E -2.98%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.72%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-24 19:45
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 58.30%EV -8.84%E -5.78%K -16.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -16.41%E -2.98%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.72%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-24 08:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.12%EV -8.84%E -5.78%K -16.69%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.47%EV -17.93%E -3.32%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -11.72%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-25 10:49
TABtouch1.51I 66.23%NM 58.44%EV -10.04%E -6.65%K -19.68%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.34%EV -17.93%E -3.32%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.21%EV -11.72%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-25 10:50
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 58.21%EV -10.63%E -7.09%K -21.26%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.48%EV -19.45%E -3.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.31%EV -12.98%E -3.76%K -5.30%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-25 10:50
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 58.21%EV -10.63%E -7.09%K -21.26%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.48%EV -19.45%E -3.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.31%EV -12.98%E -3.76%K -5.30%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-25 10:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.48I 67.57%NM 58.05%5.40I 18.52%NM 15.91%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.04%16.4%2026-07-25 02:20