مدرسة الاحتمالات

Fortaleza v Sport Recife

البداية: 2026-06-28 21:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Fortaleza 2–1 Sport Recife

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

48 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Fortaleza (المضيف)

التنبؤ 50.25%1.99السعر العادل
EV -4.01%
الأفضلية -2.10%
Kelly -4.41%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.91

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
48.99%50.29%50.31%53.06%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.701.821.831.9158.82%55.03%54.64%52.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Sport Recife (الضيف)

التنبؤ 21.91%4.56السعر العادل
EV +2.98%
الأفضلية +0.634%
Kelly +0.805%
النمو +0.024%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.70

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
19.61%21.84%21.85%22.99%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.904.214.254.7025.64%23.73%23.53%21.28%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.84%3.59السعر العادل
EV -5.36%
الأفضلية -1.58%
Kelly -2.23%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.97%27.87%27.84%29.54%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.273.303.4034.72%30.62%30.30%29.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (48 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.48%EV -10.55%E -5.93%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV +2.98%E +0.634%K +0.805%G +0.024%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.64%EV -5.92%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-28 21:20
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.06%EV -14.57%E -8.57%K -20.81%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV +0.788%E +0.171%K +0.219%G +0.002%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -8.14%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-28 21:20
Pinnacle1.90I 52.63%NM 50.61%EV -4.52%E -2.38%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 20.95%EV +0.569%E +0.124%K +0.158%G +0.001%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.45%EV -5.92%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-28 21:20
Unibet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.10%EV -8.54%E -4.69%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -3.59%E -0.817%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -6.75%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 21:09
Unibet (NL)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.10%EV -8.54%E -4.69%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -3.59%E -0.817%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -6.75%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 21:10
Unibet (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.10%EV -8.54%E -4.69%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -3.59%E -0.817%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -6.75%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 21:09
Casumo1.82I 54.95%NM 51.10%EV -8.54%E -4.69%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -3.59%E -0.817%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -6.75%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 21:10
Svenska Spel1.82I 54.95%NM 51.10%EV -8.54%E -4.69%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -3.59%E -0.817%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -6.75%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 21:10
ATG (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.10%EV -8.54%E -4.69%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -3.59%E -0.817%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -6.75%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 21:10
betPARX1.82I 54.95%NM 51.10%EV -8.54%E -4.69%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -3.59%E -0.817%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -6.75%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 21:09
Marathon Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.66%EV -8.04%E -4.39%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -3.59%E -0.817%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.27%EV -8.70%E -2.65%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-28 21:09
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 50.41%EV -8.04%E -4.39%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.21%EV -4.69%E -1.08%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -9.53%E -2.93%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-28 21:18
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 50.41%EV -8.04%E -4.39%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.21%EV -4.69%E -1.08%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -9.53%E -2.93%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-28 21:19
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 50.31%EV -7.03%E -3.80%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.49%EV -5.13%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -8.14%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 21:19
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -7.03%E -3.80%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -5.13%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -13.71%E -4.42%K -6.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-28 21:20
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -7.03%E -3.80%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -5.13%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -13.71%E -4.42%K -6.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-28 21:19
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -7.03%E -3.80%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -5.13%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -13.71%E -4.42%K -6.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-28 21:20
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -7.03%E -3.80%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -5.13%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -13.71%E -4.42%K -6.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-28 21:19
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.64%EV -4.01%E -2.10%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.05%EV -5.79%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -6.75%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-28 21:19
LowVig.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 49.70%EV -5.02%E -2.66%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -5.79%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -8.14%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-28 21:20
BetOnline.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 49.70%EV -5.02%E -2.66%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -5.79%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -8.14%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-28 21:20
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 50.24%EV -7.53%E -4.09%K -8.97%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.75%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -8.14%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-28 21:10
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 50.72%EV -8.54%E -4.69%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -6.75%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-28 21:10
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.72%EV -8.54%E -4.69%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -6.75%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-28 21:09
BetRivers1.79I 55.87%NM 50.71%EV -10.05%E -5.61%K -12.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.36%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -9.53%E -2.93%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-28 21:09
Coolbet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.99%EV -5.52%E -2.94%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -7.98%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -5.36%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-28 21:09
Codere (IT)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.38%EV -8.54%E -4.69%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -7.98%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -8.14%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-28 21:09
Grosvenor1.76I 56.82%NM 50.79%EV -11.55%E -6.56%K -15.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -7.98%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -10.93%E -3.41%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-28 21:09
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.12%EV -7.03%E -3.80%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -10.17%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -5.36%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-28 21:10
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%EV -8.04%E -4.39%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -10.17%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -5.36%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-28 21:08
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.67%EV -12.06%E -6.89%K -16.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.63%EV -10.17%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.71%EV -10.93%E -3.41%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.8%2026-06-28 21:09
TABtouch1.74I 57.47%NM 50.81%EV -12.56%E -7.22%K -16.97%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.56%EV -10.17%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -10.93%E -3.41%K -4.97%G +0.000%13.1%2026-06-28 21:09
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 50.88%EV -13.56%E -7.89%K -18.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -10.17%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.78%EV -12.32%E -3.91%K -5.73%G +0.000%14.3%2026-06-28 21:10
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 50.88%EV -13.56%E -7.89%K -18.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -10.17%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.78%EV -12.32%E -3.91%K -5.73%G +0.000%14.3%2026-06-28 21:10
LiveScore Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 50.88%EV -13.56%E -7.89%K -18.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -10.17%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.78%EV -12.32%E -3.91%K -5.73%G +0.000%14.3%2026-06-28 21:09
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -6.02%E -3.22%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.14%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-28 21:10
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -8.04%E -4.39%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -5.36%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-28 21:09
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.03%E -3.80%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.14%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-28 21:10
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 49.49%EV -8.04%E -4.39%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.87%EV -9.53%E -2.93%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-28 21:09
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 49.49%EV -8.04%E -4.39%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.87%EV -9.53%E -2.93%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-28 21:09
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -9.54%E -5.30%K -11.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -8.14%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-28 21:10
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -9.54%E -5.30%K -11.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -8.14%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-28 21:09
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -12.06%E -6.89%K -16.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -9.53%E -2.93%K -4.24%G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-28 21:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.18%EV -13.06%E -7.55%K -17.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.27%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.54%EV -19.83%E -6.89%K -10.55%G +0.000%17.5%2026-06-28 21:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -8.04%E -4.39%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -14.55%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -10.93%E -3.41%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-28 21:09
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -8.04%E -4.39%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -14.55%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -10.93%E -3.41%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-28 21:09
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -8.04%E -4.39%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -14.55%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -10.93%E -3.41%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-28 21:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -8.04%E -4.39%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -14.55%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -10.93%E -3.41%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-28 21:10
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.94I 51.55%NM 51.28%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.30%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42%0.5%2026-06-28 21:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.28%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.30%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42%0.5%2026-06-28 21:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.28%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.30%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42%0.5%2026-06-28 21:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.28%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.30%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42%0.5%2026-06-28 21:20
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 51.11%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.44%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%1.9%2026-06-28 21:20