La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Criciuma v Vila Nova
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Criciuma (Casa)
Previsione 53.26%1.88quota equa
EV -5.20%
Vantaggio -2.92%
Kelly -6.66%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.78
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
51.65%53.34%53.22%54.91%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.651.731.731.7860.61%57.97%57.97%56.18%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Vila Nova (Trasferta)
Previsione 18.45%5.42quota equa
EV +4.03%
Vantaggio +0.715%
Kelly +0.869%
Crescita +0.035%
ipotizzando la quota massima 5.64
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.75%18.41%18.43%19.96%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.505.015.005.6422.22%19.98%20.00%17.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 28.29%3.53quota equa
EV -2.38%
Vantaggio -0.691%
Kelly -0.973%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.45
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.18%28.26%28.34%29.49%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.223.203.4533.33%31.09%31.25%28.99%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (48 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.47%EV -6.26%E -3.56%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 5.64I 17.73%NM 17.00%EV +4.03%E +0.715%K +0.869%G +0.035% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.53%EV -4.93%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.69%EV -8.39%E -4.88%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +3.30%E +0.588%K +0.716%G +0.024% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.69%EV -8.39%E -4.88%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +3.30%E +0.588%K +0.716%G +0.024% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| BetUS | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.84%EV -8.93%E -5.22%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.75%EV +3.30%E +0.588%K +0.716%G +0.024% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| 1xBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -9.46%E -5.56%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 5.42I 18.45%NM 17.22%EV -0.025%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -5.21%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-18 18:45 |
| Unibet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.13%EV -6.26%E -3.56%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -2.24%E -0.422%K -0.521%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.13%EV -6.26%E -3.56%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -2.24%E -0.422%K -0.521%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.13%EV -6.26%E -3.56%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -2.24%E -0.422%K -0.521%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Casumo | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.13%EV -6.26%E -3.56%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -2.24%E -0.422%K -0.521%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| betPARX | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.13%EV -6.26%E -3.56%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -2.24%E -0.422%K -0.521%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.13%EV -6.26%E -3.56%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -2.24%E -0.422%K -0.521%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.13%EV -6.26%E -3.56%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -2.24%E -0.422%K -0.521%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.60%EV -5.73%E -3.24%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.07%EV -3.16%E -0.602%K -0.744%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.32%EV -5.21%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-18 18:49 |
| Bovada | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.53%EV -8.39%E -4.88%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.70%EV -4.08%E -0.785%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-18 18:53 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.00%EV -6.80%E -3.88%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.01%EV -5.01%E -0.972%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Betsson | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.67%EV -8.39%E -4.88%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.92%EV -5.01%E -0.972%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -8.04%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.67%EV -8.39%E -4.88%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.92%EV -5.01%E -0.972%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -8.04%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Betway | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -6.80%E -3.88%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -7.77%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.24%EV -7.86%E -4.54%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.42%EV -7.77%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.34%EV -8.04%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.00%EV -7.86%E -4.54%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.34%EV -7.77%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| 888sport | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -6.80%E -3.88%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -7.77%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -12.29%E -3.96%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| William Hill | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -6.80%E -3.88%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -7.77%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -12.29%E -3.96%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -6.80%E -3.88%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -7.77%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -12.29%E -3.96%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -6.80%E -3.88%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -7.77%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -12.29%E -3.96%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -12.12%E -7.35%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -7.77%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.56%EV -8.93%E -5.22%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.97%EV -7.77%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -13.70%E -4.49%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.28%EV -8.39%E -4.88%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.52%EV -8.69%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -8.04%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| BetRivers | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.57%EV -7.86%E -4.54%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.56%EV -9.62%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.87%EV -10.87%E -3.45%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-18 18:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.51%EV -9.46%E -5.56%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.22%EV -9.62%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.27%EV -13.70%E -4.49%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.55%EV -10.52%E -6.26%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.02%EV -9.62%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -15.12%E -5.04%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.70%EV -11.06%E -6.62%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.96%EV -9.62%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.34%EV -15.12%E -5.04%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.70%EV -11.06%E -6.62%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.96%EV -9.62%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.34%EV -15.12%E -5.04%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.28%EV -6.26%E -3.56%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -11.46%E -2.39%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -2.38%E -0.691%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| FanDuel | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.35%EV -7.33%E -4.21%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -11.46%E -2.39%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -3.80%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.12%EV -8.93%E -5.22%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.93%EV -11.46%E -2.39%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -8.04%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| Bet Victor | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.71%EV -11.06%E -6.62%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -11.46%E -2.39%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -8.04%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-18 18:54 |
| betano_uk | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.71%EV -11.06%E -6.62%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -11.46%E -2.39%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -8.04%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-18 18:54 |
| Coolbet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.68%EV -5.20%E -2.92%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -12.38%E -2.61%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -3.80%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.58%EV -7.33%E -4.21%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -12.38%E -2.61%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -8.04%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| BoyleSports | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.93%EV -9.46%E -5.56%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.94%EV -12.38%E -2.61%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| PlayUp | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.65%EV -6.80%E -3.88%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -15.15%E -3.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.70%EV -10.87%E -3.45%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| betfred_uk | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.17%EV -7.86%E -4.54%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.62%EV -15.15%E -3.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-18 18:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.06%EV -9.46%E -5.56%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -15.15%E -3.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -9.46%E -5.56%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -15.15%E -3.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| Neds | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -9.46%E -5.56%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -15.15%E -3.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -9.46%E -5.56%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -15.15%E -3.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -9.46%E -5.56%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -15.15%E -3.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.83%EV -9.46%E -5.56%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -16.99%E -3.78%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.49% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.90% | 0.3% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.74% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.44% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82% | 0.6% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.74% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.44% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82% | 0.6% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.74% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.44% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82% | 0.6% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.57% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.73% | 0.9% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |