Школа коэффициентов

Grêmio Novorizontino v Botafogo

Начало: 2026-05-10 22:30 UTC

Итог: Grêmio Novorizontino 1–0 Botafogo

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

47 букмекерских контор (18 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Grêmio Novorizontino (Хозяева)

Прогноз 49.38%2.03справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.70%
Преимущество -2.43%
Kelly -5.05%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.93

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
47.30%49.51%49.41%52.68%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.711.841.851.9358.48%54.39%54.05%51.81%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Botafogo (Гости)

Прогноз 21.43%4.67справедливый коэффициент
EV +2.86%
Преимущество +0.597%
Kelly +0.754%
Рост +0.022%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.80

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
19.23%21.31%21.37%23.12%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
4.004.394.354.8025.00%22.77%22.99%20.83%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 29.19%3.43справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.757%
Преимущество -0.223%
Kelly -0.315%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.40

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
27.30%29.18%29.22%30.96%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.803.173.153.4035.71%31.52%31.75%29.41%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (47 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.43%EV -11.61%E -6.49%K -14.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV +2.86%E +0.597%K +0.754%G +0.022%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -2.22%E -0.662%K -0.943%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 22:25
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.43%EV -11.61%E -6.49%K -14.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV +2.86%E +0.597%K +0.754%G +0.022%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -2.22%E -0.662%K -0.943%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 22:25
betPARX1.79I 55.87%NM 52.43%EV -11.61%E -6.49%K -14.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV +2.86%E +0.597%K +0.754%G +0.022%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -2.22%E -0.662%K -0.943%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 22:25
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.43%EV -11.61%E -6.49%K -14.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV +2.86%E +0.597%K +0.754%G +0.022%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -2.22%E -0.662%K -0.943%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 22:24
Casumo1.79I 55.87%NM 52.43%EV -11.61%E -6.49%K -14.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV +2.86%E +0.597%K +0.754%G +0.022%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -2.22%E -0.662%K -0.943%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 22:24
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 52.57%EV -12.10%E -6.80%K -15.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV +2.86%E +0.597%K +0.754%G +0.022%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -2.22%E -0.662%K -0.943%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 21:45
ATG (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.68%EV -12.10%E -6.80%K -15.52%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV +1.79%E +0.378%K +0.478%G +0.009%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -0.757%E -0.223%K -0.315%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 22:24
Svenska Spel1.78I 56.18%NM 52.68%EV -12.10%E -6.80%K -15.52%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV +1.79%E +0.378%K +0.478%G +0.009%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -0.757%E -0.223%K -0.315%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 22:24
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 49.73%EV -4.70%E -2.43%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 20.38%EV +0.936%E +0.199%K +0.252%G +0.002%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.90%EV -6.30%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-10 22:09
LowVig.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 49.84%EV -7.16%E -3.81%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV +0.722%E +0.154%K +0.195%G +0.001%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 20:34
BetOnline.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 49.84%EV -7.16%E -3.81%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV +0.722%E +0.154%K +0.195%G +0.001%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 20:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.33%EV -13.58%E -7.76%K -18.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.49%EV +0.722%E +0.154%K +0.195%G +0.001%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -5.14%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-10 22:25
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.54%EV -15.07%E -8.76%K -20.92%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.23%EV +0.722%E +0.154%K +0.195%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-10 22:09
Grosvenor1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -13.58%E -7.76%K -18.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -1.42%E -0.309%K -0.395%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45%EV -2.22%E -0.662%K -0.943%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-10 22:24
TABtouch1.74I 57.47%NM 52.26%EV -14.08%E -8.09%K -19.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -1.42%E -0.309%K -0.395%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -5.14%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-10 22:24
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 52.32%EV -15.07%E -8.76%K -20.92%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -1.42%E -0.309%K -0.395%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-10 22:24
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 52.32%EV -15.07%E -8.76%K -20.92%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -1.42%E -0.309%K -0.395%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-10 22:24
1xBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.16%EV -6.18%E -3.25%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 20.71%EV -3.35%E -0.743%K -0.954%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 22:19
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.68%E -2.98%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.00%EV -3.56%E -0.792%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.53%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 21:19
BetUS1.86I 53.76%NM 49.67%EV -8.15%E -4.38%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -3.56%E -0.792%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 22:09
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 52.68%EV -15.56%E -9.10%K -21.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -3.56%E -0.792%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -3.68%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-10 22:24
Marathon Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 49.79%EV -8.15%E -4.38%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.81%EV -4.64%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV -8.05%E -2.56%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 22:05
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.29%EV -7.16%E -3.81%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.30%EV -6.78%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -8.05%E -2.56%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 21:24
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -7.16%E -3.81%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -6.78%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-10 21:19
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -7.16%E -3.81%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -6.78%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-10 21:19
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 48.13%EV -5.68%E -2.98%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.23%EV -7.21%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 22:24
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.13%EV -5.68%E -2.98%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.23%EV -7.21%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 22:24
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.13%EV -5.68%E -2.98%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.23%EV -7.21%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 22:25
Codere (IT)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.07%EV -7.66%E -4.10%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -7.85%E -1.83%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-10 21:24
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.09%EV -6.18%E -3.25%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -9.99%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -5.14%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 21:29
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.09%EV -6.18%E -3.25%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -9.99%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -5.14%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 21:29
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -7.66%E -4.10%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -9.99%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 21:29
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -7.66%E -4.10%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -9.99%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 21:29
PlayUp1.88I 53.19%NM 48.21%EV -7.16%E -3.81%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -9.99%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.22%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-10 22:04
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -11.11%E -6.17%K -13.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -9.99%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-10 21:55
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 48.56%EV -7.66%E -4.10%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -12.14%E -2.96%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-10 22:19
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 49.10%EV -9.63%E -5.26%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -12.14%E -2.96%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-10 22:23
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.42%EV -5.68%E -2.98%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -14.28%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -5.14%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-10 22:24
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -5.68%E -2.98%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -14.28%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-10 21:30
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 47.30%EV -5.68%E -2.98%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.59%EV -14.28%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.22%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-10 22:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -8.65%E -4.67%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -14.28%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-10 22:24
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -8.65%E -4.67%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -14.28%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-10 22:24
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -8.65%E -4.67%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -14.28%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-10 22:19
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -8.65%E -4.67%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -14.28%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-10 22:24
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -8.65%E -4.67%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -14.28%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-10 21:29
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -9.63%E -5.26%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.28%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-10 21:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.37%EV -9.63%E -5.26%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.67%EV -14.28%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.96%EV -18.27%E -6.53%K -10.15%G +0.000%15.4%2026-05-10 21:29
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.84%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.72%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44%1.4%2026-05-10 22:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.84%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.72%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44%1.4%2026-05-10 22:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.84%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.72%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44%1.4%2026-05-10 22:14
Matchbook1.93I 51.81%NM 50.97%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.67%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.36%1.7%2026-05-10 22:24
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 50.67%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.85%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.48%2.8%2026-05-10 22:24