Язык:Русский
Fortaleza v Criciuma
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Fortaleza (Хозяева)
Прогноз 50.14%1.99справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.74%
Преимущество -2.49%
Kelly -5.27%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.90
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
47.51%50.18%50.19%52.54%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.721.841.851.9058.14%54.30%54.05%52.63%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Criciuma (Гости)
Прогноз 21.37%4.68справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.455%
Преимущество +0.097%
Kelly +0.123%
Рост +0.001%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.70
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
19.23%21.24%21.36%22.80%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.754.304.334.7026.67%23.26%23.09%21.28%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 28.49%3.51справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.99%
Преимущество -1.18%
Kelly -1.68%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.37
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
27.86%28.57%28.44%30.21%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.883.213.203.3734.72%31.18%31.25%29.67%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Fortaleza (Хозяева): 50.14%; Criciuma (Гости): 21.37%; Ничья: 28.49%. Для исхода «Criciuma (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 4.68. 1 букмекер предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 4.70, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +0.455%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (47 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.54%EV -13.76%E -8.00%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.23%EV +0.455%E +0.097%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.59%EV -4.74%E -2.49%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.89%EV -1.68%E -0.366%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.52%EV -3.99%E -1.18%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-19 22:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.23%EV -6.24%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -1.68%E -0.366%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-19 22:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.73%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -1.68%E -0.366%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.73%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -1.68%E -0.366%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -3.82%E -0.849%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-19 22:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.86%EV -6.75%E -3.63%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -3.82%E -0.849%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.53%EV -10.54%E -3.36%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.52%EV -5.74%E -3.05%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.92%EV -4.89%E -1.10%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -10.26%E -3.26%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.42%EV -6.24%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.77%EV -4.89%E -1.10%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.81%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-19 22:52 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -6.24%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -5.96%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-19 22:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -5.96%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.30%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 22:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.53%EV -6.75%E -3.63%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -5.96%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.53%EV -11.11%E -3.56%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.26%EV -9.75%E -5.42%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -5.96%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-19 22:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.30%EV -6.24%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 22:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.30%EV -6.24%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 22:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.30%EV -6.24%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 22:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.30%EV -6.24%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 22:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.30%EV -6.24%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 22:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.30%EV -6.24%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 22:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.30%EV -6.24%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 22:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.31%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.49%EV -7.45%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-19 22:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -7.45%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-19 22:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -7.45%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-19 22:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -7.45%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -7.45%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-19 22:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.23%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.61%EV -8.09%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 22:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -9.16%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.67%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -9.16%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.67%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -9.16%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -9.16%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-19 22:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -9.16%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-19 22:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.30%EV -8.75%E -4.81%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.54%EV -9.16%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-19 22:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -10.23%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 22:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -10.23%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.30%EV -9.25%E -5.11%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -10.23%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-19 22:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.21%EV -5.74%E -3.05%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -10.23%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -14.53%E -4.84%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -9.75%E -5.42%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.23%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-19 22:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.36%EV -10.26%E -5.73%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -10.23%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-19 22:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.36%EV -10.26%E -5.73%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -10.23%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-19 22:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.36%EV -10.26%E -5.73%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -10.23%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-19 22:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.86%EV -9.75%E -5.42%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -10.23%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.77%EV -11.11%E -3.56%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -14.51%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-19 22:37 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.51%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.51%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.51%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.51%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 47.51%EV -9.75%E -5.42%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.80%EV -19.85%E -5.29%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.69%EV -17.95%E -6.23%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-04-19 22:44 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (5)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.67% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.97% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.36% | 0.2% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.80% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.91% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29% | 0.4% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.80% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.91% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29% | 0.4% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.80% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.91% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29% | 0.4% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.50% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.10% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.40% | 1.5% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |