La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Grêmio Novorizontino v Botafogo
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Grêmio Novorizontino (Local)
Predicción 49.38%2.03momio equitativo
EV -4.70%
Ventaja -2.43%
Kelly -5.05%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.93
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.30%49.51%49.41%52.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.711.841.851.9358.48%54.39%54.05%51.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Botafogo (Visitante)
Predicción 21.43%4.67momio equitativo
EV +2.86%
Ventaja +0.597%
Kelly +0.754%
Crecimiento +0.022%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.23%21.31%21.37%23.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.394.354.8025.00%22.77%22.99%20.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.19%3.43momio equitativo
EV -0.757%
Ventaja -0.223%
Kelly -0.315%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.30%29.18%29.22%30.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.173.153.4035.71%31.52%31.75%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.43%EV -11.61%E -6.49%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV +2.86%E +0.597%K +0.754%G +0.022% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -2.22%E -0.662%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 22:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.43%EV -11.61%E -6.49%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV +2.86%E +0.597%K +0.754%G +0.022% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -2.22%E -0.662%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 22:25 |
| betPARX | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.43%EV -11.61%E -6.49%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV +2.86%E +0.597%K +0.754%G +0.022% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -2.22%E -0.662%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 22:25 |
| Unibet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.43%EV -11.61%E -6.49%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV +2.86%E +0.597%K +0.754%G +0.022% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -2.22%E -0.662%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 22:24 |
| Casumo | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.43%EV -11.61%E -6.49%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV +2.86%E +0.597%K +0.754%G +0.022% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -2.22%E -0.662%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 22:24 |
| BetRivers | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.57%EV -12.10%E -6.80%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV +2.86%E +0.597%K +0.754%G +0.022% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -2.22%E -0.662%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-10 21:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.68%EV -12.10%E -6.80%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV +1.79%E +0.378%K +0.478%G +0.009% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -0.757%E -0.223%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 22:24 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.68%EV -12.10%E -6.80%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV +1.79%E +0.378%K +0.478%G +0.009% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -0.757%E -0.223%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 22:24 |
| Pinnacle | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.73%EV -4.70%E -2.43%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 20.38%EV +0.936%E +0.199%K +0.252%G +0.002% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.90%EV -6.30%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-10 22:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.84%EV -7.16%E -3.81%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV +0.722%E +0.154%K +0.195%G +0.001% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 20:34 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.84%EV -7.16%E -3.81%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV +0.722%E +0.154%K +0.195%G +0.001% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 20:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.33%EV -13.58%E -7.76%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.49%EV +0.722%E +0.154%K +0.195%G +0.001% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -5.14%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-10 22:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.54%EV -15.07%E -8.76%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.23%EV +0.722%E +0.154%K +0.195%G +0.001% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-10 22:09 |
| Grosvenor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -13.58%E -7.76%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -1.42%E -0.309%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45%EV -2.22%E -0.662%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-10 22:24 |
| TABtouch | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.26%EV -14.08%E -8.09%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -1.42%E -0.309%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -5.14%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-10 22:24 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.32%EV -15.07%E -8.76%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -1.42%E -0.309%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-10 22:24 |
| LeoVegas | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.32%EV -15.07%E -8.76%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -1.42%E -0.309%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-10 22:24 |
| 1xBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.16%EV -6.18%E -3.25%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 20.71%EV -3.35%E -0.743%K -0.954%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 22:19 |
| DraftKings | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.68%E -2.98%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.00%EV -3.56%E -0.792%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.53%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-10 21:19 |
| BetUS | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.67%EV -8.15%E -4.38%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -3.56%E -0.792%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-10 22:09 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.68%EV -15.56%E -9.10%K -21.91%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -3.56%E -0.792%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -3.68%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-10 22:24 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.79%EV -8.15%E -4.38%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.81%EV -4.64%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV -8.05%E -2.56%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-10 22:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.29%EV -7.16%E -3.81%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.30%EV -6.78%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -8.05%E -2.56%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 21:24 |
| Betsson | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -7.16%E -3.81%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -6.78%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-10 21:19 |
| NordicBet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -7.16%E -3.81%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -6.78%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-10 21:19 |
| 888sport | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.13%EV -5.68%E -2.98%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.23%EV -7.21%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 22:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.13%EV -5.68%E -2.98%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.23%EV -7.21%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 22:24 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.13%EV -5.68%E -2.98%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.23%EV -7.21%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 22:25 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.07%EV -7.66%E -4.10%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -7.85%E -1.83%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-10 21:24 |
| Coolbet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.09%EV -6.18%E -3.25%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -9.99%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -5.14%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-10 21:29 |
| SportsBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.09%EV -6.18%E -3.25%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -9.99%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -5.14%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-10 21:29 |
| FanDuel | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -7.66%E -4.10%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -9.99%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 21:29 |
| theScore Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -7.66%E -4.10%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -9.99%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 21:29 |
| PlayUp | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.21%EV -7.16%E -3.81%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -9.99%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-10 22:04 |
| BoyleSports | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -11.11%E -6.17%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -9.99%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-10 21:55 |
| BetMGM | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.56%EV -7.66%E -4.10%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -12.14%E -2.96%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-10 22:19 |
| Bet Victor | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.10%EV -9.63%E -5.26%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -12.14%E -2.96%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-10 22:23 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.42%EV -5.68%E -2.98%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -14.28%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -5.14%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-10 22:24 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -5.68%E -2.98%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -14.28%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-10 21:30 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.30%EV -5.68%E -2.98%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.59%EV -14.28%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-10 22:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -8.65%E -4.67%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -14.28%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-10 22:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -8.65%E -4.67%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -14.28%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-10 22:24 |
| Neds | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -8.65%E -4.67%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -14.28%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-10 22:19 |
| Coral | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -8.65%E -4.67%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -14.28%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-10 22:24 |
| Paddy Power | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -8.65%E -4.67%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -14.28%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-10 21:29 |
| betfred_uk | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -9.63%E -5.26%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.28%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-10 21:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.37%EV -9.63%E -5.26%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.67%EV -14.28%E -3.57%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.96%EV -18.27%E -6.53%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-05-10 21:29 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.84% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.72% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44% | 1.4% | 2026-05-10 22:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.84% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.72% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44% | 1.4% | 2026-05-10 22:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.84% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.72% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44% | 1.4% | 2026-05-10 22:14 |
| Matchbook | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.97% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.67% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.36% | 1.7% | 2026-05-10 22:24 |
| Smarkets | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.67% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.85% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.48% | 2.8% | 2026-05-10 22:24 |