L’École des cotesFrançais
Fortaleza v Criciuma
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Fortaleza (Local)
Prévision 50.14%1.99cote équitable
EV -4.74%
Avantage -2.49%
Kelly -5.27%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.90
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.51%50.18%50.19%52.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.721.841.851.9058.14%54.30%54.05%52.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Criciuma (Visiteur)
Prévision 21.37%4.68cote équitable
EV +0.455%
Avantage +0.097%
Kelly +0.123%
Croissance +0.001%
avec la cote maximale 4.70
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.23%21.24%21.36%22.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.304.334.7026.67%23.26%23.09%21.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 28.49%3.51cote équitable
EV -3.99%
Avantage -1.18%
Kelly -1.68%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.37
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.86%28.57%28.44%30.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.213.203.3734.72%31.18%31.25%29.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.54%EV -13.76%E -8.00%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.23%EV +0.455%E +0.097%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.59%EV -4.74%E -2.49%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.89%EV -1.68%E -0.366%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.52%EV -3.99%E -1.18%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-19 22:45 |
| FanDuel | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.23%EV -6.24%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -1.68%E -0.366%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-19 22:44 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.73%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -1.68%E -0.366%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.73%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -1.68%E -0.366%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -3.82%E -0.849%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-19 22:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.86%EV -6.75%E -3.63%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -3.82%E -0.849%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.53%EV -10.54%E -3.36%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.52%EV -5.74%E -3.05%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.92%EV -4.89%E -1.10%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -10.26%E -3.26%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |
| Bovada | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.42%EV -6.24%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.77%EV -4.89%E -1.10%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.81%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-19 22:52 |
| DraftKings | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -6.24%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -5.96%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-19 22:45 |
| Coolbet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -5.96%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.30%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 22:54 |
| BetUS | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.53%EV -6.75%E -3.63%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -5.96%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.53%EV -11.11%E -3.56%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.26%EV -9.75%E -5.42%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -5.96%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-19 22:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.30%EV -6.24%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 22:40 |
| Casumo | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.30%EV -6.24%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 22:40 |
| Unibet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.30%EV -6.24%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 22:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.30%EV -6.24%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 22:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.30%EV -6.24%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 22:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.30%EV -6.24%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 22:40 |
| betPARX | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.30%EV -6.24%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 22:40 |
| Betway | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.31%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.49%EV -7.45%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-19 22:45 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -7.45%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-19 22:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -7.45%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-19 22:45 |
| William Hill | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -7.45%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -7.45%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-19 22:45 |
| BetRivers | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.23%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.61%EV -8.09%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 22:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -9.16%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.67%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -9.16%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| Betsson | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.67%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -9.16%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -9.16%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-19 22:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -9.16%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-19 22:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.30%EV -8.75%E -4.81%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.54%EV -9.16%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-19 22:40 |
| theScore Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -10.23%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 22:45 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -10.23%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.30%EV -9.25%E -5.11%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -10.23%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-19 22:40 |
| PlayUp | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.21%EV -5.74%E -3.05%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -10.23%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -14.53%E -4.84%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| betfred_uk | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -9.75%E -5.42%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.23%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-19 22:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.36%EV -10.26%E -5.73%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -10.23%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-19 22:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.36%EV -10.26%E -5.73%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -10.23%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-19 22:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.36%EV -10.26%E -5.73%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -10.23%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-19 22:40 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.86%EV -9.75%E -5.42%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -10.23%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.77%EV -11.11%E -3.56%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -14.51%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-19 22:37 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.51%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.51%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| Coral | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.51%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| Neds | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.51%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 47.51%EV -9.75%E -5.42%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.80%EV -19.85%E -5.29%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.69%EV -17.95%E -6.23%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-04-19 22:44 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.67% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.97% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.36% | 0.2% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.80% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.91% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29% | 0.4% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.80% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.91% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29% | 0.4% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.80% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.91% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29% | 0.4% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.50% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.10% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.40% | 1.5% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |