La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Grêmio Novorizontino v Botafogo
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Grêmio Novorizontino (Casa)
Previsione 49.38%2.03quota equa
EV -4.70%
Vantaggio -2.43%
Kelly -5.05%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.93
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.30%49.51%49.41%52.68%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.711.841.851.9358.48%54.39%54.05%51.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Botafogo (Trasferta)
Previsione 21.43%4.67quota equa
EV +2.86%
Vantaggio +0.597%
Kelly +0.754%
Crescita +0.022%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.80
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.23%21.31%21.37%23.12%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.004.394.354.8025.00%22.77%22.99%20.83%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 29.19%3.43quota equa
EV -0.757%
Vantaggio -0.223%
Kelly -0.315%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.40
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.30%29.18%29.22%30.96%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.173.153.4035.71%31.52%31.75%29.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (47 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.43%EV -11.61%E -6.49%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV +2.86%E +0.597%K +0.754%G +0.022% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -2.22%E -0.662%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 22:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.43%EV -11.61%E -6.49%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV +2.86%E +0.597%K +0.754%G +0.022% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -2.22%E -0.662%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 22:25 |
| betPARX | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.43%EV -11.61%E -6.49%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV +2.86%E +0.597%K +0.754%G +0.022% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -2.22%E -0.662%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 22:25 |
| Unibet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.43%EV -11.61%E -6.49%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV +2.86%E +0.597%K +0.754%G +0.022% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -2.22%E -0.662%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 22:24 |
| Casumo | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.43%EV -11.61%E -6.49%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV +2.86%E +0.597%K +0.754%G +0.022% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -2.22%E -0.662%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 22:24 |
| BetRivers | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.57%EV -12.10%E -6.80%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV +2.86%E +0.597%K +0.754%G +0.022% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -2.22%E -0.662%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-10 21:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.68%EV -12.10%E -6.80%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV +1.79%E +0.378%K +0.478%G +0.009% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -0.757%E -0.223%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 22:24 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.68%EV -12.10%E -6.80%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV +1.79%E +0.378%K +0.478%G +0.009% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -0.757%E -0.223%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 22:24 |
| Pinnacle | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.73%EV -4.70%E -2.43%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 20.38%EV +0.936%E +0.199%K +0.252%G +0.002% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.90%EV -6.30%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-10 22:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.84%EV -7.16%E -3.81%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV +0.722%E +0.154%K +0.195%G +0.001% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 20:34 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.84%EV -7.16%E -3.81%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV +0.722%E +0.154%K +0.195%G +0.001% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 20:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.33%EV -13.58%E -7.76%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.49%EV +0.722%E +0.154%K +0.195%G +0.001% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -5.14%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-10 22:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.54%EV -15.07%E -8.76%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.23%EV +0.722%E +0.154%K +0.195%G +0.001% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-10 22:09 |
| Grosvenor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -13.58%E -7.76%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -1.42%E -0.309%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45%EV -2.22%E -0.662%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-10 22:24 |
| TABtouch | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.26%EV -14.08%E -8.09%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -1.42%E -0.309%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -5.14%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-10 22:24 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.32%EV -15.07%E -8.76%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -1.42%E -0.309%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-10 22:24 |
| LeoVegas | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.32%EV -15.07%E -8.76%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -1.42%E -0.309%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-10 22:24 |
| 1xBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.16%EV -6.18%E -3.25%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 20.71%EV -3.35%E -0.743%K -0.954%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 22:19 |
| DraftKings | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.68%E -2.98%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.00%EV -3.56%E -0.792%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.53%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-10 21:19 |
| BetUS | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.67%EV -8.15%E -4.38%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -3.56%E -0.792%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-10 22:09 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.68%EV -15.56%E -9.10%K -21.91%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -3.56%E -0.792%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -3.68%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-10 22:24 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.79%EV -8.15%E -4.38%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.81%EV -4.64%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV -8.05%E -2.56%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-10 22:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.29%EV -7.16%E -3.81%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.30%EV -6.78%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -8.05%E -2.56%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 21:24 |
| Betsson | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -7.16%E -3.81%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -6.78%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-10 21:19 |
| NordicBet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -7.16%E -3.81%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -6.78%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-10 21:19 |
| 888sport | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.13%EV -5.68%E -2.98%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.23%EV -7.21%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 22:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.13%EV -5.68%E -2.98%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.23%EV -7.21%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 22:24 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.13%EV -5.68%E -2.98%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.23%EV -7.21%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 22:25 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.07%EV -7.66%E -4.10%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -7.85%E -1.83%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-10 21:24 |
| Coolbet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.09%EV -6.18%E -3.25%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -9.99%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -5.14%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-10 21:29 |
| SportsBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.09%EV -6.18%E -3.25%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -9.99%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -5.14%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-10 21:29 |
| FanDuel | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -7.66%E -4.10%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -9.99%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 21:29 |
| theScore Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -7.66%E -4.10%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -9.99%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 21:29 |
| PlayUp | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.21%EV -7.16%E -3.81%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -9.99%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-10 22:04 |
| BoyleSports | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -11.11%E -6.17%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -9.99%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-10 21:55 |
| BetMGM | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.56%EV -7.66%E -4.10%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -12.14%E -2.96%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-10 22:19 |
| Bet Victor | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.10%EV -9.63%E -5.26%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -12.14%E -2.96%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-10 22:23 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.42%EV -5.68%E -2.98%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -14.28%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -5.14%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-10 22:24 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -5.68%E -2.98%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -14.28%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-10 21:30 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.30%EV -5.68%E -2.98%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.59%EV -14.28%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-10 22:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -8.65%E -4.67%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -14.28%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-10 22:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -8.65%E -4.67%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -14.28%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-10 22:24 |
| Neds | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -8.65%E -4.67%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -14.28%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-10 22:19 |
| Coral | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -8.65%E -4.67%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -14.28%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-10 22:24 |
| Paddy Power | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -8.65%E -4.67%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -14.28%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-10 21:29 |
| betfred_uk | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -9.63%E -5.26%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.28%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-10 21:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.37%EV -9.63%E -5.26%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.67%EV -14.28%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.96%EV -18.27%E -6.53%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-05-10 21:29 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.84% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.72% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44% | 1.4% | 2026-05-10 22:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.84% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.72% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44% | 1.4% | 2026-05-10 22:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.84% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.72% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44% | 1.4% | 2026-05-10 22:14 |
| Matchbook | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.97% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.67% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.36% | 1.7% | 2026-05-10 22:24 |
| Smarkets | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.67% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.85% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.48% | 2.8% | 2026-05-10 22:24 |