La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Fortaleza v Criciuma
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Fortaleza (Local)
Predicción 50.14%1.99momio equitativo
EV -4.74%
Ventaja -2.49%
Kelly -5.27%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.51%50.18%50.19%52.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.721.841.851.9058.14%54.30%54.05%52.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Criciuma (Visitante)
Predicción 21.37%4.68momio equitativo
EV +0.455%
Ventaja +0.097%
Kelly +0.123%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.23%21.24%21.36%22.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.304.334.7026.67%23.26%23.09%21.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.49%3.51momio equitativo
EV -3.99%
Ventaja -1.18%
Kelly -1.68%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.37
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.86%28.57%28.44%30.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.213.203.3734.72%31.18%31.25%29.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.54%EV -13.76%E -8.00%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.23%EV +0.455%E +0.097%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.59%EV -4.74%E -2.49%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.89%EV -1.68%E -0.366%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.52%EV -3.99%E -1.18%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-19 22:45 |
| FanDuel | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.23%EV -6.24%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -1.68%E -0.366%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-19 22:44 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.73%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -1.68%E -0.366%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.73%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -1.68%E -0.366%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -3.82%E -0.849%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-19 22:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.86%EV -6.75%E -3.63%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -3.82%E -0.849%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.53%EV -10.54%E -3.36%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.52%EV -5.74%E -3.05%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.92%EV -4.89%E -1.10%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -10.26%E -3.26%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |
| Bovada | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.42%EV -6.24%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.77%EV -4.89%E -1.10%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.81%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-19 22:52 |
| DraftKings | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -6.24%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -5.96%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-19 22:45 |
| Coolbet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -5.96%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.30%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 22:54 |
| BetUS | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.53%EV -6.75%E -3.63%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -5.96%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.53%EV -11.11%E -3.56%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.26%EV -9.75%E -5.42%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -5.96%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-19 22:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.30%EV -6.24%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 22:40 |
| Casumo | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.30%EV -6.24%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 22:40 |
| Unibet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.30%EV -6.24%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 22:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.30%EV -6.24%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 22:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.30%EV -6.24%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 22:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.30%EV -6.24%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 22:40 |
| betPARX | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.30%EV -6.24%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 22:40 |
| Betway | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.31%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.49%EV -7.45%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-19 22:45 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -7.45%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-19 22:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -7.45%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-19 22:45 |
| William Hill | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -7.45%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -7.45%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-19 22:45 |
| BetRivers | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.23%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.61%EV -8.09%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 22:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -9.16%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.67%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -9.16%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| Betsson | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.67%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -9.16%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -9.16%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-19 22:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -9.16%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-19 22:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.30%EV -8.75%E -4.81%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.54%EV -9.16%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-19 22:40 |
| theScore Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -10.23%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 22:45 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -10.23%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.30%EV -9.25%E -5.11%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -10.23%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-19 22:40 |
| PlayUp | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.21%EV -5.74%E -3.05%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -10.23%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -14.53%E -4.84%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| betfred_uk | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -9.75%E -5.42%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.23%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-19 22:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.36%EV -10.26%E -5.73%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -10.23%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-19 22:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.36%EV -10.26%E -5.73%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -10.23%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-19 22:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.36%EV -10.26%E -5.73%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -10.23%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-19 22:40 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.86%EV -9.75%E -5.42%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -10.23%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.77%EV -11.11%E -3.56%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -14.51%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-19 22:37 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.51%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.51%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| Coral | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.51%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| Neds | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.51%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 47.51%EV -9.75%E -5.42%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.80%EV -19.85%E -5.29%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.69%EV -17.95%E -6.23%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-04-19 22:44 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.67% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.97% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.36% | 0.2% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.80% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.91% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29% | 0.4% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.80% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.91% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29% | 0.4% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.80% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.91% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29% | 0.4% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.50% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.10% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.40% | 1.5% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |