StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Juventude v Avai

Spielbeginn: 2026-07-28 22:30 UTC

Endstand: Juventude 1–0 Avai

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

48 Wettanbieter (18 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Juventude (Heim)

Prognose 55.25%1.81faire Quote
EV -6.08%
Vorteil -3.57%
Kelly -8.68%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.70

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
53.44%55.28%55.17%57.56%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.561.651.651.7064.10%60.44%60.61%58.82%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Avai (Auswärts)

Prognose 16.82%5.94faire Quote
EV +6.83%
Vorteil +1.08%
Kelly +1.28%
Wachstum +0.087%

bei einer Höchstquote von 6.35

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
15.06%16.76%16.86%18.27%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
5.005.505.506.3520.00%18.20%18.18%15.75%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 27.93%3.58faire Quote
EV -3.65%
Vorteil -1.06%
Kelly -1.49%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.45

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
27.04%27.96%27.97%29.18%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.103.293.253.4532.26%30.42%30.77%28.99%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Juventude (Heim): 55.25%; Avai (Auswärts): 16.82%; Unentschieden: 27.93%. Für Avai (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 5.94. 7 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 6.35 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +6.83%.

Wettanbieterquoten (48 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
LowVig.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.24%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 15.06%EV +6.83%E +1.08%K +1.28%G +0.087%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.71%EV -7.00%E -2.10%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 21:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.24%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 15.06%EV +6.83%E +1.08%K +1.28%G +0.087%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.71%EV -7.00%E -2.10%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 22:00
BetUS🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.24%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 15.06%EV +6.83%E +1.08%K +1.28%G +0.087%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.71%EV -7.00%E -2.10%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 21:59
Pinnacle🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000%6.12I 16.34%NM 15.64%EV +2.96%E +0.484%K +0.578%G +0.017%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.07%EV -4.77%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-28 22:20
SportsBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.50%EV -6.63%E -3.92%K -9.61%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV +0.941%E +0.157%K +0.188%G +0.002%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-28 22:24
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.25%EV -6.63%E -3.92%K -9.61%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV +0.941%E +0.157%K +0.188%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-28 22:24
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.56%EV -13.26%E -8.45%K -23.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV +0.941%E +0.157%K +0.188%G +0.002%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -7.84%E -2.38%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-28 21:59
Unibet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.88%EV -9.39%E -5.73%K -14.68%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -2.42%E -0.418%K -0.505%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -3.65%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-28 21:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.88%EV -9.39%E -5.73%K -14.68%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -2.42%E -0.418%K -0.505%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -3.65%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-28 21:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.88%EV -9.39%E -5.73%K -14.68%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -2.42%E -0.418%K -0.505%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -3.65%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-28 21:54
Casumo🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.88%EV -9.39%E -5.73%K -14.68%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -2.42%E -0.418%K -0.505%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -3.65%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-28 21:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.88%EV -9.39%E -5.73%K -14.68%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -2.42%E -0.418%K -0.505%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -3.65%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-28 21:55
betPARX🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.88%EV -9.39%E -5.73%K -14.68%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -2.42%E -0.418%K -0.505%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -3.65%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-28 21:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.88%EV -9.39%E -5.73%K -14.68%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -2.42%E -0.418%K -0.505%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -3.65%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-28 21:54
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.61%EV -6.63%E -3.92%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.34%EV -3.26%E -0.568%K -0.687%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-28 22:13
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.13%EV -7.73%E -4.63%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -3.26%E -0.568%K -0.687%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.05%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-28 22:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.15%EV -8.84%E -5.36%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.11%EV -3.26%E -0.568%K -0.687%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.74%EV -6.72%E -2.01%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-28 22:29
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.72%EV -8.84%E -5.36%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.99%EV -3.26%E -0.568%K -0.687%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-28 22:23
BetRivers🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.41%EV -10.50%E -6.48%K -16.93%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.32%EV -5.79%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-28 21:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.58%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.87%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-28 21:25
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.87%EV -7.18%E -4.28%K -10.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-28 21:24
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.87%EV -7.18%E -4.28%K -10.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-28 21:25
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.31%EV -11.60%E -7.25%K -19.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.38%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -7.84%E -2.38%K -3.41%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-28 21:55
Paddy Power🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.58%EV -8.84%E -5.36%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.42%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-28 22:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.58%EV -8.84%E -5.36%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.42%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-28 22:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.54%EV -13.26%E -8.45%K -23.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.32%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-28 21:54
Codere (IT)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.46%EV -7.18%E -4.28%K -10.56%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.94%EV -9.15%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.59%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-28 21:25
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.53%EV -13.81%E -8.85%K -24.66%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.33%EV -9.15%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.14%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-28 21:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.29%EV -13.81%E -8.85%K -24.66%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.26%EV -9.15%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-28 21:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.29%EV -13.81%E -8.85%K -24.66%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.26%EV -9.15%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-28 21:54
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.91%EV -7.73%E -4.63%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.30%EV -10.84%E -2.04%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -7.84%E -2.38%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-28 22:29
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.83%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -11.68%E -2.22%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.05%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-28 22:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.82%EV -7.73%E -4.63%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -11.68%E -2.22%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -7.84%E -2.38%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-28 22:04
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.59%EV -7.73%E -4.63%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.36%EV -11.68%E -2.22%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-28 22:18
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.89%EV -8.84%E -5.36%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -11.68%E -2.22%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.86%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-28 22:24
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.05%EV -6.63%E -3.92%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.84%E -2.38%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-28 22:29
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.44%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-28 22:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.44%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-28 22:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.44%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-28 22:19
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.44%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-28 22:20
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.12%EV -7.73%E -4.63%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-28 22:04
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -8.84%E -5.36%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -7.84%E -2.38%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-28 22:29
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.42%EV -8.84%E -5.36%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.63%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-28 22:23
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.18%EV -8.84%E -5.36%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.94%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-28 22:20
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.18%EV -8.84%E -5.36%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.94%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-28 22:19
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.18%EV -8.84%E -5.36%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.94%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-28 22:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.18%EV -8.84%E -5.36%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.94%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-28 22:20
BoyleSports🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.18%EV -11.60%E -7.25%K -19.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.16%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-28 22:05
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.74%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.13%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.13%0.1%2026-07-28 22:25
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.51%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.07%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42%0.5%2026-07-28 22:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.65%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.02%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.33%0.9%2026-07-28 22:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.65%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.02%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.33%0.9%2026-07-28 22:29
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.53%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.37%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.10%1.7%2026-07-28 22:25