Die Schule der Quoten

Fortaleza v Criciuma

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-19 23:00 UTC

Endstand: Fortaleza 3–2 Criciuma

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

47 Wettanbieter (17 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Fortaleza (Heim)

Prognose 50.14%1.99faire Quote
EV -4.74%
Vorteil -2.49%
Kelly -5.27%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.90

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
47.51%50.18%50.19%52.54%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.721.841.851.9058.14%54.30%54.05%52.63%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Criciuma (Auswärts)

Prognose 21.37%4.68faire Quote
EV +0.455%
Vorteil +0.097%
Kelly +0.123%
Wachstum +0.001%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.70

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
19.23%21.24%21.36%22.80%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.754.304.334.7026.67%23.26%23.09%21.28%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 28.49%3.51faire Quote
EV -3.99%
Vorteil -1.18%
Kelly -1.68%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.37

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
27.86%28.57%28.44%30.21%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.883.213.203.3734.72%31.18%31.25%29.67%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (47 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.54%EV -13.76%E -8.00%K -19.12%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.23%EV +0.455%E +0.097%K +0.123%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-19 22:50
Pinnacle1.90I 52.63%NM 50.59%EV -4.74%E -2.49%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.89%EV -1.68%E -0.366%K -0.467%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.52%EV -3.99%E -1.18%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-19 22:45
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 50.23%EV -6.24%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -1.68%E -0.366%K -0.467%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 22:44
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 50.73%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -1.68%E -0.366%K -0.467%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 22:50
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 50.73%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -1.68%E -0.366%K -0.467%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 22:50
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -3.82%E -0.849%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 22:45
Marathon Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 49.86%EV -6.75%E -3.63%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -3.82%E -0.849%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.53%EV -10.54%E -3.36%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 22:55
1xBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.52%EV -5.74%E -3.05%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.92%EV -4.89%E -1.10%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -10.26%E -3.26%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 22:55
Bovada1.87I 53.48%NM 49.42%EV -6.24%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.77%EV -4.89%E -1.10%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.81%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 22:52
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -6.24%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -5.96%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 22:45
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -5.96%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.30%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 22:54
BetUS1.86I 53.76%NM 49.53%EV -6.75%E -3.63%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -5.96%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.53%EV -11.11%E -3.56%K -5.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 22:50
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.26%EV -9.75%E -5.42%K -12.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -5.96%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-19 22:45
Unibet (NL)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.30%EV -6.24%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 22:40
Casumo1.87I 53.48%NM 50.30%EV -6.24%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 22:40
Unibet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.30%EV -6.24%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 22:40
Unibet (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.30%EV -6.24%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 22:40
ATG (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.30%EV -6.24%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 22:40
Svenska Spel1.87I 53.48%NM 50.30%EV -6.24%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 22:40
betPARX1.87I 53.48%NM 50.30%EV -6.24%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 22:40
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 50.31%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.49%EV -7.45%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 22:45
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -7.45%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-19 22:45
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -7.45%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-19 22:45
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -7.45%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-19 22:50
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -7.45%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-19 22:45
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 50.23%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.61%EV -8.09%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 22:40
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -9.16%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 22:50
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.67%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -9.16%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 22:50
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 49.67%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -9.16%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 22:50
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -9.16%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 22:40
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -9.16%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 22:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.30%EV -8.75%E -4.81%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.54%EV -9.16%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 22:40
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -10.23%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 22:45
Codere (IT)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -10.23%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 22:50
TABtouch1.81I 55.25%NM 50.30%EV -9.25%E -5.11%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -10.23%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 22:40
PlayUp1.88I 53.19%NM 48.21%EV -5.74%E -3.05%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -10.23%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -14.53%E -4.84%K -7.27%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-19 22:50
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -9.75%E -5.42%K -12.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.23%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-19 22:45
LiveScore Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 50.36%EV -10.26%E -5.73%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -10.23%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-19 22:40
Virgin Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 50.36%EV -10.26%E -5.73%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -10.23%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-19 22:40
LeoVegas1.79I 55.87%NM 50.36%EV -10.26%E -5.73%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -10.23%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-19 22:40
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 49.86%EV -9.75%E -5.42%K -12.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -10.23%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.77%EV -11.11%E -3.56%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-19 22:50
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -14.51%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 22:37
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.51%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-19 22:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.51%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-19 22:50
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.51%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-19 22:50
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.51%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-19 22:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 47.51%EV -9.75%E -5.42%K -12.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.80%EV -19.85%E -5.29%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.69%EV -17.95%E -6.23%K -9.55%G +0.000%16.9%2026-04-19 22:44
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook1.97I 50.76%NM 50.67%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.97%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.36%0.2%2026-04-19 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.80%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.91%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29%0.4%2026-04-19 22:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.80%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.91%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29%0.4%2026-04-19 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.80%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.91%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29%0.4%2026-04-19 22:55
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%NM 50.50%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.10%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.40%1.5%2026-04-19 22:55