Школа коэффициентов

Fortaleza v Sport Recife

Начало: 2026-06-28 21:30 UTC

Итог: Fortaleza 2–1 Sport Recife

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

48 букмекерских контор (18 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Fortaleza (Хозяева)

Прогноз 50.25%1.99справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.01%
Преимущество -2.10%
Kelly -4.41%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.91

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
48.99%50.29%50.31%53.06%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.701.821.831.9158.82%55.03%54.64%52.36%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Sport Recife (Гости)

Прогноз 21.91%4.56справедливый коэффициент
EV +2.98%
Преимущество +0.634%
Kelly +0.805%
Рост +0.024%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.70

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
19.61%21.84%21.85%22.99%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.904.214.254.7025.64%23.73%23.53%21.28%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 27.84%3.59справедливый коэффициент
EV -5.36%
Преимущество -1.58%
Kelly -2.23%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.40

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
26.97%27.87%27.84%29.54%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.883.273.303.4034.72%30.62%30.30%29.41%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (48 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
1xBet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.48%EV -10.55%E -5.93%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV +2.98%E +0.634%K +0.805%G +0.024%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.64%EV -5.92%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-28 21:20
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.06%EV -14.57%E -8.57%K -20.81%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV +0.788%E +0.171%K +0.219%G +0.002%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -8.14%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-28 21:20
Pinnacle1.90I 52.63%NM 50.61%EV -4.52%E -2.38%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 20.95%EV +0.569%E +0.124%K +0.158%G +0.001%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.45%EV -5.92%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-28 21:20
Unibet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.10%EV -8.54%E -4.69%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -3.59%E -0.817%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -6.75%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 21:09
Unibet (NL)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.10%EV -8.54%E -4.69%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -3.59%E -0.817%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -6.75%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 21:10
Unibet (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.10%EV -8.54%E -4.69%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -3.59%E -0.817%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -6.75%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 21:09
Casumo1.82I 54.95%NM 51.10%EV -8.54%E -4.69%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -3.59%E -0.817%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -6.75%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 21:10
Svenska Spel1.82I 54.95%NM 51.10%EV -8.54%E -4.69%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -3.59%E -0.817%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -6.75%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 21:10
ATG (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.10%EV -8.54%E -4.69%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -3.59%E -0.817%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -6.75%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 21:10
betPARX1.82I 54.95%NM 51.10%EV -8.54%E -4.69%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -3.59%E -0.817%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -6.75%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 21:09
Marathon Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.66%EV -8.04%E -4.39%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -3.59%E -0.817%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.27%EV -8.70%E -2.65%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-28 21:09
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 50.41%EV -8.04%E -4.39%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.21%EV -4.69%E -1.08%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -9.53%E -2.93%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-28 21:18
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 50.41%EV -8.04%E -4.39%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.21%EV -4.69%E -1.08%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -9.53%E -2.93%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-28 21:19
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 50.31%EV -7.03%E -3.80%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.49%EV -5.13%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -8.14%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 21:19
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -7.03%E -3.80%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -5.13%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -13.71%E -4.42%K -6.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-28 21:20
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -7.03%E -3.80%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -5.13%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -13.71%E -4.42%K -6.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-28 21:19
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -7.03%E -3.80%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -5.13%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -13.71%E -4.42%K -6.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-28 21:20
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -7.03%E -3.80%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -5.13%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -13.71%E -4.42%K -6.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-28 21:19
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.64%EV -4.01%E -2.10%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.05%EV -5.79%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -6.75%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-28 21:19
LowVig.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 49.70%EV -5.02%E -2.66%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -5.79%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -8.14%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-28 21:20
BetOnline.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 49.70%EV -5.02%E -2.66%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -5.79%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -8.14%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-28 21:20
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 50.24%EV -7.53%E -4.09%K -8.97%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.75%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -8.14%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-28 21:10
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 50.72%EV -8.54%E -4.69%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -6.75%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-28 21:10
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.72%EV -8.54%E -4.69%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -6.75%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-28 21:09
BetRivers1.79I 55.87%NM 50.71%EV -10.05%E -5.61%K -12.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.36%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -9.53%E -2.93%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-28 21:09
Coolbet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.99%EV -5.52%E -2.94%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -7.98%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -5.36%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-28 21:09
Codere (IT)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.38%EV -8.54%E -4.69%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -7.98%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -8.14%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-28 21:09
Grosvenor1.76I 56.82%NM 50.79%EV -11.55%E -6.56%K -15.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -7.98%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -10.93%E -3.41%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-28 21:09
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.12%EV -7.03%E -3.80%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -10.17%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -5.36%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-28 21:10
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%EV -8.04%E -4.39%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -10.17%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -5.36%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-28 21:08
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.67%EV -12.06%E -6.89%K -16.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.63%EV -10.17%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.71%EV -10.93%E -3.41%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.8%2026-06-28 21:09
TABtouch1.74I 57.47%NM 50.81%EV -12.56%E -7.22%K -16.97%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.56%EV -10.17%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -10.93%E -3.41%K -4.97%G +0.000%13.1%2026-06-28 21:09
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 50.88%EV -13.56%E -7.89%K -18.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -10.17%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.78%EV -12.32%E -3.91%K -5.73%G +0.000%14.3%2026-06-28 21:10
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 50.88%EV -13.56%E -7.89%K -18.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -10.17%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.78%EV -12.32%E -3.91%K -5.73%G +0.000%14.3%2026-06-28 21:10
LiveScore Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 50.88%EV -13.56%E -7.89%K -18.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -10.17%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.78%EV -12.32%E -3.91%K -5.73%G +0.000%14.3%2026-06-28 21:09
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -6.02%E -3.22%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.14%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-28 21:10
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -8.04%E -4.39%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -5.36%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-28 21:09
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.03%E -3.80%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.14%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-28 21:10
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 49.49%EV -8.04%E -4.39%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.87%EV -9.53%E -2.93%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-28 21:09
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 49.49%EV -8.04%E -4.39%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.87%EV -9.53%E -2.93%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-28 21:09
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -9.54%E -5.30%K -11.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -8.14%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-28 21:10
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -9.54%E -5.30%K -11.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -8.14%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-28 21:09
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -12.06%E -6.89%K -16.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -9.53%E -2.93%K -4.24%G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-28 21:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.18%EV -13.06%E -7.55%K -17.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.27%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.54%EV -19.83%E -6.89%K -10.55%G +0.000%17.5%2026-06-28 21:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -8.04%E -4.39%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -14.55%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -10.93%E -3.41%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-28 21:09
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -8.04%E -4.39%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -14.55%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -10.93%E -3.41%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-28 21:09
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -8.04%E -4.39%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -14.55%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -10.93%E -3.41%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-28 21:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -8.04%E -4.39%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -14.55%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -10.93%E -3.41%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-28 21:10
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook1.94I 51.55%NM 51.28%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.30%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42%0.5%2026-06-28 21:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.28%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.30%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42%0.5%2026-06-28 21:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.28%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.30%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42%0.5%2026-06-28 21:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.28%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.30%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42%0.5%2026-06-28 21:20
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 51.11%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.44%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%1.9%2026-06-28 21:20