Szkoła Kursów

Fortaleza v Criciuma

Początek: 2026-04-19 23:00 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Fortaleza 3–2 Criciuma

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

47 bukmacherów (17 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Fortaleza (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 50.14%1.99kurs godziwy
EV -4.74%
Przewaga -2.49%
Kelly -5.27%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.90

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
47.51%50.18%50.19%52.54%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.721.841.851.9058.14%54.30%54.05%52.63%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Criciuma (Goście)

Prognoza 21.37%4.68kurs godziwy
EV +0.455%
Przewaga +0.097%
Kelly +0.123%
Wzrost +0.001%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.70

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
19.23%21.24%21.36%22.80%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.754.304.334.7026.67%23.26%23.09%21.28%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 28.49%3.51kurs godziwy
EV -3.99%
Przewaga -1.18%
Kelly -1.68%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.37

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
27.86%28.57%28.44%30.21%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.883.213.203.3734.72%31.18%31.25%29.67%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (47 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.54%EV -13.76%E -8.00%K -19.12%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.23%EV +0.455%E +0.097%K +0.123%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-19 22:50
Pinnacle1.90I 52.63%NM 50.59%EV -4.74%E -2.49%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.89%EV -1.68%E -0.366%K -0.467%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.52%EV -3.99%E -1.18%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-19 22:45
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 50.23%EV -6.24%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -1.68%E -0.366%K -0.467%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 22:44
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 50.73%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -1.68%E -0.366%K -0.467%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 22:50
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 50.73%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -1.68%E -0.366%K -0.467%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 22:50
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -3.82%E -0.849%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 22:45
Marathon Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 49.86%EV -6.75%E -3.63%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -3.82%E -0.849%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.53%EV -10.54%E -3.36%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 22:55
1xBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.52%EV -5.74%E -3.05%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.92%EV -4.89%E -1.10%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -10.26%E -3.26%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 22:55
Bovada1.87I 53.48%NM 49.42%EV -6.24%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.77%EV -4.89%E -1.10%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.81%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 22:52
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -6.24%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -5.96%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 22:45
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -5.96%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.30%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 22:54
BetUS1.86I 53.76%NM 49.53%EV -6.75%E -3.63%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -5.96%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.53%EV -11.11%E -3.56%K -5.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 22:50
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.26%EV -9.75%E -5.42%K -12.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -5.96%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-19 22:45
Unibet (NL)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.30%EV -6.24%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 22:40
Casumo1.87I 53.48%NM 50.30%EV -6.24%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 22:40
Unibet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.30%EV -6.24%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 22:40
Unibet (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.30%EV -6.24%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 22:40
ATG (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.30%EV -6.24%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 22:40
Svenska Spel1.87I 53.48%NM 50.30%EV -6.24%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 22:40
betPARX1.87I 53.48%NM 50.30%EV -6.24%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 22:40
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 50.31%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.49%EV -7.45%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 22:45
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -7.45%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-19 22:45
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -7.45%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-19 22:45
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -7.45%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-19 22:50
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -7.45%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-19 22:45
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 50.23%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.61%EV -8.09%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 22:40
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -9.16%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 22:50
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.67%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -9.16%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 22:50
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 49.67%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -9.16%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 22:50
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -9.16%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 22:40
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -9.16%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 22:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.30%EV -8.75%E -4.81%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.54%EV -9.16%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 22:40
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -10.23%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 22:45
Codere (IT)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -10.23%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 22:50
TABtouch1.81I 55.25%NM 50.30%EV -9.25%E -5.11%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -10.23%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 22:40
PlayUp1.88I 53.19%NM 48.21%EV -5.74%E -3.05%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -10.23%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -14.53%E -4.84%K -7.27%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-19 22:50
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -9.75%E -5.42%K -12.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.23%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-19 22:45
LiveScore Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 50.36%EV -10.26%E -5.73%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -10.23%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-19 22:40
Virgin Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 50.36%EV -10.26%E -5.73%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -10.23%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-19 22:40
LeoVegas1.79I 55.87%NM 50.36%EV -10.26%E -5.73%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -10.23%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-19 22:40
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 49.86%EV -9.75%E -5.42%K -12.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -10.23%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.77%EV -11.11%E -3.56%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-19 22:50
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -14.51%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 22:37
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.51%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-19 22:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.51%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-19 22:50
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.51%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-19 22:50
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.51%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-19 22:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 47.51%EV -9.75%E -5.42%K -12.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.80%EV -19.85%E -5.29%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.69%EV -17.95%E -6.23%K -9.55%G +0.000%16.9%2026-04-19 22:44
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook1.97I 50.76%NM 50.67%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.97%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.36%0.2%2026-04-19 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.80%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.91%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29%0.4%2026-04-19 22:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.80%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.91%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29%0.4%2026-04-19 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.80%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.91%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29%0.4%2026-04-19 22:55
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%NM 50.50%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.10%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.40%1.5%2026-04-19 22:55