L’École des cotesFortaleza v Sport Recife
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Fortaleza (Local)
Prévision 50.25%1.99cote équitable
EV -4.01%
Avantage -2.10%
Kelly -4.41%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.91
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.99%50.29%50.31%53.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.821.831.9158.82%55.03%54.64%52.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Sport Recife (Visiteur)
Prévision 21.91%4.56cote équitable
EV +2.98%
Avantage +0.634%
Kelly +0.805%
Croissance +0.024%
avec la cote maximale 4.70
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.61%21.84%21.85%22.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.904.214.254.7025.64%23.73%23.53%21.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 27.84%3.59cote équitable
EV -5.36%
Avantage -1.58%
Kelly -2.23%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.97%27.87%27.84%29.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.273.303.4034.72%30.62%30.30%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.48%EV -10.55%E -5.93%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV +2.98%E +0.634%K +0.805%G +0.024% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.64%EV -5.92%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-28 21:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.06%EV -14.57%E -8.57%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV +0.788%E +0.171%K +0.219%G +0.002% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -8.14%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-06-28 21:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.61%EV -4.52%E -2.38%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 4.59I 21.79%NM 20.95%EV +0.569%E +0.124%K +0.158%G +0.001% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.45%EV -5.92%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-28 21:20 |
| Unibet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.10%EV -8.54%E -4.69%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -3.59%E -0.817%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -6.75%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-28 21:09 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.10%EV -8.54%E -4.69%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -3.59%E -0.817%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -6.75%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-28 21:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.10%EV -8.54%E -4.69%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -3.59%E -0.817%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -6.75%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-28 21:09 |
| Casumo | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.10%EV -8.54%E -4.69%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -3.59%E -0.817%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -6.75%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-28 21:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.10%EV -8.54%E -4.69%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -3.59%E -0.817%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -6.75%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-28 21:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.10%EV -8.54%E -4.69%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -3.59%E -0.817%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -6.75%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-28 21:10 |
| betPARX | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.10%EV -8.54%E -4.69%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -3.59%E -0.817%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -6.75%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-28 21:09 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.66%EV -8.04%E -4.39%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -3.59%E -0.817%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.27%EV -8.70%E -2.65%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-28 21:09 |
| Bovada | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.41%EV -8.04%E -4.39%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.21%EV -4.69%E -1.08%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -9.53%E -2.93%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-28 21:18 |
| BetUS | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.41%EV -8.04%E -4.39%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.21%EV -4.69%E -1.08%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -9.53%E -2.93%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-28 21:19 |
| Betway | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.31%EV -7.03%E -3.80%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.49%EV -5.13%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -8.14%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-28 21:19 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -7.03%E -3.80%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -5.13%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -13.71%E -4.42%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-28 21:20 |
| William Hill | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -7.03%E -3.80%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -5.13%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -13.71%E -4.42%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-28 21:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -7.03%E -3.80%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -5.13%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -13.71%E -4.42%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-28 21:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -7.03%E -3.80%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -5.13%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -13.71%E -4.42%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-28 21:19 |
| DraftKings | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.64%EV -4.01%E -2.10%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.05%EV -5.79%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -6.75%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-28 21:19 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.70%EV -5.02%E -2.66%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -5.79%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -8.14%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-28 21:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.70%EV -5.02%E -2.66%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -5.79%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -8.14%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-28 21:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.24%EV -7.53%E -4.09%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.75%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -8.14%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-28 21:10 |
| Betsson | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.72%EV -8.54%E -4.69%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -6.75%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-28 21:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.72%EV -8.54%E -4.69%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -6.75%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-28 21:09 |
| BetRivers | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.71%EV -10.05%E -5.61%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.36%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -9.53%E -2.93%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-28 21:09 |
| Coolbet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.99%EV -5.52%E -2.94%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -7.98%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -5.36%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-28 21:09 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.38%EV -8.54%E -4.69%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -7.98%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -8.14%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-28 21:09 |
| Grosvenor | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.79%EV -11.55%E -6.56%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -7.98%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -10.93%E -3.41%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-06-28 21:09 |
| SportsBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.12%EV -7.03%E -3.80%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -10.17%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -5.36%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-28 21:10 |
| FanDuel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%EV -8.04%E -4.39%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -10.17%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -5.36%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-28 21:08 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.67%EV -12.06%E -6.89%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.63%EV -10.17%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.71%EV -10.93%E -3.41%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-06-28 21:09 |
| TABtouch | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.81%EV -12.56%E -7.22%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.56%EV -10.17%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -10.93%E -3.41%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-06-28 21:09 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 50.88%EV -13.56%E -7.89%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -10.17%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.78%EV -12.32%E -3.91%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-06-28 21:10 |
| LeoVegas | 1.72I 58.14%NM 50.88%EV -13.56%E -7.89%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -10.17%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.78%EV -12.32%E -3.91%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-06-28 21:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 50.88%EV -13.56%E -7.89%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -10.17%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.78%EV -12.32%E -3.91%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-06-28 21:09 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -6.02%E -3.22%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.14%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-28 21:10 |
| theScore Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -8.04%E -4.39%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -5.36%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-28 21:09 |
| BetMGM | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.03%E -3.80%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.14%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-28 21:10 |
| betfred_uk | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.49%EV -8.04%E -4.39%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.87%EV -9.53%E -2.93%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-06-28 21:09 |
| PlayUp | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.49%EV -8.04%E -4.39%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.87%EV -9.53%E -2.93%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-06-28 21:09 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -9.54%E -5.30%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -8.14%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-06-28 21:10 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -9.54%E -5.30%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -8.14%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-06-28 21:09 |
| BoyleSports | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -12.06%E -6.89%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -9.53%E -2.93%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-06-28 21:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.18%EV -13.06%E -7.55%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.27%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.54%EV -19.83%E -6.89%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 17.5% | 2026-06-28 21:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -8.04%E -4.39%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -14.55%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -10.93%E -3.41%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-28 21:09 |
| Neds | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -8.04%E -4.39%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -14.55%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -10.93%E -3.41%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-28 21:09 |
| Coral | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -8.04%E -4.39%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -14.55%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -10.93%E -3.41%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-28 21:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -8.04%E -4.39%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -14.55%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -10.93%E -3.41%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-28 21:10 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.28% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.30% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42% | 0.5% | 2026-06-28 21:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.28% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.30% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42% | 0.5% | 2026-06-28 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.28% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.30% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42% | 0.5% | 2026-06-28 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.28% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.30% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42% | 0.5% | 2026-06-28 21:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.11% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.44% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44% | 1.9% | 2026-06-28 21:20 |