Szkoła Kursów

Grêmio Novorizontino v Botafogo

Początek: 2026-05-10 22:30 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Grêmio Novorizontino 1–0 Botafogo

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

47 bukmacherów (18 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Grêmio Novorizontino (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 49.38%2.03kurs godziwy
EV -4.70%
Przewaga -2.43%
Kelly -5.05%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.93

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
47.30%49.51%49.41%52.68%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.711.841.851.9358.48%54.39%54.05%51.81%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Botafogo (Goście)

Prognoza 21.43%4.67kurs godziwy
EV +2.86%
Przewaga +0.597%
Kelly +0.754%
Wzrost +0.022%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.80

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
19.23%21.31%21.37%23.12%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.004.394.354.8025.00%22.77%22.99%20.83%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 29.19%3.43kurs godziwy
EV -0.757%
Przewaga -0.223%
Kelly -0.315%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.40

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
27.30%29.18%29.22%30.96%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.803.173.153.4035.71%31.52%31.75%29.41%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (47 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.43%EV -11.61%E -6.49%K -14.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV +2.86%E +0.597%K +0.754%G +0.022%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -2.22%E -0.662%K -0.943%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 22:25
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.43%EV -11.61%E -6.49%K -14.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV +2.86%E +0.597%K +0.754%G +0.022%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -2.22%E -0.662%K -0.943%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 22:25
betPARX1.79I 55.87%NM 52.43%EV -11.61%E -6.49%K -14.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV +2.86%E +0.597%K +0.754%G +0.022%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -2.22%E -0.662%K -0.943%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 22:25
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.43%EV -11.61%E -6.49%K -14.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV +2.86%E +0.597%K +0.754%G +0.022%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -2.22%E -0.662%K -0.943%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 22:24
Casumo1.79I 55.87%NM 52.43%EV -11.61%E -6.49%K -14.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV +2.86%E +0.597%K +0.754%G +0.022%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -2.22%E -0.662%K -0.943%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 22:24
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 52.57%EV -12.10%E -6.80%K -15.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV +2.86%E +0.597%K +0.754%G +0.022%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -2.22%E -0.662%K -0.943%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 21:45
ATG (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.68%EV -12.10%E -6.80%K -15.52%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV +1.79%E +0.378%K +0.478%G +0.009%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -0.757%E -0.223%K -0.315%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 22:24
Svenska Spel1.78I 56.18%NM 52.68%EV -12.10%E -6.80%K -15.52%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV +1.79%E +0.378%K +0.478%G +0.009%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -0.757%E -0.223%K -0.315%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 22:24
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 49.73%EV -4.70%E -2.43%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 20.38%EV +0.936%E +0.199%K +0.252%G +0.002%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.90%EV -6.30%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-10 22:09
LowVig.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 49.84%EV -7.16%E -3.81%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV +0.722%E +0.154%K +0.195%G +0.001%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 20:34
BetOnline.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 49.84%EV -7.16%E -3.81%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV +0.722%E +0.154%K +0.195%G +0.001%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 20:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.33%EV -13.58%E -7.76%K -18.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.49%EV +0.722%E +0.154%K +0.195%G +0.001%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -5.14%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-10 22:25
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.54%EV -15.07%E -8.76%K -20.92%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.23%EV +0.722%E +0.154%K +0.195%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-10 22:09
Grosvenor1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -13.58%E -7.76%K -18.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -1.42%E -0.309%K -0.395%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45%EV -2.22%E -0.662%K -0.943%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-10 22:24
TABtouch1.74I 57.47%NM 52.26%EV -14.08%E -8.09%K -19.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -1.42%E -0.309%K -0.395%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -5.14%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-10 22:24
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 52.32%EV -15.07%E -8.76%K -20.92%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -1.42%E -0.309%K -0.395%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-10 22:24
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 52.32%EV -15.07%E -8.76%K -20.92%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -1.42%E -0.309%K -0.395%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-10 22:24
1xBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.16%EV -6.18%E -3.25%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 20.71%EV -3.35%E -0.743%K -0.954%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 22:19
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.68%E -2.98%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.00%EV -3.56%E -0.792%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.53%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 21:19
BetUS1.86I 53.76%NM 49.67%EV -8.15%E -4.38%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -3.56%E -0.792%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 22:09
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 52.68%EV -15.56%E -9.10%K -21.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -3.56%E -0.792%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -3.68%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-10 22:24
Marathon Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 49.79%EV -8.15%E -4.38%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.81%EV -4.64%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV -8.05%E -2.56%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 22:05
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.29%EV -7.16%E -3.81%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.30%EV -6.78%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -8.05%E -2.56%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 21:24
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -7.16%E -3.81%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -6.78%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-10 21:19
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -7.16%E -3.81%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -6.78%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-10 21:19
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 48.13%EV -5.68%E -2.98%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.23%EV -7.21%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 22:24
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.13%EV -5.68%E -2.98%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.23%EV -7.21%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 22:24
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.13%EV -5.68%E -2.98%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.23%EV -7.21%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 22:25
Codere (IT)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.07%EV -7.66%E -4.10%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -7.85%E -1.83%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-10 21:24
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.09%EV -6.18%E -3.25%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -9.99%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -5.14%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 21:29
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.09%EV -6.18%E -3.25%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -9.99%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -5.14%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 21:29
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -7.66%E -4.10%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -9.99%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 21:29
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -7.66%E -4.10%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -9.99%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 21:29
PlayUp1.88I 53.19%NM 48.21%EV -7.16%E -3.81%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -9.99%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.22%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-10 22:04
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -11.11%E -6.17%K -13.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -9.99%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-10 21:55
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 48.56%EV -7.66%E -4.10%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -12.14%E -2.96%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-10 22:19
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 49.10%EV -9.63%E -5.26%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -12.14%E -2.96%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-10 22:23
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.42%EV -5.68%E -2.98%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -14.28%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -5.14%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-10 22:24
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -5.68%E -2.98%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -14.28%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-10 21:30
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 47.30%EV -5.68%E -2.98%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.59%EV -14.28%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.22%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-10 22:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -8.65%E -4.67%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -14.28%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-10 22:24
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -8.65%E -4.67%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -14.28%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-10 22:24
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -8.65%E -4.67%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -14.28%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-10 22:19
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -8.65%E -4.67%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -14.28%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-10 22:24
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -8.65%E -4.67%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -14.28%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-10 21:29
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -9.63%E -5.26%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.28%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-10 21:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.37%EV -9.63%E -5.26%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.67%EV -14.28%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.96%EV -18.27%E -6.53%K -10.15%G +0.000%15.4%2026-05-10 21:29
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.84%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.72%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44%1.4%2026-05-10 22:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.84%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.72%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44%1.4%2026-05-10 22:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.84%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.72%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44%1.4%2026-05-10 22:14
Matchbook1.93I 51.81%NM 50.97%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.67%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.36%1.7%2026-05-10 22:24
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 50.67%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.85%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.48%2.8%2026-05-10 22:24