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Juventude v Avai
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Juventude (Хозяева)
Прогноз 55.25%1.81справедливый коэффициент
EV -6.08%
Преимущество -3.57%
Kelly -8.68%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.70
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
53.44%55.28%55.17%57.56%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.561.651.651.7064.10%60.44%60.61%58.82%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Avai (Гости)
Прогноз 16.82%5.94справедливый коэффициент
EV +6.83%
Преимущество +1.08%
Kelly +1.28%
Рост +0.087%
при максимальном коэффициенте 6.35
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
15.06%16.76%16.86%18.27%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
5.005.505.506.3520.00%18.20%18.18%15.75%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 27.93%3.58справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.65%
Преимущество -1.06%
Kelly -1.49%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.45
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
27.04%27.96%27.97%29.18%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.103.293.253.4532.26%30.42%30.77%28.99%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Juventude (Хозяева): 55.25%; Avai (Гости): 16.82%; Ничья: 27.93%. Для исхода «Avai (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 5.94. 7 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 6.35, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +6.83%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (48 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.24%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 6.35I 15.75%NM 15.06%EV +6.83%E +1.08%K +1.28%G +0.087% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.71%EV -7.00%E -2.10%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-28 21:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.24%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 6.35I 15.75%NM 15.06%EV +6.83%E +1.08%K +1.28%G +0.087% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.71%EV -7.00%E -2.10%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-28 22:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.24%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 6.35I 15.75%NM 15.06%EV +6.83%E +1.08%K +1.28%G +0.087% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.71%EV -7.00%E -2.10%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-28 21:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 6.12I 16.34%NM 15.64%EV +2.96%E +0.484%K +0.578%G +0.017% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.07%EV -4.77%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-28 22:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.50%EV -6.63%E -3.92%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV +0.941%E +0.157%K +0.188%G +0.002% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-28 22:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.25%EV -6.63%E -3.92%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV +0.941%E +0.157%K +0.188%G +0.002% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-28 22:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.56%EV -13.26%E -8.45%K -23.26%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV +0.941%E +0.157%K +0.188%G +0.002% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -7.84%E -2.38%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-28 21:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.88%EV -9.39%E -5.73%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -2.42%E -0.418%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -3.65%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.88%EV -9.39%E -5.73%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -2.42%E -0.418%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -3.65%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-28 21:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.88%EV -9.39%E -5.73%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -2.42%E -0.418%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -3.65%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.88%EV -9.39%E -5.73%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -2.42%E -0.418%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -3.65%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.88%EV -9.39%E -5.73%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -2.42%E -0.418%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -3.65%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-28 21:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.88%EV -9.39%E -5.73%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -2.42%E -0.418%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -3.65%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-28 21:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.88%EV -9.39%E -5.73%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -2.42%E -0.418%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -3.65%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.61%EV -6.63%E -3.92%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.34%EV -3.26%E -0.568%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-28 22:13 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.13%EV -7.73%E -4.63%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -3.26%E -0.568%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.05%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-28 22:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.15%EV -8.84%E -5.36%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.11%EV -3.26%E -0.568%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.74%EV -6.72%E -2.01%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-28 22:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.72%EV -8.84%E -5.36%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.99%EV -3.26%E -0.568%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-28 22:23 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.41%EV -10.50%E -6.48%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.32%EV -5.79%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-28 21:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.58%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.87%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-28 21:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.87%EV -7.18%E -4.28%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-28 21:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.87%EV -7.18%E -4.28%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-28 21:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.31%EV -11.60%E -7.25%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.38%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -7.84%E -2.38%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-28 21:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.58%EV -8.84%E -5.36%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.42%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-28 22:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.58%EV -8.84%E -5.36%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.42%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-28 22:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.54%EV -13.26%E -8.45%K -23.26%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.32%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.46%EV -7.18%E -4.28%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.94%EV -9.15%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.59%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-28 21:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.53%EV -13.81%E -8.85%K -24.66%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.33%EV -9.15%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.14%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.29%EV -13.81%E -8.85%K -24.66%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.26%EV -9.15%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-28 21:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.29%EV -13.81%E -8.85%K -24.66%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.26%EV -9.15%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-28 21:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.91%EV -7.73%E -4.63%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.30%EV -10.84%E -2.04%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -7.84%E -2.38%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-28 22:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.83%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -11.68%E -2.22%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.05%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-28 22:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.82%EV -7.73%E -4.63%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -11.68%E -2.22%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -7.84%E -2.38%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-28 22:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.59%EV -7.73%E -4.63%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.36%EV -11.68%E -2.22%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-28 22:18 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.89%EV -8.84%E -5.36%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -11.68%E -2.22%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.86%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-28 22:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.05%EV -6.63%E -3.92%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.84%E -2.38%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-28 22:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.44%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-28 22:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.44%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-28 22:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.44%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-28 22:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.44%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-28 22:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.12%EV -7.73%E -4.63%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-28 22:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -8.84%E -5.36%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -7.84%E -2.38%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-28 22:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.42%EV -8.84%E -5.36%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.63%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-28 22:23 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.18%EV -8.84%E -5.36%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.94%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-28 22:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.18%EV -8.84%E -5.36%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.94%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-28 22:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.18%EV -8.84%E -5.36%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.94%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-28 22:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.18%EV -8.84%E -5.36%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.94%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-28 22:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.18%EV -11.60%E -7.25%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.16%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-07-28 22:05 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (5)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.74% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.13% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.13% | 0.1% | 2026-07-28 22:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.51% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.07% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42% | 0.5% | 2026-07-28 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.65% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.02% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.33% | 0.9% | 2026-07-28 22:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.65% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.02% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.33% | 0.9% | 2026-07-28 22:29 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.53% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.37% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.10% | 1.7% | 2026-07-28 22:25 |