赔率学院

Fortaleza v Sport Recife

开赛时间: 2026-06-28 21:30 UTC

最终结果: Fortaleza 2–1 Sport Recife

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

48 家博彩公司 (18 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Fortaleza (主队)

预测 50.25%1.99公平赔率
EV -4.01%
优势 -2.10%
Kelly -4.41%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.91

博彩公司预测分布
48.99%50.29%50.31%53.06%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.701.821.831.9158.82%55.03%54.64%52.36%MIN均值中位数MAX

Sport Recife (客队)

预测 21.91%4.56公平赔率
EV +2.98%
优势 +0.634%
Kelly +0.805%
增长率 +0.024%

假设最高赔率为 4.70

博彩公司预测分布
19.61%21.84%21.85%22.99%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
3.904.214.254.7025.64%23.73%23.53%21.28%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 27.84%3.59公平赔率
EV -5.36%
优势 -1.58%
Kelly -2.23%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.40

博彩公司预测分布
26.97%27.87%27.84%29.54%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.883.273.303.4034.72%30.62%30.30%29.41%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (48 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
1xBet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.48%EV -10.55%E -5.93%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV +2.98%E +0.634%K +0.805%G +0.024%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.64%EV -5.92%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-28 21:20
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.06%EV -14.57%E -8.57%K -20.81%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV +0.788%E +0.171%K +0.219%G +0.002%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -8.14%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-28 21:20
Pinnacle1.90I 52.63%NM 50.61%EV -4.52%E -2.38%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 20.95%EV +0.569%E +0.124%K +0.158%G +0.001%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.45%EV -5.92%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-28 21:20
Unibet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.10%EV -8.54%E -4.69%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -3.59%E -0.817%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -6.75%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 21:09
Unibet (NL)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.10%EV -8.54%E -4.69%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -3.59%E -0.817%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -6.75%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 21:10
Unibet (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.10%EV -8.54%E -4.69%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -3.59%E -0.817%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -6.75%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 21:09
Casumo1.82I 54.95%NM 51.10%EV -8.54%E -4.69%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -3.59%E -0.817%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -6.75%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 21:10
Svenska Spel1.82I 54.95%NM 51.10%EV -8.54%E -4.69%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -3.59%E -0.817%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -6.75%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 21:10
ATG (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.10%EV -8.54%E -4.69%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -3.59%E -0.817%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -6.75%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 21:10
betPARX1.82I 54.95%NM 51.10%EV -8.54%E -4.69%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -3.59%E -0.817%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -6.75%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 21:09
Marathon Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.66%EV -8.04%E -4.39%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -3.59%E -0.817%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.27%EV -8.70%E -2.65%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-28 21:09
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 50.41%EV -8.04%E -4.39%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.21%EV -4.69%E -1.08%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -9.53%E -2.93%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-28 21:18
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 50.41%EV -8.04%E -4.39%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.21%EV -4.69%E -1.08%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -9.53%E -2.93%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-28 21:19
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 50.31%EV -7.03%E -3.80%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.49%EV -5.13%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -8.14%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 21:19
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -7.03%E -3.80%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -5.13%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -13.71%E -4.42%K -6.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-28 21:20
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -7.03%E -3.80%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -5.13%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -13.71%E -4.42%K -6.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-28 21:19
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -7.03%E -3.80%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -5.13%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -13.71%E -4.42%K -6.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-28 21:20
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -7.03%E -3.80%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -5.13%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -13.71%E -4.42%K -6.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-28 21:19
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.64%EV -4.01%E -2.10%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.05%EV -5.79%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -6.75%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-28 21:19
LowVig.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 49.70%EV -5.02%E -2.66%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -5.79%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -8.14%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-28 21:20
BetOnline.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 49.70%EV -5.02%E -2.66%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -5.79%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -8.14%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-28 21:20
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 50.24%EV -7.53%E -4.09%K -8.97%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.75%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -8.14%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-28 21:10
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 50.72%EV -8.54%E -4.69%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -6.75%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-28 21:10
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.72%EV -8.54%E -4.69%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -6.75%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-28 21:09
BetRivers1.79I 55.87%NM 50.71%EV -10.05%E -5.61%K -12.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.36%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -9.53%E -2.93%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-28 21:09
Coolbet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.99%EV -5.52%E -2.94%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -7.98%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -5.36%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-28 21:09
Codere (IT)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.38%EV -8.54%E -4.69%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -7.98%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -8.14%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-28 21:09
Grosvenor1.76I 56.82%NM 50.79%EV -11.55%E -6.56%K -15.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -7.98%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -10.93%E -3.41%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-28 21:09
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.12%EV -7.03%E -3.80%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -10.17%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -5.36%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-28 21:10
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%EV -8.04%E -4.39%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -10.17%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -5.36%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-28 21:08
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.67%EV -12.06%E -6.89%K -16.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.63%EV -10.17%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.71%EV -10.93%E -3.41%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.8%2026-06-28 21:09
TABtouch1.74I 57.47%NM 50.81%EV -12.56%E -7.22%K -16.97%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.56%EV -10.17%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -10.93%E -3.41%K -4.97%G +0.000%13.1%2026-06-28 21:09
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 50.88%EV -13.56%E -7.89%K -18.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -10.17%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.78%EV -12.32%E -3.91%K -5.73%G +0.000%14.3%2026-06-28 21:10
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 50.88%EV -13.56%E -7.89%K -18.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -10.17%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.78%EV -12.32%E -3.91%K -5.73%G +0.000%14.3%2026-06-28 21:10
LiveScore Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 50.88%EV -13.56%E -7.89%K -18.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -10.17%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.78%EV -12.32%E -3.91%K -5.73%G +0.000%14.3%2026-06-28 21:09
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -6.02%E -3.22%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.14%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-28 21:10
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -8.04%E -4.39%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -5.36%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-28 21:09
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.03%E -3.80%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.14%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-28 21:10
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 49.49%EV -8.04%E -4.39%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.87%EV -9.53%E -2.93%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-28 21:09
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 49.49%EV -8.04%E -4.39%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.87%EV -9.53%E -2.93%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-28 21:09
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -9.54%E -5.30%K -11.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -8.14%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-28 21:10
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -9.54%E -5.30%K -11.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -8.14%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-28 21:09
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -12.06%E -6.89%K -16.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -9.53%E -2.93%K -4.24%G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-28 21:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.18%EV -13.06%E -7.55%K -17.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.27%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.54%EV -19.83%E -6.89%K -10.55%G +0.000%17.5%2026-06-28 21:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -8.04%E -4.39%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -14.55%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -10.93%E -3.41%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-28 21:09
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -8.04%E -4.39%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -14.55%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -10.93%E -3.41%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-28 21:09
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -8.04%E -4.39%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -14.55%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -10.93%E -3.41%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-28 21:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -8.04%E -4.39%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -14.55%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -10.93%E -3.41%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-28 21:10
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook1.94I 51.55%NM 51.28%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.30%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42%0.5%2026-06-28 21:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.28%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.30%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42%0.5%2026-06-28 21:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.28%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.30%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42%0.5%2026-06-28 21:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.28%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.30%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42%0.5%2026-06-28 21:20
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 51.11%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.44%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%1.9%2026-06-28 21:20