Школа коэффициентов

Fortaleza v Criciuma

Начало: 2026-04-19 23:00 UTC

Итог: Fortaleza 3–2 Criciuma

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

47 букмекерских контор (17 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Fortaleza (Хозяева)

Прогноз 50.14%1.99справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.74%
Преимущество -2.49%
Kelly -5.27%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.90

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
47.51%50.18%50.19%52.54%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.721.841.851.9058.14%54.30%54.05%52.63%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Criciuma (Гости)

Прогноз 21.37%4.68справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.455%
Преимущество +0.097%
Kelly +0.123%
Рост +0.001%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.70

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
19.23%21.24%21.36%22.80%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.754.304.334.7026.67%23.26%23.09%21.28%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 28.49%3.51справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.99%
Преимущество -1.18%
Kelly -1.68%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.37

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
27.86%28.57%28.44%30.21%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.883.213.203.3734.72%31.18%31.25%29.67%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (47 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.54%EV -13.76%E -8.00%K -19.12%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.23%EV +0.455%E +0.097%K +0.123%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-19 22:50
Pinnacle1.90I 52.63%NM 50.59%EV -4.74%E -2.49%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.89%EV -1.68%E -0.366%K -0.467%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.52%EV -3.99%E -1.18%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-19 22:45
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 50.23%EV -6.24%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -1.68%E -0.366%K -0.467%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 22:44
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 50.73%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -1.68%E -0.366%K -0.467%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 22:50
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 50.73%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -1.68%E -0.366%K -0.467%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 22:50
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -3.82%E -0.849%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 22:45
Marathon Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 49.86%EV -6.75%E -3.63%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -3.82%E -0.849%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.53%EV -10.54%E -3.36%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 22:55
1xBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.52%EV -5.74%E -3.05%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.92%EV -4.89%E -1.10%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -10.26%E -3.26%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 22:55
Bovada1.87I 53.48%NM 49.42%EV -6.24%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.77%EV -4.89%E -1.10%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.81%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 22:52
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -6.24%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -5.96%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 22:45
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -5.96%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.30%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 22:54
BetUS1.86I 53.76%NM 49.53%EV -6.75%E -3.63%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -5.96%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.53%EV -11.11%E -3.56%K -5.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 22:50
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.26%EV -9.75%E -5.42%K -12.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -5.96%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-19 22:45
Unibet (NL)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.30%EV -6.24%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 22:40
Casumo1.87I 53.48%NM 50.30%EV -6.24%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 22:40
Unibet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.30%EV -6.24%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 22:40
Unibet (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.30%EV -6.24%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 22:40
ATG (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.30%EV -6.24%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 22:40
Svenska Spel1.87I 53.48%NM 50.30%EV -6.24%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 22:40
betPARX1.87I 53.48%NM 50.30%EV -6.24%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 22:40
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 50.31%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.49%EV -7.45%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 22:45
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -7.45%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-19 22:45
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -7.45%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-19 22:45
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -7.45%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-19 22:50
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -7.45%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-19 22:45
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 50.23%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.61%EV -8.09%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 22:40
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -9.16%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 22:50
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.67%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -9.16%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 22:50
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 49.67%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -9.16%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 22:50
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -9.16%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 22:40
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -9.16%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 22:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.30%EV -8.75%E -4.81%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.54%EV -9.16%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 22:40
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -10.23%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 22:45
Codere (IT)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -10.23%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 22:50
TABtouch1.81I 55.25%NM 50.30%EV -9.25%E -5.11%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -10.23%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 22:40
PlayUp1.88I 53.19%NM 48.21%EV -5.74%E -3.05%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -10.23%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -14.53%E -4.84%K -7.27%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-19 22:50
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -9.75%E -5.42%K -12.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.23%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-19 22:45
LiveScore Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 50.36%EV -10.26%E -5.73%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -10.23%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-19 22:40
Virgin Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 50.36%EV -10.26%E -5.73%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -10.23%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-19 22:40
LeoVegas1.79I 55.87%NM 50.36%EV -10.26%E -5.73%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -10.23%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-19 22:40
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 49.86%EV -9.75%E -5.42%K -12.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -10.23%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.77%EV -11.11%E -3.56%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-19 22:50
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -14.51%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 22:37
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.51%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-19 22:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.51%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-19 22:50
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.51%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-19 22:50
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.51%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-19 22:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 47.51%EV -9.75%E -5.42%K -12.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.80%EV -19.85%E -5.29%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.69%EV -17.95%E -6.23%K -9.55%G +0.000%16.9%2026-04-19 22:44
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook1.97I 50.76%NM 50.67%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.97%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.36%0.2%2026-04-19 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.80%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.91%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29%0.4%2026-04-19 22:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.80%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.91%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29%0.4%2026-04-19 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.80%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.91%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29%0.4%2026-04-19 22:55
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%NM 50.50%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.10%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.40%1.5%2026-04-19 22:55