مدرسة الاحتمالاتالعربية
Grêmio Novorizontino v Botafogo
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Grêmio Novorizontino (المضيف)
التنبؤ 49.38%2.03السعر العادل
EV -4.70%
الأفضلية -2.43%
Kelly -5.05%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.93
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
47.30%49.51%49.41%52.68%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.711.841.851.9358.48%54.39%54.05%51.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Botafogo (الضيف)
التنبؤ 21.43%4.67السعر العادل
EV +2.86%
الأفضلية +0.597%
Kelly +0.754%
النمو +0.022%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.80
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
19.23%21.31%21.37%23.12%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.004.394.354.8025.00%22.77%22.99%20.83%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعادل
التنبؤ 29.19%3.43السعر العادل
EV -0.757%
الأفضلية -0.223%
Kelly -0.315%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.40
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.30%29.18%29.22%30.96%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.803.173.153.4035.71%31.52%31.75%29.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (47 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف ▼ | تعادل | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.43%EV -11.61%E -6.49%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV +2.86%E +0.597%K +0.754%G +0.022% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -2.22%E -0.662%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 22:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.43%EV -11.61%E -6.49%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV +2.86%E +0.597%K +0.754%G +0.022% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -2.22%E -0.662%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 22:25 |
| betPARX | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.43%EV -11.61%E -6.49%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV +2.86%E +0.597%K +0.754%G +0.022% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -2.22%E -0.662%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 22:25 |
| Unibet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.43%EV -11.61%E -6.49%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV +2.86%E +0.597%K +0.754%G +0.022% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -2.22%E -0.662%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 22:24 |
| Casumo | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.43%EV -11.61%E -6.49%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV +2.86%E +0.597%K +0.754%G +0.022% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -2.22%E -0.662%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 22:24 |
| BetRivers | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.57%EV -12.10%E -6.80%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV +2.86%E +0.597%K +0.754%G +0.022% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -2.22%E -0.662%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-10 21:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.68%EV -12.10%E -6.80%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV +1.79%E +0.378%K +0.478%G +0.009% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -0.757%E -0.223%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 22:24 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.68%EV -12.10%E -6.80%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV +1.79%E +0.378%K +0.478%G +0.009% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -0.757%E -0.223%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 22:24 |
| Pinnacle | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.73%EV -4.70%E -2.43%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 20.38%EV +0.936%E +0.199%K +0.252%G +0.002% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.90%EV -6.30%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-10 22:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.84%EV -7.16%E -3.81%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV +0.722%E +0.154%K +0.195%G +0.001% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 20:34 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.84%EV -7.16%E -3.81%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV +0.722%E +0.154%K +0.195%G +0.001% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 20:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.33%EV -13.58%E -7.76%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.49%EV +0.722%E +0.154%K +0.195%G +0.001% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -5.14%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-10 22:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.54%EV -15.07%E -8.76%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.23%EV +0.722%E +0.154%K +0.195%G +0.001% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-10 22:09 |
| Grosvenor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -13.58%E -7.76%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -1.42%E -0.309%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45%EV -2.22%E -0.662%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-10 22:24 |
| TABtouch | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.26%EV -14.08%E -8.09%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -1.42%E -0.309%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -5.14%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-10 22:24 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.32%EV -15.07%E -8.76%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -1.42%E -0.309%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-10 22:24 |
| LeoVegas | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.32%EV -15.07%E -8.76%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -1.42%E -0.309%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-10 22:24 |
| 1xBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.16%EV -6.18%E -3.25%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 20.71%EV -3.35%E -0.743%K -0.954%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 22:19 |
| DraftKings | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.68%E -2.98%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.00%EV -3.56%E -0.792%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.53%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-10 21:19 |
| BetUS | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.67%EV -8.15%E -4.38%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -3.56%E -0.792%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-10 22:09 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.68%EV -15.56%E -9.10%K -21.91%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -3.56%E -0.792%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -3.68%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-10 22:24 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.79%EV -8.15%E -4.38%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.81%EV -4.64%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV -8.05%E -2.56%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-10 22:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.29%EV -7.16%E -3.81%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.30%EV -6.78%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -8.05%E -2.56%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 21:24 |
| Betsson | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -7.16%E -3.81%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -6.78%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-10 21:19 |
| NordicBet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -7.16%E -3.81%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -6.78%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-10 21:19 |
| 888sport | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.13%EV -5.68%E -2.98%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.23%EV -7.21%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 22:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.13%EV -5.68%E -2.98%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.23%EV -7.21%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 22:24 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.13%EV -5.68%E -2.98%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.23%EV -7.21%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 22:25 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.07%EV -7.66%E -4.10%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -7.85%E -1.83%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-10 21:24 |
| Coolbet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.09%EV -6.18%E -3.25%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -9.99%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -5.14%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-10 21:29 |
| SportsBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.09%EV -6.18%E -3.25%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -9.99%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -5.14%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-10 21:29 |
| FanDuel | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -7.66%E -4.10%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -9.99%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 21:29 |
| theScore Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -7.66%E -4.10%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -9.99%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 21:29 |
| PlayUp | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.21%EV -7.16%E -3.81%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -9.99%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-10 22:04 |
| BoyleSports | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -11.11%E -6.17%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -9.99%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-10 21:55 |
| BetMGM | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.56%EV -7.66%E -4.10%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -12.14%E -2.96%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-10 22:19 |
| Bet Victor | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.10%EV -9.63%E -5.26%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -12.14%E -2.96%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-10 22:23 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.42%EV -5.68%E -2.98%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -14.28%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -5.14%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-10 22:24 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -5.68%E -2.98%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -14.28%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-10 21:30 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.30%EV -5.68%E -2.98%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.59%EV -14.28%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-10 22:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -8.65%E -4.67%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -14.28%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-10 22:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -8.65%E -4.67%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -14.28%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-10 22:24 |
| Neds | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -8.65%E -4.67%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -14.28%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-10 22:19 |
| Coral | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -8.65%E -4.67%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -14.28%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-10 22:24 |
| Paddy Power | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -8.65%E -4.67%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -14.28%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-10 21:29 |
| betfred_uk | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -9.63%E -5.26%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.28%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-10 21:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.37%EV -9.63%E -5.26%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.67%EV -14.28%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.96%EV -18.27%E -6.53%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-05-10 21:29 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (5)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.84% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.72% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44% | 1.4% | 2026-05-10 22:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.84% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.72% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44% | 1.4% | 2026-05-10 22:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.84% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.72% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44% | 1.4% | 2026-05-10 22:14 |
| Matchbook | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.97% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.67% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.36% | 1.7% | 2026-05-10 22:24 |
| Smarkets | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.67% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.85% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.48% | 2.8% | 2026-05-10 22:24 |