Oddsskolan

Fortaleza v Sport Recife

Matchstart: 2026-06-28 21:30 UTC

Slutresultat: Fortaleza 2–1 Sport Recife

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

48 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Fortaleza (Hemma)

Prognos 50.25%1.99rättvist odds
EV -4.01%
Fördel -2.10%
Kelly -4.41%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.91

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
48.99%50.29%50.31%53.06%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.701.821.831.9158.82%55.03%54.64%52.36%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Sport Recife (Borta)

Prognos 21.91%4.56rättvist odds
EV +2.98%
Fördel +0.634%
Kelly +0.805%
Tillväxt +0.024%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.70

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
19.61%21.84%21.85%22.99%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
3.904.214.254.7025.64%23.73%23.53%21.28%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Oavgjort

Prognos 27.84%3.59rättvist odds
EV -5.36%
Fördel -1.58%
Kelly -2.23%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.40

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
26.97%27.87%27.84%29.54%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
2.883.273.303.4034.72%30.62%30.30%29.41%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (48 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
1xBet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.48%EV -10.55%E -5.93%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV +2.98%E +0.634%K +0.805%G +0.024%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.64%EV -5.92%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-28 21:20
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.06%EV -14.57%E -8.57%K -20.81%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV +0.788%E +0.171%K +0.219%G +0.002%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -8.14%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-28 21:20
Pinnacle1.90I 52.63%NM 50.61%EV -4.52%E -2.38%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 20.95%EV +0.569%E +0.124%K +0.158%G +0.001%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.45%EV -5.92%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-28 21:20
Unibet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.10%EV -8.54%E -4.69%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -3.59%E -0.817%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -6.75%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 21:09
Unibet (NL)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.10%EV -8.54%E -4.69%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -3.59%E -0.817%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -6.75%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 21:10
Unibet (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.10%EV -8.54%E -4.69%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -3.59%E -0.817%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -6.75%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 21:09
Casumo1.82I 54.95%NM 51.10%EV -8.54%E -4.69%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -3.59%E -0.817%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -6.75%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 21:10
Svenska Spel1.82I 54.95%NM 51.10%EV -8.54%E -4.69%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -3.59%E -0.817%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -6.75%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 21:10
ATG (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.10%EV -8.54%E -4.69%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -3.59%E -0.817%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -6.75%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 21:10
betPARX1.82I 54.95%NM 51.10%EV -8.54%E -4.69%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -3.59%E -0.817%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -6.75%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 21:09
Marathon Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.66%EV -8.04%E -4.39%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -3.59%E -0.817%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.27%EV -8.70%E -2.65%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-28 21:09
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 50.41%EV -8.04%E -4.39%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.21%EV -4.69%E -1.08%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -9.53%E -2.93%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-28 21:18
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 50.41%EV -8.04%E -4.39%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.21%EV -4.69%E -1.08%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -9.53%E -2.93%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-28 21:19
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 50.31%EV -7.03%E -3.80%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.49%EV -5.13%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -8.14%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 21:19
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -7.03%E -3.80%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -5.13%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -13.71%E -4.42%K -6.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-28 21:20
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -7.03%E -3.80%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -5.13%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -13.71%E -4.42%K -6.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-28 21:19
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -7.03%E -3.80%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -5.13%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -13.71%E -4.42%K -6.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-28 21:20
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -7.03%E -3.80%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -5.13%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -13.71%E -4.42%K -6.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-28 21:19
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.64%EV -4.01%E -2.10%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.05%EV -5.79%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -6.75%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-28 21:19
LowVig.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 49.70%EV -5.02%E -2.66%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -5.79%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -8.14%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-28 21:20
BetOnline.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 49.70%EV -5.02%E -2.66%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -5.79%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -8.14%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-28 21:20
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 50.24%EV -7.53%E -4.09%K -8.97%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.75%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -8.14%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-28 21:10
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 50.72%EV -8.54%E -4.69%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -6.75%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-28 21:10
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.72%EV -8.54%E -4.69%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -6.75%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-28 21:09
BetRivers1.79I 55.87%NM 50.71%EV -10.05%E -5.61%K -12.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.36%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -9.53%E -2.93%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-28 21:09
Coolbet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.99%EV -5.52%E -2.94%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -7.98%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -5.36%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-28 21:09
Codere (IT)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.38%EV -8.54%E -4.69%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -7.98%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -8.14%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-28 21:09
Grosvenor1.76I 56.82%NM 50.79%EV -11.55%E -6.56%K -15.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -7.98%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -10.93%E -3.41%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-28 21:09
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.12%EV -7.03%E -3.80%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -10.17%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -5.36%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-28 21:10
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%EV -8.04%E -4.39%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -10.17%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -5.36%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-28 21:08
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.67%EV -12.06%E -6.89%K -16.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.63%EV -10.17%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.71%EV -10.93%E -3.41%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.8%2026-06-28 21:09
TABtouch1.74I 57.47%NM 50.81%EV -12.56%E -7.22%K -16.97%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.56%EV -10.17%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -10.93%E -3.41%K -4.97%G +0.000%13.1%2026-06-28 21:09
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 50.88%EV -13.56%E -7.89%K -18.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -10.17%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.78%EV -12.32%E -3.91%K -5.73%G +0.000%14.3%2026-06-28 21:10
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 50.88%EV -13.56%E -7.89%K -18.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -10.17%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.78%EV -12.32%E -3.91%K -5.73%G +0.000%14.3%2026-06-28 21:10
LiveScore Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 50.88%EV -13.56%E -7.89%K -18.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -10.17%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.78%EV -12.32%E -3.91%K -5.73%G +0.000%14.3%2026-06-28 21:09
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -6.02%E -3.22%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.14%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-28 21:10
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -8.04%E -4.39%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -5.36%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-28 21:09
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.03%E -3.80%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.14%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-28 21:10
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 49.49%EV -8.04%E -4.39%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.87%EV -9.53%E -2.93%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-28 21:09
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 49.49%EV -8.04%E -4.39%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.87%EV -9.53%E -2.93%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-28 21:09
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -9.54%E -5.30%K -11.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -8.14%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-28 21:10
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -9.54%E -5.30%K -11.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -8.14%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-28 21:09
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -12.06%E -6.89%K -16.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -9.53%E -2.93%K -4.24%G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-28 21:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.18%EV -13.06%E -7.55%K -17.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.27%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.54%EV -19.83%E -6.89%K -10.55%G +0.000%17.5%2026-06-28 21:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -8.04%E -4.39%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -14.55%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -10.93%E -3.41%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-28 21:09
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -8.04%E -4.39%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -14.55%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -10.93%E -3.41%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-28 21:09
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -8.04%E -4.39%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -14.55%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -10.93%E -3.41%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-28 21:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -8.04%E -4.39%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -14.55%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -10.93%E -3.41%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-28 21:10
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook1.94I 51.55%NM 51.28%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.30%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42%0.5%2026-06-28 21:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.28%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.30%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42%0.5%2026-06-28 21:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.28%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.30%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42%0.5%2026-06-28 21:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.28%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.30%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42%0.5%2026-06-28 21:20
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 51.11%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.44%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%1.9%2026-06-28 21:20