Szkoła Kursów

Fortaleza v Sport Recife

Początek: 2026-06-28 21:30 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Fortaleza 2–1 Sport Recife

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

48 bukmacherów (18 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Fortaleza (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 50.25%1.99kurs godziwy
EV -4.01%
Przewaga -2.10%
Kelly -4.41%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.91

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
48.99%50.29%50.31%53.06%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.701.821.831.9158.82%55.03%54.64%52.36%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Sport Recife (Goście)

Prognoza 21.91%4.56kurs godziwy
EV +2.98%
Przewaga +0.634%
Kelly +0.805%
Wzrost +0.024%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.70

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
19.61%21.84%21.85%22.99%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.904.214.254.7025.64%23.73%23.53%21.28%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 27.84%3.59kurs godziwy
EV -5.36%
Przewaga -1.58%
Kelly -2.23%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.40

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
26.97%27.87%27.84%29.54%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.883.273.303.4034.72%30.62%30.30%29.41%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (48 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
1xBet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.48%EV -10.55%E -5.93%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV +2.98%E +0.634%K +0.805%G +0.024%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.64%EV -5.92%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-28 21:20
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.06%EV -14.57%E -8.57%K -20.81%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV +0.788%E +0.171%K +0.219%G +0.002%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -8.14%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-28 21:20
Pinnacle1.90I 52.63%NM 50.61%EV -4.52%E -2.38%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 20.95%EV +0.569%E +0.124%K +0.158%G +0.001%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.45%EV -5.92%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-28 21:20
Unibet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.10%EV -8.54%E -4.69%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -3.59%E -0.817%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -6.75%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 21:09
Unibet (NL)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.10%EV -8.54%E -4.69%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -3.59%E -0.817%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -6.75%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 21:10
Unibet (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.10%EV -8.54%E -4.69%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -3.59%E -0.817%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -6.75%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 21:09
Casumo1.82I 54.95%NM 51.10%EV -8.54%E -4.69%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -3.59%E -0.817%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -6.75%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 21:10
Svenska Spel1.82I 54.95%NM 51.10%EV -8.54%E -4.69%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -3.59%E -0.817%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -6.75%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 21:10
ATG (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.10%EV -8.54%E -4.69%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -3.59%E -0.817%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -6.75%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 21:10
betPARX1.82I 54.95%NM 51.10%EV -8.54%E -4.69%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -3.59%E -0.817%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -6.75%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 21:09
Marathon Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.66%EV -8.04%E -4.39%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -3.59%E -0.817%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.27%EV -8.70%E -2.65%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-28 21:09
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 50.41%EV -8.04%E -4.39%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.21%EV -4.69%E -1.08%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -9.53%E -2.93%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-28 21:18
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 50.41%EV -8.04%E -4.39%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.21%EV -4.69%E -1.08%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -9.53%E -2.93%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-28 21:19
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 50.31%EV -7.03%E -3.80%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.49%EV -5.13%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -8.14%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 21:19
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -7.03%E -3.80%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -5.13%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -13.71%E -4.42%K -6.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-28 21:20
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -7.03%E -3.80%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -5.13%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -13.71%E -4.42%K -6.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-28 21:19
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -7.03%E -3.80%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -5.13%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -13.71%E -4.42%K -6.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-28 21:20
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -7.03%E -3.80%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -5.13%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -13.71%E -4.42%K -6.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-28 21:19
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.64%EV -4.01%E -2.10%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.05%EV -5.79%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -6.75%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-28 21:19
LowVig.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 49.70%EV -5.02%E -2.66%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -5.79%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -8.14%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-28 21:20
BetOnline.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 49.70%EV -5.02%E -2.66%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -5.79%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -8.14%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-28 21:20
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 50.24%EV -7.53%E -4.09%K -8.97%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.75%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -8.14%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-28 21:10
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 50.72%EV -8.54%E -4.69%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -6.75%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-28 21:10
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.72%EV -8.54%E -4.69%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -6.75%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-28 21:09
BetRivers1.79I 55.87%NM 50.71%EV -10.05%E -5.61%K -12.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.36%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -9.53%E -2.93%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-28 21:09
Coolbet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.99%EV -5.52%E -2.94%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -7.98%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -5.36%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-28 21:09
Codere (IT)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.38%EV -8.54%E -4.69%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -7.98%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -8.14%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-28 21:09
Grosvenor1.76I 56.82%NM 50.79%EV -11.55%E -6.56%K -15.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -7.98%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -10.93%E -3.41%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-28 21:09
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.12%EV -7.03%E -3.80%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -10.17%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -5.36%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-28 21:10
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%EV -8.04%E -4.39%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -10.17%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -5.36%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-28 21:08
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.67%EV -12.06%E -6.89%K -16.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.63%EV -10.17%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.71%EV -10.93%E -3.41%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.8%2026-06-28 21:09
TABtouch1.74I 57.47%NM 50.81%EV -12.56%E -7.22%K -16.97%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.56%EV -10.17%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -10.93%E -3.41%K -4.97%G +0.000%13.1%2026-06-28 21:09
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 50.88%EV -13.56%E -7.89%K -18.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -10.17%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.78%EV -12.32%E -3.91%K -5.73%G +0.000%14.3%2026-06-28 21:10
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 50.88%EV -13.56%E -7.89%K -18.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -10.17%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.78%EV -12.32%E -3.91%K -5.73%G +0.000%14.3%2026-06-28 21:10
LiveScore Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 50.88%EV -13.56%E -7.89%K -18.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -10.17%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.78%EV -12.32%E -3.91%K -5.73%G +0.000%14.3%2026-06-28 21:09
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -6.02%E -3.22%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.14%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-28 21:10
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -8.04%E -4.39%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -5.36%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-28 21:09
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.03%E -3.80%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.14%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-28 21:10
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 49.49%EV -8.04%E -4.39%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.87%EV -9.53%E -2.93%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-28 21:09
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 49.49%EV -8.04%E -4.39%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.87%EV -9.53%E -2.93%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-28 21:09
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -9.54%E -5.30%K -11.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -8.14%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-28 21:10
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -9.54%E -5.30%K -11.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -8.14%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-28 21:09
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -12.06%E -6.89%K -16.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -9.53%E -2.93%K -4.24%G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-28 21:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.18%EV -13.06%E -7.55%K -17.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.27%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.54%EV -19.83%E -6.89%K -10.55%G +0.000%17.5%2026-06-28 21:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -8.04%E -4.39%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -14.55%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -10.93%E -3.41%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-28 21:09
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -8.04%E -4.39%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -14.55%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -10.93%E -3.41%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-28 21:09
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -8.04%E -4.39%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -14.55%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -10.93%E -3.41%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-28 21:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -8.04%E -4.39%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -14.55%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -10.93%E -3.41%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-28 21:10
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook1.94I 51.55%NM 51.28%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.30%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42%0.5%2026-06-28 21:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.28%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.30%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42%0.5%2026-06-28 21:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.28%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.30%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42%0.5%2026-06-28 21:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.28%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.30%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42%0.5%2026-06-28 21:20
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 51.11%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.44%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%1.9%2026-06-28 21:20