赔率学院

Grêmio Novorizontino v Botafogo

开赛时间: 2026-05-10 22:30 UTC

最终结果: Grêmio Novorizontino 1–0 Botafogo

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

47 家博彩公司 (18 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Grêmio Novorizontino (主队)

预测 49.38%2.03公平赔率
EV -4.70%
优势 -2.43%
Kelly -5.05%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.93

博彩公司预测分布
47.30%49.51%49.41%52.68%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.711.841.851.9358.48%54.39%54.05%51.81%MIN均值中位数MAX

Botafogo (客队)

预测 21.43%4.67公平赔率
EV +2.86%
优势 +0.597%
Kelly +0.754%
增长率 +0.022%

假设最高赔率为 4.80

博彩公司预测分布
19.23%21.31%21.37%23.12%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
4.004.394.354.8025.00%22.77%22.99%20.83%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 29.19%3.43公平赔率
EV -0.757%
优势 -0.223%
Kelly -0.315%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.40

博彩公司预测分布
27.30%29.18%29.22%30.96%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.803.173.153.4035.71%31.52%31.75%29.41%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (47 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.43%EV -11.61%E -6.49%K -14.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV +2.86%E +0.597%K +0.754%G +0.022%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -2.22%E -0.662%K -0.943%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 22:25
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.43%EV -11.61%E -6.49%K -14.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV +2.86%E +0.597%K +0.754%G +0.022%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -2.22%E -0.662%K -0.943%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 22:25
betPARX1.79I 55.87%NM 52.43%EV -11.61%E -6.49%K -14.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV +2.86%E +0.597%K +0.754%G +0.022%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -2.22%E -0.662%K -0.943%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 22:25
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.43%EV -11.61%E -6.49%K -14.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV +2.86%E +0.597%K +0.754%G +0.022%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -2.22%E -0.662%K -0.943%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 22:24
Casumo1.79I 55.87%NM 52.43%EV -11.61%E -6.49%K -14.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV +2.86%E +0.597%K +0.754%G +0.022%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -2.22%E -0.662%K -0.943%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 22:24
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 52.57%EV -12.10%E -6.80%K -15.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV +2.86%E +0.597%K +0.754%G +0.022%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -2.22%E -0.662%K -0.943%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 21:45
ATG (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.68%EV -12.10%E -6.80%K -15.52%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV +1.79%E +0.378%K +0.478%G +0.009%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -0.757%E -0.223%K -0.315%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 22:24
Svenska Spel1.78I 56.18%NM 52.68%EV -12.10%E -6.80%K -15.52%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV +1.79%E +0.378%K +0.478%G +0.009%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -0.757%E -0.223%K -0.315%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 22:24
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 49.73%EV -4.70%E -2.43%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 20.38%EV +0.936%E +0.199%K +0.252%G +0.002%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.90%EV -6.30%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-10 22:09
LowVig.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 49.84%EV -7.16%E -3.81%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV +0.722%E +0.154%K +0.195%G +0.001%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 20:34
BetOnline.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 49.84%EV -7.16%E -3.81%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV +0.722%E +0.154%K +0.195%G +0.001%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 20:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.33%EV -13.58%E -7.76%K -18.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.49%EV +0.722%E +0.154%K +0.195%G +0.001%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -5.14%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-10 22:25
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.54%EV -15.07%E -8.76%K -20.92%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.23%EV +0.722%E +0.154%K +0.195%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-10 22:09
Grosvenor1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -13.58%E -7.76%K -18.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -1.42%E -0.309%K -0.395%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45%EV -2.22%E -0.662%K -0.943%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-10 22:24
TABtouch1.74I 57.47%NM 52.26%EV -14.08%E -8.09%K -19.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -1.42%E -0.309%K -0.395%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -5.14%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-10 22:24
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 52.32%EV -15.07%E -8.76%K -20.92%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -1.42%E -0.309%K -0.395%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-10 22:24
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 52.32%EV -15.07%E -8.76%K -20.92%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -1.42%E -0.309%K -0.395%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-10 22:24
1xBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.16%EV -6.18%E -3.25%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 20.71%EV -3.35%E -0.743%K -0.954%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 22:19
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.68%E -2.98%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.00%EV -3.56%E -0.792%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.53%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 21:19
BetUS1.86I 53.76%NM 49.67%EV -8.15%E -4.38%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -3.56%E -0.792%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 22:09
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 52.68%EV -15.56%E -9.10%K -21.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -3.56%E -0.792%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -3.68%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-10 22:24
Marathon Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 49.79%EV -8.15%E -4.38%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.81%EV -4.64%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV -8.05%E -2.56%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 22:05
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.29%EV -7.16%E -3.81%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.30%EV -6.78%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -8.05%E -2.56%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 21:24
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -7.16%E -3.81%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -6.78%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-10 21:19
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -7.16%E -3.81%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -6.78%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-10 21:19
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 48.13%EV -5.68%E -2.98%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.23%EV -7.21%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 22:24
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.13%EV -5.68%E -2.98%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.23%EV -7.21%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 22:24
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.13%EV -5.68%E -2.98%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.23%EV -7.21%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 22:25
Codere (IT)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.07%EV -7.66%E -4.10%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -7.85%E -1.83%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-10 21:24
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.09%EV -6.18%E -3.25%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -9.99%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -5.14%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 21:29
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.09%EV -6.18%E -3.25%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -9.99%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -5.14%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 21:29
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -7.66%E -4.10%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -9.99%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 21:29
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -7.66%E -4.10%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -9.99%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 21:29
PlayUp1.88I 53.19%NM 48.21%EV -7.16%E -3.81%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -9.99%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.22%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-10 22:04
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -11.11%E -6.17%K -13.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -9.99%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-10 21:55
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 48.56%EV -7.66%E -4.10%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -12.14%E -2.96%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-10 22:19
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 49.10%EV -9.63%E -5.26%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -12.14%E -2.96%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-10 22:23
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.42%EV -5.68%E -2.98%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -14.28%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -5.14%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-10 22:24
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -5.68%E -2.98%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -14.28%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-10 21:30
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 47.30%EV -5.68%E -2.98%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.59%EV -14.28%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.22%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-10 22:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -8.65%E -4.67%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -14.28%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-10 22:24
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -8.65%E -4.67%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -14.28%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-10 22:24
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -8.65%E -4.67%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -14.28%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-10 22:19
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -8.65%E -4.67%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -14.28%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-10 22:24
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -8.65%E -4.67%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -14.28%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-10 21:29
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -9.63%E -5.26%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.28%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-10 21:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.37%EV -9.63%E -5.26%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.67%EV -14.28%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.96%EV -18.27%E -6.53%K -10.15%G +0.000%15.4%2026-05-10 21:29
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.84%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.72%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44%1.4%2026-05-10 22:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.84%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.72%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44%1.4%2026-05-10 22:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.84%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.72%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44%1.4%2026-05-10 22:14
Matchbook1.93I 51.81%NM 50.97%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.67%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.36%1.7%2026-05-10 22:24
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 50.67%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.85%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.48%2.8%2026-05-10 22:24