Die Schule der Quoten

Criciuma v Vila Nova

Spielbeginn: 2026-07-18 19:00 UTC

Endstand: Criciuma 2–0 Vila Nova

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

48 Wettanbieter (17 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Criciuma (Heim)

Prognose 53.26%1.88faire Quote
EV -5.20%
Vorteil -2.92%
Kelly -6.66%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.78

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
51.65%53.34%53.22%54.91%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.651.731.731.7860.61%57.97%57.97%56.18%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Vila Nova (Auswärts)

Prognose 18.45%5.42faire Quote
EV +4.03%
Vorteil +0.715%
Kelly +0.869%
Wachstum +0.035%

bei einer Höchstquote von 5.64

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
16.75%18.41%18.43%19.96%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
4.505.015.005.6422.22%19.98%20.00%17.73%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 28.29%3.53faire Quote
EV -2.38%
Vorteil -0.691%
Kelly -0.973%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.45

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
27.18%28.26%28.34%29.49%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.003.223.203.4533.33%31.09%31.25%28.99%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (48 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 54.47%EV -6.26%E -3.56%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.64I 17.73%NM 17.00%EV +4.03%E +0.715%K +0.869%G +0.035%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.53%EV -4.93%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-18 18:50
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 54.69%EV -8.39%E -4.88%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +3.30%E +0.588%K +0.716%G +0.024%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-18 18:50
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 54.69%EV -8.39%E -4.88%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +3.30%E +0.588%K +0.716%G +0.024%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-18 18:50
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 54.84%EV -8.93%E -5.22%K -12.57%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.75%EV +3.30%E +0.588%K +0.716%G +0.024%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-18 18:50
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -9.46%E -5.56%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.42I 18.45%NM 17.22%EV -0.025%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -5.21%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-18 18:45
Unibet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.13%EV -6.26%E -3.56%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -2.24%E -0.422%K -0.521%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-18 18:55
Unibet (NL)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.13%EV -6.26%E -3.56%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -2.24%E -0.422%K -0.521%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-18 18:55
Unibet (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.13%EV -6.26%E -3.56%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -2.24%E -0.422%K -0.521%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-18 18:55
Casumo1.76I 56.82%NM 53.13%EV -6.26%E -3.56%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -2.24%E -0.422%K -0.521%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-18 18:55
betPARX1.76I 56.82%NM 53.13%EV -6.26%E -3.56%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -2.24%E -0.422%K -0.521%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-18 18:55
Svenska Spel1.76I 56.82%NM 53.13%EV -6.26%E -3.56%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -2.24%E -0.422%K -0.521%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-18 18:55
ATG (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.13%EV -6.26%E -3.56%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -2.24%E -0.422%K -0.521%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-18 18:55
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 53.60%EV -5.73%E -3.24%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.07%EV -3.16%E -0.602%K -0.744%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.32%EV -5.21%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 18:49
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 53.53%EV -8.39%E -4.88%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.70%EV -4.08%E -0.785%K -0.972%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-18 18:53
Marathon Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.00%EV -6.80%E -3.88%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.01%EV -5.01%E -0.972%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-18 18:55
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 53.67%EV -8.39%E -4.88%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.92%EV -5.01%E -0.972%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -8.04%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-18 18:55
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 53.67%EV -8.39%E -4.88%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.92%EV -5.01%E -0.972%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -8.04%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-18 18:55
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -6.80%E -3.88%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -7.77%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-18 18:50
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.24%EV -7.86%E -4.54%K -10.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.42%EV -7.77%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.34%EV -8.04%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-18 18:55
Codere (IT)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.00%EV -7.86%E -4.54%K -10.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.34%EV -7.77%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-18 18:55
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -6.80%E -3.88%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -7.77%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -12.29%E -3.96%K -5.85%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-18 18:55
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -6.80%E -3.88%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -7.77%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -12.29%E -3.96%K -5.85%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-18 18:55
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -6.80%E -3.88%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -7.77%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -12.29%E -3.96%K -5.85%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-18 18:55
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -6.80%E -3.88%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -7.77%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -12.29%E -3.96%K -5.85%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-18 18:55
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -12.12%E -7.35%K -18.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -7.77%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-18 18:50
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 52.56%EV -8.93%E -5.22%K -12.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.97%EV -7.77%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -13.70%E -4.49%K -6.68%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-18 18:55
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 53.28%EV -8.39%E -4.88%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.52%EV -8.69%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -8.04%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-18 18:55
BetRivers1.73I 57.80%NM 52.57%EV -7.86%E -4.54%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.56%EV -9.62%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.87%EV -10.87%E -3.45%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-18 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.51%EV -9.46%E -5.56%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.22%EV -9.62%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.27%EV -13.70%E -4.49%K -6.68%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-18 18:55
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 52.55%EV -10.52%E -6.26%K -15.48%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.02%EV -9.62%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -15.12%E -5.04%K -7.56%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-18 18:55
LiveScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 52.70%EV -11.06%E -6.62%K -16.50%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.96%EV -9.62%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.34%EV -15.12%E -5.04%K -7.56%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-18 18:55
Virgin Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 52.70%EV -11.06%E -6.62%K -16.50%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.96%EV -9.62%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.34%EV -15.12%E -5.04%K -7.56%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-18 18:55
SportsBet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.28%EV -6.26%E -3.56%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -11.46%E -2.39%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -2.38%E -0.691%K -0.973%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-18 18:50
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 53.35%EV -7.33%E -4.21%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -11.46%E -2.39%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -3.80%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-18 18:50
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 53.12%EV -8.93%E -5.22%K -12.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.93%EV -11.46%E -2.39%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -8.04%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-18 18:50
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 53.71%EV -11.06%E -6.62%K -16.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -11.46%E -2.39%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -8.04%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-18 18:54
betano_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 53.71%EV -11.06%E -6.62%K -16.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -11.46%E -2.39%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -8.04%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-18 18:54
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.68%EV -5.20%E -2.92%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -12.38%E -2.61%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -3.80%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-18 18:50
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.58%EV -7.33%E -4.21%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -12.38%E -2.61%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -8.04%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-18 18:50
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 52.93%EV -9.46%E -5.56%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.94%EV -12.38%E -2.61%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-18 18:50
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 51.65%EV -6.80%E -3.88%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -15.15%E -3.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.70%EV -10.87%E -3.45%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-18 18:55
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 52.17%EV -7.86%E -4.54%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.62%EV -15.15%E -3.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-18 18:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.06%EV -9.46%E -5.56%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -15.15%E -3.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-18 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -9.46%E -5.56%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -15.15%E -3.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-18 18:50
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -9.46%E -5.56%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -15.15%E -3.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-18 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -9.46%E -5.56%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -15.15%E -3.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-18 18:50
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -9.46%E -5.56%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -15.15%E -3.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-18 18:55
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 52.83%EV -9.46%E -5.56%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -16.99%E -3.78%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-18 18:50
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook1.86I 53.76%NM 53.61%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.90%0.3%2026-07-18 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.74%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.44%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82%0.6%2026-07-18 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.74%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.44%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82%0.6%2026-07-18 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.74%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.44%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82%0.6%2026-07-18 18:55
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 53.57%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.73%0.9%2026-07-18 18:55