Die Schule der Quoten

Grêmio Novorizontino v Botafogo

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-10 22:30 UTC

Endstand: Grêmio Novorizontino 1–0 Botafogo

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

47 Wettanbieter (18 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Grêmio Novorizontino (Heim)

Prognose 49.38%2.03faire Quote
EV -4.70%
Vorteil -2.43%
Kelly -5.05%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.93

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
47.30%49.51%49.41%52.68%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.711.841.851.9358.48%54.39%54.05%51.81%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Botafogo (Auswärts)

Prognose 21.43%4.67faire Quote
EV +2.86%
Vorteil +0.597%
Kelly +0.754%
Wachstum +0.022%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.80

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
19.23%21.31%21.37%23.12%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
4.004.394.354.8025.00%22.77%22.99%20.83%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 29.19%3.43faire Quote
EV -0.757%
Vorteil -0.223%
Kelly -0.315%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.40

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
27.30%29.18%29.22%30.96%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.803.173.153.4035.71%31.52%31.75%29.41%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (47 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.43%EV -11.61%E -6.49%K -14.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV +2.86%E +0.597%K +0.754%G +0.022%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -2.22%E -0.662%K -0.943%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 22:25
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.43%EV -11.61%E -6.49%K -14.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV +2.86%E +0.597%K +0.754%G +0.022%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -2.22%E -0.662%K -0.943%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 22:25
betPARX1.79I 55.87%NM 52.43%EV -11.61%E -6.49%K -14.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV +2.86%E +0.597%K +0.754%G +0.022%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -2.22%E -0.662%K -0.943%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 22:25
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.43%EV -11.61%E -6.49%K -14.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV +2.86%E +0.597%K +0.754%G +0.022%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -2.22%E -0.662%K -0.943%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 22:24
Casumo1.79I 55.87%NM 52.43%EV -11.61%E -6.49%K -14.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV +2.86%E +0.597%K +0.754%G +0.022%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -2.22%E -0.662%K -0.943%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 22:24
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 52.57%EV -12.10%E -6.80%K -15.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV +2.86%E +0.597%K +0.754%G +0.022%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -2.22%E -0.662%K -0.943%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 21:45
ATG (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.68%EV -12.10%E -6.80%K -15.52%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV +1.79%E +0.378%K +0.478%G +0.009%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -0.757%E -0.223%K -0.315%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 22:24
Svenska Spel1.78I 56.18%NM 52.68%EV -12.10%E -6.80%K -15.52%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV +1.79%E +0.378%K +0.478%G +0.009%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -0.757%E -0.223%K -0.315%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 22:24
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 49.73%EV -4.70%E -2.43%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 20.38%EV +0.936%E +0.199%K +0.252%G +0.002%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.90%EV -6.30%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-10 22:09
LowVig.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 49.84%EV -7.16%E -3.81%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV +0.722%E +0.154%K +0.195%G +0.001%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 20:34
BetOnline.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 49.84%EV -7.16%E -3.81%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV +0.722%E +0.154%K +0.195%G +0.001%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 20:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.33%EV -13.58%E -7.76%K -18.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.49%EV +0.722%E +0.154%K +0.195%G +0.001%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -5.14%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-10 22:25
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.54%EV -15.07%E -8.76%K -20.92%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.23%EV +0.722%E +0.154%K +0.195%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-10 22:09
Grosvenor1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -13.58%E -7.76%K -18.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -1.42%E -0.309%K -0.395%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45%EV -2.22%E -0.662%K -0.943%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-10 22:24
TABtouch1.74I 57.47%NM 52.26%EV -14.08%E -8.09%K -19.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -1.42%E -0.309%K -0.395%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -5.14%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-10 22:24
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 52.32%EV -15.07%E -8.76%K -20.92%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -1.42%E -0.309%K -0.395%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-10 22:24
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 52.32%EV -15.07%E -8.76%K -20.92%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -1.42%E -0.309%K -0.395%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-10 22:24
1xBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.16%EV -6.18%E -3.25%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 20.71%EV -3.35%E -0.743%K -0.954%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 22:19
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.68%E -2.98%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.00%EV -3.56%E -0.792%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.53%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 21:19
BetUS1.86I 53.76%NM 49.67%EV -8.15%E -4.38%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -3.56%E -0.792%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 22:09
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 52.68%EV -15.56%E -9.10%K -21.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -3.56%E -0.792%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -3.68%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-10 22:24
Marathon Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 49.79%EV -8.15%E -4.38%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.81%EV -4.64%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV -8.05%E -2.56%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 22:05
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.29%EV -7.16%E -3.81%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.30%EV -6.78%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -8.05%E -2.56%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 21:24
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -7.16%E -3.81%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -6.78%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-10 21:19
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -7.16%E -3.81%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -6.78%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-10 21:19
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 48.13%EV -5.68%E -2.98%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.23%EV -7.21%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 22:24
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.13%EV -5.68%E -2.98%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.23%EV -7.21%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 22:24
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.13%EV -5.68%E -2.98%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.23%EV -7.21%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 22:25
Codere (IT)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.07%EV -7.66%E -4.10%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -7.85%E -1.83%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-10 21:24
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.09%EV -6.18%E -3.25%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -9.99%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -5.14%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 21:29
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.09%EV -6.18%E -3.25%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -9.99%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -5.14%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 21:29
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -7.66%E -4.10%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -9.99%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 21:29
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -7.66%E -4.10%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -9.99%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 21:29
PlayUp1.88I 53.19%NM 48.21%EV -7.16%E -3.81%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -9.99%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.22%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-10 22:04
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -11.11%E -6.17%K -13.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -9.99%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-10 21:55
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 48.56%EV -7.66%E -4.10%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -12.14%E -2.96%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-10 22:19
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 49.10%EV -9.63%E -5.26%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -12.14%E -2.96%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-10 22:23
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.42%EV -5.68%E -2.98%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -14.28%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -5.14%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-10 22:24
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -5.68%E -2.98%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -14.28%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-10 21:30
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 47.30%EV -5.68%E -2.98%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.59%EV -14.28%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.22%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-10 22:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -8.65%E -4.67%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -14.28%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-10 22:24
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -8.65%E -4.67%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -14.28%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-10 22:24
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -8.65%E -4.67%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -14.28%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-10 22:19
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -8.65%E -4.67%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -14.28%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-10 22:24
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -8.65%E -4.67%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -14.28%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-10 21:29
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -9.63%E -5.26%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.28%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-10 21:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.37%EV -9.63%E -5.26%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.67%EV -14.28%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.96%EV -18.27%E -6.53%K -10.15%G +0.000%15.4%2026-05-10 21:29
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.84%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.72%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44%1.4%2026-05-10 22:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.84%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.72%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44%1.4%2026-05-10 22:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.84%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.72%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44%1.4%2026-05-10 22:14
Matchbook1.93I 51.81%NM 50.97%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.67%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.36%1.7%2026-05-10 22:24
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 50.67%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.85%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.48%2.8%2026-05-10 22:24