La escuela de los momios

Juventude v Avai

2026-07-28 22:30 UTC — Brazil Série B

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Juventude (Local)

Predicción 59.58%1.68momio equitativo
EV -5.87%
Ventaja -3.71%
Kelly -10.11%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.58

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.02%59.60%59.62%62.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.451.541.541.5868.97%64.85%64.94%63.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Avai (Visitante)

Predicción 15.20%6.58momio equitativo
EV +1.97%
Ventaja +0.294%
Kelly +0.346%
Crecimiento +0.007%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.71

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.46%15.14%15.17%16.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.305.926.006.7118.87%16.89%16.67%14.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.22%3.96momio equitativo
EV -4.15%
Ventaja -1.09%
Kelly -1.48%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.37%25.26%25.21%26.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.603.603.8029.41%27.77%27.78%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 60.46%EV -7.06%E -4.52%K -12.60%G +0.000%6.71I 14.90%NM 14.06%EV +1.97%E +0.294%K +0.346%G +0.007%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -6.67%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-24 12:40
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.18%EV -13.61%E -9.39%K -30.25%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.46%EV +1.82%E +0.272%K +0.320%G +0.006%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -6.67%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-24 12:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.74%EV -7.65%E -4.94%K -13.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.48%EV -1.22%E -0.187%K -0.221%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -4.15%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-25 22:34
SportsBet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.89%EV -8.25%E -5.36%K -15.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV -1.22%E -0.187%K -0.221%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -4.15%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-24 12:34
Marathon Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.16%EV -8.25%E -5.36%K -15.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -1.22%E -0.187%K -0.221%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.59%EV -8.69%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-24 12:35
Bovada1.53I 65.36%NM 60.23%EV -8.84%E -5.78%K -16.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -1.22%E -0.187%K -0.221%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -9.19%E -2.55%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 12:36
Coolbet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.04%EV -7.06%E -4.52%K -12.60%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.99%EV -5.02%E -0.803%K -0.956%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.98%EV -5.41%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-24 12:35
PointsBet (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.73%EV -8.25%E -5.36%K -15.27%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.72%EV -5.02%E -0.803%K -0.956%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.19%E -2.55%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 00:09
LowVig.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 59.50%EV -7.65%E -4.94%K -13.91%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.88%EV -5.78%E -0.932%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -9.19%E -2.55%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-24 12:34
BetOnline.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 59.50%EV -7.65%E -4.94%K -13.91%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.88%EV -5.78%E -0.932%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -9.19%E -2.55%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-24 12:35
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.77%EV -7.65%E -4.94%K -13.91%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.19%EV -7.30%E -1.20%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -6.67%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 02:24
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 59.77%EV -7.65%E -4.94%K -13.91%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.19%EV -7.30%E -1.20%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -6.67%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 02:25
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 59.47%EV -7.06%E -4.52%K -12.60%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -8.82%E -1.47%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -6.67%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-25 22:30
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 59.82%EV -7.65%E -4.94%K -13.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -8.82%E -1.47%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -5.41%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-25 06:05
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.62%EV -7.65%E -4.94%K -13.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.40%EV -8.82%E -1.47%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -6.67%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-25 22:35
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 59.93%EV -8.84%E -5.78%K -16.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -8.82%E -1.47%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -6.67%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-24 12:35
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -8.82%E -1.47%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -14.24%E -4.19%K -5.93%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-24 12:30
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -8.82%E -1.47%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -14.24%E -4.19%K -5.93%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-24 12:30
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -8.82%E -1.47%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -14.24%E -4.19%K -5.93%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-24 12:30
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -8.82%E -1.47%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -14.24%E -4.19%K -5.93%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-24 12:30
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 60.25%EV -10.04%E -6.65%K -19.68%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -8.82%E -1.47%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -6.67%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-24 12:32
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 60.41%EV -10.63%E -7.09%K -21.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -8.82%E -1.47%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -6.67%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-24 12:34
betfred_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 59.10%EV -8.84%E -5.78%K -16.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -8.82%E -1.47%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -11.72%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-24 12:33
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 59.10%EV -8.84%E -5.78%K -16.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -8.82%E -1.47%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -11.72%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-25 09:05
betano_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 59.10%EV -8.84%E -5.78%K -16.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -8.82%E -1.47%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -11.72%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-25 09:03
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 59.58%EV -8.84%E -5.78%K -16.69%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.45%EV -10.34%E -1.75%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -7.93%E -2.17%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-25 02:19
Unibet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.84%EV -5.87%E -3.71%K -10.11%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV -11.86%E -2.04%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.67%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-25 10:49
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.00%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.97%EV -11.86%E -2.04%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.67%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 10:50
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.00%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.97%EV -11.86%E -2.04%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.67%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 10:49
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 59.00%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.97%EV -11.86%E -2.04%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.67%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 10:50
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 59.00%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.97%EV -11.86%E -2.04%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.67%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 10:50
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 59.00%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.97%EV -11.86%E -2.04%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.67%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 10:50
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.00%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.97%EV -11.86%E -2.04%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.67%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 10:50
Codere (IT)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.16%EV -9.44%E -6.21%K -18.15%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.50%EV -11.86%E -2.04%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -10.46%E -2.95%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-25 02:30
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 58.98%EV -8.25%E -5.36%K -15.27%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -12.62%E -2.19%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -9.19%E -2.55%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-24 19:45
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 58.40%EV -7.65%E -4.94%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.74%EV -12.62%E -2.19%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -11.72%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-26 04:54
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 58.24%EV -7.06%E -4.52%K -12.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.52%EV -16.41%E -2.98%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -9.19%E -2.55%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-25 10:50
Grosvenor1.54I 64.94%NM 58.35%EV -8.25%E -5.36%K -15.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -16.41%E -2.98%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.31%EV -10.46%E -2.95%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-25 10:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.30%EV -8.84%E -5.78%K -16.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -16.41%E -2.98%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.72%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-24 19:45
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 58.30%EV -8.84%E -5.78%K -16.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -16.41%E -2.98%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.72%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-24 19:44
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 58.30%EV -8.84%E -5.78%K -16.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -16.41%E -2.98%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.72%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-24 19:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.30%EV -8.84%E -5.78%K -16.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -16.41%E -2.98%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.72%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-24 19:45
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 58.30%EV -8.84%E -5.78%K -16.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -16.41%E -2.98%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.72%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-24 08:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.12%EV -8.84%E -5.78%K -16.69%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.47%EV -17.93%E -3.32%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -11.72%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-25 10:49
TABtouch1.51I 66.23%NM 58.44%EV -10.04%E -6.65%K -19.68%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.34%EV -17.93%E -3.32%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.21%EV -11.72%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-25 10:50
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 58.21%EV -10.63%E -7.09%K -21.26%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.48%EV -19.45%E -3.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.31%EV -12.98%E -3.76%K -5.30%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-25 10:50
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 58.21%EV -10.63%E -7.09%K -21.26%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.48%EV -19.45%E -3.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.31%EV -12.98%E -3.76%K -5.30%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-25 10:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (1)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets1.48I 67.57%NM 58.05%5.40I 18.52%NM 15.91%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.04%16.4%2026-07-25 02:20