StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Juventude v Avai

Matchstart: 2026-07-28 22:30 UTC

Slutresultat: Juventude 1–0 Avai

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

48 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Juventude (Hemma)

Prognos 55.25%1.81rättvist odds
EV -6.08%
Fördel -3.57%
Kelly -8.68%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.70

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
53.44%55.28%55.17%57.56%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.561.651.651.7064.10%60.44%60.61%58.82%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Avai (Borta)

Prognos 16.82%5.94rättvist odds
EV +6.83%
Fördel +1.08%
Kelly +1.28%
Tillväxt +0.087%

med antagandet om högsta odds 6.35

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
15.06%16.76%16.86%18.27%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
5.005.505.506.3520.00%18.20%18.18%15.75%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 27.93%3.58rättvist odds
EV -3.65%
Fördel -1.06%
Kelly -1.49%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.45

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
27.04%27.96%27.97%29.18%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.103.293.253.4532.26%30.42%30.77%28.99%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Juventude (Hemma): 55.25%; Avai (Borta): 16.82%; Oavgjort: 27.93%. För Avai (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 5.94. 7 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 6.35, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +6.83%.

Spelbolagsodds (48 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
LowVig.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.24%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 15.06%EV +6.83%E +1.08%K +1.28%G +0.087%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.71%EV -7.00%E -2.10%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 21:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.24%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 15.06%EV +6.83%E +1.08%K +1.28%G +0.087%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.71%EV -7.00%E -2.10%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 22:00
BetUS🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.24%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 15.06%EV +6.83%E +1.08%K +1.28%G +0.087%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.71%EV -7.00%E -2.10%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 21:59
Pinnacle🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000%6.12I 16.34%NM 15.64%EV +2.96%E +0.484%K +0.578%G +0.017%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.07%EV -4.77%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-28 22:20
SportsBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.50%EV -6.63%E -3.92%K -9.61%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV +0.941%E +0.157%K +0.188%G +0.002%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-28 22:24
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.25%EV -6.63%E -3.92%K -9.61%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV +0.941%E +0.157%K +0.188%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-28 22:24
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.56%EV -13.26%E -8.45%K -23.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV +0.941%E +0.157%K +0.188%G +0.002%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -7.84%E -2.38%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-28 21:59
Unibet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.88%EV -9.39%E -5.73%K -14.68%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -2.42%E -0.418%K -0.505%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -3.65%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-28 21:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.88%EV -9.39%E -5.73%K -14.68%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -2.42%E -0.418%K -0.505%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -3.65%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-28 21:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.88%EV -9.39%E -5.73%K -14.68%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -2.42%E -0.418%K -0.505%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -3.65%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-28 21:54
Casumo🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.88%EV -9.39%E -5.73%K -14.68%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -2.42%E -0.418%K -0.505%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -3.65%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-28 21:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.88%EV -9.39%E -5.73%K -14.68%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -2.42%E -0.418%K -0.505%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -3.65%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-28 21:55
betPARX🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.88%EV -9.39%E -5.73%K -14.68%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -2.42%E -0.418%K -0.505%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -3.65%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-28 21:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.88%EV -9.39%E -5.73%K -14.68%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -2.42%E -0.418%K -0.505%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -3.65%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-28 21:54
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.61%EV -6.63%E -3.92%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.34%EV -3.26%E -0.568%K -0.687%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-28 22:13
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.13%EV -7.73%E -4.63%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -3.26%E -0.568%K -0.687%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.05%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-28 22:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.15%EV -8.84%E -5.36%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.11%EV -3.26%E -0.568%K -0.687%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.74%EV -6.72%E -2.01%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-28 22:29
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.72%EV -8.84%E -5.36%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.99%EV -3.26%E -0.568%K -0.687%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-28 22:23
BetRivers🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.41%EV -10.50%E -6.48%K -16.93%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.32%EV -5.79%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-28 21:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.58%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.87%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-28 21:25
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.87%EV -7.18%E -4.28%K -10.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-28 21:24
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.87%EV -7.18%E -4.28%K -10.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-28 21:25
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.31%EV -11.60%E -7.25%K -19.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.38%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -7.84%E -2.38%K -3.41%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-28 21:55
Paddy Power🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.58%EV -8.84%E -5.36%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.42%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-28 22:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.58%EV -8.84%E -5.36%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.42%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-28 22:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.54%EV -13.26%E -8.45%K -23.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.32%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-28 21:54
Codere (IT)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.46%EV -7.18%E -4.28%K -10.56%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.94%EV -9.15%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.59%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-28 21:25
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.53%EV -13.81%E -8.85%K -24.66%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.33%EV -9.15%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.14%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-28 21:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.29%EV -13.81%E -8.85%K -24.66%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.26%EV -9.15%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-28 21:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.29%EV -13.81%E -8.85%K -24.66%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.26%EV -9.15%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-28 21:54
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.91%EV -7.73%E -4.63%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.30%EV -10.84%E -2.04%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -7.84%E -2.38%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-28 22:29
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.83%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -11.68%E -2.22%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.05%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-28 22:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.82%EV -7.73%E -4.63%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -11.68%E -2.22%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -7.84%E -2.38%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-28 22:04
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.59%EV -7.73%E -4.63%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.36%EV -11.68%E -2.22%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-28 22:18
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.89%EV -8.84%E -5.36%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -11.68%E -2.22%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.86%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-28 22:24
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.05%EV -6.63%E -3.92%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.84%E -2.38%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-28 22:29
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.44%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-28 22:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.44%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-28 22:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.44%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-28 22:19
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.44%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-28 22:20
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.12%EV -7.73%E -4.63%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-28 22:04
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -8.84%E -5.36%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -7.84%E -2.38%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-28 22:29
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.42%EV -8.84%E -5.36%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.63%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-28 22:23
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.18%EV -8.84%E -5.36%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.94%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-28 22:20
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.18%EV -8.84%E -5.36%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.94%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-28 22:19
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.18%EV -8.84%E -5.36%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.94%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-28 22:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.18%EV -8.84%E -5.36%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.94%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-28 22:20
BoyleSports🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.18%EV -11.60%E -7.25%K -19.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.16%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-28 22:05
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.74%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.13%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.13%0.1%2026-07-28 22:25
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.51%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.07%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42%0.5%2026-07-28 22:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.65%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.02%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.33%0.9%2026-07-28 22:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.65%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.02%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.33%0.9%2026-07-28 22:29
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.53%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.37%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.10%1.7%2026-07-28 22:25