Langue:Français
Juventude v Avai
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Juventude (Local)
Prévision 55.25%1.81cote équitable
EV -6.08%
Avantage -3.57%
Kelly -8.68%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.70
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.44%55.28%55.17%57.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.561.651.651.7064.10%60.44%60.61%58.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Avai (Visiteur)
Prévision 16.82%5.94cote équitable
EV +6.83%
Avantage +1.08%
Kelly +1.28%
Croissance +0.087%
avec la cote maximale 6.35
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.06%16.76%16.86%18.27%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.005.505.506.3520.00%18.20%18.18%15.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 27.93%3.58cote équitable
EV -3.65%
Avantage -1.06%
Kelly -1.49%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.45
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.04%27.96%27.97%29.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.293.253.4532.26%30.42%30.77%28.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Juventude (Local) : 55.25% ; Avai (Visiteur) : 16.82% ; Match nul : 27.93%. Pour Avai (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.94. 7 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.35, soit une espérance positive de +6.83%.
Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.24%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 6.35I 15.75%NM 15.06%EV +6.83%E +1.08%K +1.28%G +0.087% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.71%EV -7.00%E -2.10%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-28 21:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.24%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 6.35I 15.75%NM 15.06%EV +6.83%E +1.08%K +1.28%G +0.087% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.71%EV -7.00%E -2.10%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-28 22:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.24%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 6.35I 15.75%NM 15.06%EV +6.83%E +1.08%K +1.28%G +0.087% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.71%EV -7.00%E -2.10%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-28 21:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 6.12I 16.34%NM 15.64%EV +2.96%E +0.484%K +0.578%G +0.017% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.07%EV -4.77%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-28 22:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.50%EV -6.63%E -3.92%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV +0.941%E +0.157%K +0.188%G +0.002% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-28 22:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.25%EV -6.63%E -3.92%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV +0.941%E +0.157%K +0.188%G +0.002% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-28 22:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.56%EV -13.26%E -8.45%K -23.26%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV +0.941%E +0.157%K +0.188%G +0.002% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -7.84%E -2.38%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-28 21:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.88%EV -9.39%E -5.73%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -2.42%E -0.418%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -3.65%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.88%EV -9.39%E -5.73%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -2.42%E -0.418%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -3.65%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-28 21:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.88%EV -9.39%E -5.73%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -2.42%E -0.418%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -3.65%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.88%EV -9.39%E -5.73%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -2.42%E -0.418%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -3.65%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.88%EV -9.39%E -5.73%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -2.42%E -0.418%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -3.65%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-28 21:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.88%EV -9.39%E -5.73%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -2.42%E -0.418%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -3.65%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-28 21:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.88%EV -9.39%E -5.73%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -2.42%E -0.418%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -3.65%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.61%EV -6.63%E -3.92%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.34%EV -3.26%E -0.568%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-28 22:13 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.13%EV -7.73%E -4.63%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -3.26%E -0.568%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.05%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-28 22:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.15%EV -8.84%E -5.36%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.11%EV -3.26%E -0.568%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.74%EV -6.72%E -2.01%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-28 22:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.72%EV -8.84%E -5.36%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.99%EV -3.26%E -0.568%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-28 22:23 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.41%EV -10.50%E -6.48%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.32%EV -5.79%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-28 21:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.58%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.87%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-28 21:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.87%EV -7.18%E -4.28%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-28 21:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.87%EV -7.18%E -4.28%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-28 21:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.31%EV -11.60%E -7.25%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.38%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -7.84%E -2.38%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-28 21:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.58%EV -8.84%E -5.36%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.42%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-28 22:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.58%EV -8.84%E -5.36%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.42%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-28 22:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.54%EV -13.26%E -8.45%K -23.26%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.32%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.46%EV -7.18%E -4.28%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.94%EV -9.15%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.59%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-28 21:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.53%EV -13.81%E -8.85%K -24.66%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.33%EV -9.15%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.14%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.29%EV -13.81%E -8.85%K -24.66%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.26%EV -9.15%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-28 21:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.29%EV -13.81%E -8.85%K -24.66%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.26%EV -9.15%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.91%EV -7.73%E -4.63%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.30%EV -10.84%E -2.04%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -7.84%E -2.38%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-28 22:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.83%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -11.68%E -2.22%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.05%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-28 22:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.82%EV -7.73%E -4.63%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -11.68%E -2.22%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -7.84%E -2.38%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-28 22:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.59%EV -7.73%E -4.63%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.36%EV -11.68%E -2.22%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-28 22:18 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.89%EV -8.84%E -5.36%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -11.68%E -2.22%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.86%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-28 22:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.05%EV -6.63%E -3.92%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.84%E -2.38%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-28 22:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.44%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-28 22:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.44%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-28 22:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.44%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-28 22:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.44%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-28 22:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.12%EV -7.73%E -4.63%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-28 22:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -8.84%E -5.36%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -7.84%E -2.38%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-28 22:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.42%EV -8.84%E -5.36%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.63%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-28 22:23 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.18%EV -8.84%E -5.36%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.94%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-28 22:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.18%EV -8.84%E -5.36%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.94%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-28 22:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.18%EV -8.84%E -5.36%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.94%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-28 22:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.18%EV -8.84%E -5.36%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.94%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-28 22:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.18%EV -11.60%E -7.25%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.16%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-07-28 22:05 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.74% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.13% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.13% | 0.1% | 2026-07-28 22:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.51% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.07% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42% | 0.5% | 2026-07-28 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.65% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.02% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.33% | 0.9% | 2026-07-28 22:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.65% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.02% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.33% | 0.9% | 2026-07-28 22:29 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.53% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.37% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.10% | 1.7% | 2026-07-28 22:25 |