Language:English
Fortaleza v Criciuma
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Fortaleza (Local)
Prediction 50.14%1.99fair odd
EV -4.74%
Edge -2.49%
Kelly -5.27%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.51%50.18%50.19%52.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.841.851.9058.14%54.30%54.05%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Criciuma (Visit)
Prediction 21.37%4.68fair odd
EV +0.455%
Edge +0.097%
Kelly +0.123%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 4.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.23%21.24%21.36%22.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.304.334.7026.67%23.26%23.09%21.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.49%3.51fair odd
EV -3.99%
Edge -1.18%
Kelly -1.68%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.37
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.86%28.57%28.44%30.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.213.203.3734.72%31.18%31.25%29.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fortaleza (Local): 50.14%; Criciuma (Visit): 21.37%; Draw: 28.49%. For Criciuma (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.68. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.455%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.54%EV -13.76%E -8.00%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.23%EV +0.455%E +0.097%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.59%EV -4.74%E -2.49%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.89%EV -1.68%E -0.366%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.52%EV -3.99%E -1.18%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-19 22:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.23%EV -6.24%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -1.68%E -0.366%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-19 22:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.73%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -1.68%E -0.366%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.73%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -1.68%E -0.366%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -3.82%E -0.849%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-19 22:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.86%EV -6.75%E -3.63%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -3.82%E -0.849%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.53%EV -10.54%E -3.36%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.52%EV -5.74%E -3.05%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.92%EV -4.89%E -1.10%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -10.26%E -3.26%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.42%EV -6.24%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.77%EV -4.89%E -1.10%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.81%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-19 22:52 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -6.24%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -5.96%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-19 22:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -5.96%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.30%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 22:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.53%EV -6.75%E -3.63%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -5.96%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.53%EV -11.11%E -3.56%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.26%EV -9.75%E -5.42%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -5.96%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-19 22:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.30%EV -6.24%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 22:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.30%EV -6.24%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 22:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.30%EV -6.24%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 22:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.30%EV -6.24%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 22:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.30%EV -6.24%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 22:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.30%EV -6.24%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 22:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.30%EV -6.24%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 22:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.31%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.49%EV -7.45%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-19 22:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -7.45%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-19 22:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -7.45%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-19 22:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -7.45%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -7.45%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-19 22:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.23%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.61%EV -8.09%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 22:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -9.16%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.67%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -9.16%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.67%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -9.16%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -9.16%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-19 22:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -9.16%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-19 22:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.30%EV -8.75%E -4.81%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.54%EV -9.16%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-19 22:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -10.23%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 22:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -10.23%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.30%EV -9.25%E -5.11%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -10.23%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-19 22:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.21%EV -5.74%E -3.05%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -10.23%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -14.53%E -4.84%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -9.75%E -5.42%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.23%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-19 22:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.36%EV -10.26%E -5.73%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -10.23%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-19 22:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.36%EV -10.26%E -5.73%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -10.23%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-19 22:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.36%EV -10.26%E -5.73%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -10.23%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-19 22:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.86%EV -9.75%E -5.42%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -10.23%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.77%EV -11.11%E -3.56%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -14.51%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-19 22:37 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.51%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.51%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.51%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.51%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 47.51%EV -9.75%E -5.42%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.80%EV -19.85%E -5.29%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.69%EV -17.95%E -6.23%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-04-19 22:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.67% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.97% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.36% | 0.2% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.80% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.91% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29% | 0.4% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.80% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.91% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29% | 0.4% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.80% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.91% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29% | 0.4% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.50% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.10% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.40% | 1.5% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |