مدرسة الاحتمالاتالعربية
Fortaleza v Criciuma
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Fortaleza (المضيف)
التنبؤ 50.14%1.99السعر العادل
EV -4.74%
الأفضلية -2.49%
Kelly -5.27%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.90
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
47.51%50.18%50.19%52.54%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.721.841.851.9058.14%54.30%54.05%52.63%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Criciuma (الضيف)
التنبؤ 21.37%4.68السعر العادل
EV +0.455%
الأفضلية +0.097%
Kelly +0.123%
النمو +0.001%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.70
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
19.23%21.24%21.36%22.80%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.754.304.334.7026.67%23.26%23.09%21.28%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعادل
التنبؤ 28.49%3.51السعر العادل
EV -3.99%
الأفضلية -1.18%
Kelly -1.68%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.37
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.86%28.57%28.44%30.21%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.213.203.3734.72%31.18%31.25%29.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (47 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف ▼ | تعادل | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.54%EV -13.76%E -8.00%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.23%EV +0.455%E +0.097%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.59%EV -4.74%E -2.49%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.89%EV -1.68%E -0.366%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.52%EV -3.99%E -1.18%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-19 22:45 |
| FanDuel | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.23%EV -6.24%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -1.68%E -0.366%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-19 22:44 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.73%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -1.68%E -0.366%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.73%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -1.68%E -0.366%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -3.82%E -0.849%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-19 22:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.86%EV -6.75%E -3.63%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -3.82%E -0.849%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.53%EV -10.54%E -3.36%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.52%EV -5.74%E -3.05%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.92%EV -4.89%E -1.10%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -10.26%E -3.26%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |
| Bovada | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.42%EV -6.24%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.77%EV -4.89%E -1.10%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.81%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-19 22:52 |
| DraftKings | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -6.24%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -5.96%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-19 22:45 |
| Coolbet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -5.96%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.30%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 22:54 |
| BetUS | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.53%EV -6.75%E -3.63%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -5.96%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.53%EV -11.11%E -3.56%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.26%EV -9.75%E -5.42%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -5.96%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-19 22:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.30%EV -6.24%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 22:40 |
| Casumo | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.30%EV -6.24%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 22:40 |
| Unibet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.30%EV -6.24%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 22:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.30%EV -6.24%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 22:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.30%EV -6.24%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 22:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.30%EV -6.24%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 22:40 |
| betPARX | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.30%EV -6.24%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 22:40 |
| Betway | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.31%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.49%EV -7.45%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-19 22:45 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -7.45%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-19 22:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -7.45%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-19 22:45 |
| William Hill | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -7.45%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -7.45%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-19 22:45 |
| BetRivers | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.23%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.61%EV -8.09%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 22:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -9.16%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.67%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -9.16%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| Betsson | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.67%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -9.16%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -9.16%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-19 22:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -9.16%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-19 22:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.30%EV -8.75%E -4.81%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.54%EV -9.16%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-19 22:40 |
| theScore Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -10.23%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 22:45 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -10.23%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.30%EV -9.25%E -5.11%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -10.23%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-19 22:40 |
| PlayUp | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.21%EV -5.74%E -3.05%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -10.23%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -14.53%E -4.84%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| betfred_uk | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -9.75%E -5.42%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.23%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-19 22:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.36%EV -10.26%E -5.73%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -10.23%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-19 22:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.36%EV -10.26%E -5.73%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -10.23%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-19 22:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.36%EV -10.26%E -5.73%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -10.23%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-19 22:40 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.86%EV -9.75%E -5.42%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -10.23%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.77%EV -11.11%E -3.56%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -14.51%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-19 22:37 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.51%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.51%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| Coral | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.51%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| Neds | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.51%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 47.51%EV -9.75%E -5.42%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.80%EV -19.85%E -5.29%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.69%EV -17.95%E -6.23%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-04-19 22:44 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (5)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.67% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.97% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.36% | 0.2% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.80% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.91% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29% | 0.4% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.80% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.91% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29% | 0.4% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.80% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.91% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29% | 0.4% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.50% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.10% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.40% | 1.5% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |