The School of OddsCriciuma v Vila Nova
Head to Head
Criciuma (Local)
Prediction 54.07%1.85fair odd
EV -5.91%
Edge -3.40%
Kelly -7.99%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.95%54.22%53.95%55.79%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.611.691.701.7462%59%59%57%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Vila Nova (Visit)
Prediction 18.42%5.43fair odd
EV +6.45%
Edge +1.12%
Kelly +1.35%
Growth +0.087%
assuming max odds 5.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.31%18.26%18.41%19.97%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.504.955.005.7822%20%20%17%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Draw
Prediction 27.51%3.64fair odd
EV -3.72%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -1.49%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.65%27.52%27.64%28.15%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.203.353.303.5031%30%30%29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.79%EV -8.61%E -5.10%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 5.78I 17.30%NM 16.31%EV +6.45%E +1.12%K +1.35%G +0.087% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.90%EV -7.02%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-12 00:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.84%EV -8.61%E -5.10%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.49%EV -2.39%E -0.451%K -0.555%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -7.85%E -2.34%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-12 00:52 |
| 1xBet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.48%EV -7.53%E -4.40%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 17.71%EV -3.12%E -0.594%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -7.85%E -2.34%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-12 00:54 |
| Betsson | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.90%EV -6.99%E -4.06%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.00%EV -5.15%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -9.22%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-12 00:25 |
| NordicBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.90%EV -6.99%E -4.06%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.00%EV -5.15%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -9.22%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-12 00:19 |
| Unibet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.97%EV -8.07%E -4.75%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.32%EV -6.07%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.72%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-11 19:44 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.97%EV -8.07%E -4.75%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.32%EV -6.07%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.72%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-11 19:44 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.97%EV -8.07%E -4.75%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.32%EV -6.07%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.72%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-11 19:44 |
| Casumo | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.97%EV -8.07%E -4.75%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.32%EV -6.07%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.72%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-11 19:44 |
| betPARX | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.97%EV -8.07%E -4.75%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.32%EV -6.07%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.72%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-11 19:44 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.97%EV -8.07%E -4.75%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.32%EV -6.07%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.72%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-11 19:44 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.97%EV -8.07%E -4.75%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.32%EV -6.07%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.72%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-11 19:44 |
| Coolbet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.48%EV -6.99%E -4.06%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -7.91%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -3.72%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-12 00:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.63%EV -7.53%E -4.40%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -7.91%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -3.72%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-12 00:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -8.07%E -4.75%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -7.91%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -3.72%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-12 01:04 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -8.07%E -4.75%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -7.91%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -9.22%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-12 00:20 |
| 888sport | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -8.07%E -4.75%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -7.91%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -9.22%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-12 00:20 |
| William Hill | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -8.07%E -4.75%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -7.91%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -9.22%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-12 00:18 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -8.07%E -4.75%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -7.91%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -9.22%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-12 00:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -8.07%E -4.75%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -7.91%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -9.22%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-12 00:19 |
| betfred_uk | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.35%EV -9.70%E -5.81%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -7.91%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.22%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-12 00:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.25%EV -9.70%E -5.81%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.30%EV -8.83%E -1.78%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.45%EV -9.22%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-12 00:25 |
| FanDuel | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.29%EV -8.61%E -5.10%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.72%EV -9.76%E -1.99%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-12 00:22 |
| BetRivers | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.59%EV -9.70%E -5.81%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -9.76%E -1.99%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-11 19:44 |
| Bet Victor | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.94%EV -9.70%E -5.81%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.77%EV -11.60%E -2.42%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -9.22%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-12 00:18 |
| Grosvenor | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.46%EV -10.78%E -6.53%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -11.60%E -2.42%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.82%EV -7.85%E -2.34%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-11 19:44 |
| BetMGM | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.58%EV -5.91%E -3.40%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -12.52%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -10.60%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-11 20:19 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.27%EV -9.70%E -5.81%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.08%EV -12.52%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-12 00:23 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.50%EV -11.32%E -6.90%K -17.68%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.82%EV -12.52%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.68%EV -7.85%E -2.34%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-11 19:44 |
| TABtouch | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.43%EV -11.86%E -7.28%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -12.52%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.89%EV -9.22%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-11 19:44 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.41%EV -12.94%E -8.04%K -21.21%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.64%EV -13.44%E -2.86%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.95%EV -10.60%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-07-11 19:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.41%EV -12.94%E -8.04%K -21.21%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.64%EV -13.44%E -2.86%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.95%EV -10.60%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-07-11 19:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.95%EV -6.45%E -3.73%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.97%EV -17.12%E -3.80%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.97%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-11 20:19 |
| Neds | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.95%EV -6.45%E -3.73%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.97%EV -17.12%E -3.80%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.97%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-11 20:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.95%EV -6.45%E -3.73%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.97%EV -17.12%E -3.80%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.97%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-11 20:20 |
| Coral | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.95%EV -6.45%E -3.73%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.97%EV -17.12%E -3.80%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.97%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-11 20:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.63I 61.35%NM 52.48% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.01% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.51% | 16.9% | 2026-07-12 00:24 |