Школа коэффициентов

Criciuma v Vila Nova

Начало: 2026-07-18 19:00 UTC

Итог: Criciuma 2–0 Vila Nova

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

48 букмекерских контор (17 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Criciuma (Хозяева)

Прогноз 53.26%1.88справедливый коэффициент
EV -5.20%
Преимущество -2.92%
Kelly -6.66%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.78

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
51.65%53.34%53.22%54.91%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.651.731.731.7860.61%57.97%57.97%56.18%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Vila Nova (Гости)

Прогноз 18.45%5.42справедливый коэффициент
EV +4.03%
Преимущество +0.715%
Kelly +0.869%
Рост +0.035%

при максимальном коэффициенте 5.64

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
16.75%18.41%18.43%19.96%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
4.505.015.005.6422.22%19.98%20.00%17.73%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 28.29%3.53справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.38%
Преимущество -0.691%
Kelly -0.973%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.45

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
27.18%28.26%28.34%29.49%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.003.223.203.4533.33%31.09%31.25%28.99%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (48 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 54.47%EV -6.26%E -3.56%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.64I 17.73%NM 17.00%EV +4.03%E +0.715%K +0.869%G +0.035%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.53%EV -4.93%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-18 18:50
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 54.69%EV -8.39%E -4.88%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +3.30%E +0.588%K +0.716%G +0.024%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-18 18:50
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 54.69%EV -8.39%E -4.88%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +3.30%E +0.588%K +0.716%G +0.024%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-18 18:50
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 54.84%EV -8.93%E -5.22%K -12.57%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.75%EV +3.30%E +0.588%K +0.716%G +0.024%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-18 18:50
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -9.46%E -5.56%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.42I 18.45%NM 17.22%EV -0.025%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -5.21%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-18 18:45
Unibet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.13%EV -6.26%E -3.56%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -2.24%E -0.422%K -0.521%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-18 18:55
Unibet (NL)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.13%EV -6.26%E -3.56%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -2.24%E -0.422%K -0.521%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-18 18:55
Unibet (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.13%EV -6.26%E -3.56%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -2.24%E -0.422%K -0.521%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-18 18:55
Casumo1.76I 56.82%NM 53.13%EV -6.26%E -3.56%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -2.24%E -0.422%K -0.521%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-18 18:55
betPARX1.76I 56.82%NM 53.13%EV -6.26%E -3.56%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -2.24%E -0.422%K -0.521%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-18 18:55
Svenska Spel1.76I 56.82%NM 53.13%EV -6.26%E -3.56%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -2.24%E -0.422%K -0.521%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-18 18:55
ATG (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.13%EV -6.26%E -3.56%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -2.24%E -0.422%K -0.521%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-18 18:55
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 53.60%EV -5.73%E -3.24%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.07%EV -3.16%E -0.602%K -0.744%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.32%EV -5.21%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 18:49
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 53.53%EV -8.39%E -4.88%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.70%EV -4.08%E -0.785%K -0.972%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-18 18:53
Marathon Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.00%EV -6.80%E -3.88%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.01%EV -5.01%E -0.972%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-18 18:55
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 53.67%EV -8.39%E -4.88%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.92%EV -5.01%E -0.972%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -8.04%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-18 18:55
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 53.67%EV -8.39%E -4.88%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.92%EV -5.01%E -0.972%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -8.04%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-18 18:55
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -6.80%E -3.88%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -7.77%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-18 18:50
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.24%EV -7.86%E -4.54%K -10.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.42%EV -7.77%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.34%EV -8.04%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-18 18:55
Codere (IT)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.00%EV -7.86%E -4.54%K -10.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.34%EV -7.77%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-18 18:55
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -6.80%E -3.88%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -7.77%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -12.29%E -3.96%K -5.85%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-18 18:55
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -6.80%E -3.88%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -7.77%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -12.29%E -3.96%K -5.85%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-18 18:55
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -6.80%E -3.88%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -7.77%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -12.29%E -3.96%K -5.85%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-18 18:55
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -6.80%E -3.88%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -7.77%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -12.29%E -3.96%K -5.85%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-18 18:55
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -12.12%E -7.35%K -18.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -7.77%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-18 18:50
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 52.56%EV -8.93%E -5.22%K -12.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.97%EV -7.77%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -13.70%E -4.49%K -6.68%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-18 18:55
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 53.28%EV -8.39%E -4.88%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.52%EV -8.69%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -8.04%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-18 18:55
BetRivers1.73I 57.80%NM 52.57%EV -7.86%E -4.54%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.56%EV -9.62%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.87%EV -10.87%E -3.45%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-18 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.51%EV -9.46%E -5.56%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.22%EV -9.62%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.27%EV -13.70%E -4.49%K -6.68%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-18 18:55
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 52.55%EV -10.52%E -6.26%K -15.48%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.02%EV -9.62%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -15.12%E -5.04%K -7.56%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-18 18:55
LiveScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 52.70%EV -11.06%E -6.62%K -16.50%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.96%EV -9.62%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.34%EV -15.12%E -5.04%K -7.56%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-18 18:55
Virgin Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 52.70%EV -11.06%E -6.62%K -16.50%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.96%EV -9.62%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.34%EV -15.12%E -5.04%K -7.56%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-18 18:55
SportsBet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.28%EV -6.26%E -3.56%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -11.46%E -2.39%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -2.38%E -0.691%K -0.973%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-18 18:50
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 53.35%EV -7.33%E -4.21%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -11.46%E -2.39%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -3.80%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-18 18:50
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 53.12%EV -8.93%E -5.22%K -12.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.93%EV -11.46%E -2.39%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -8.04%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-18 18:50
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 53.71%EV -11.06%E -6.62%K -16.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -11.46%E -2.39%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -8.04%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-18 18:54
betano_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 53.71%EV -11.06%E -6.62%K -16.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -11.46%E -2.39%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -8.04%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-18 18:54
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.68%EV -5.20%E -2.92%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -12.38%E -2.61%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -3.80%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-18 18:50
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.58%EV -7.33%E -4.21%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -12.38%E -2.61%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -8.04%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-18 18:50
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 52.93%EV -9.46%E -5.56%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.94%EV -12.38%E -2.61%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-18 18:50
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 51.65%EV -6.80%E -3.88%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -15.15%E -3.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.70%EV -10.87%E -3.45%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-18 18:55
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 52.17%EV -7.86%E -4.54%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.62%EV -15.15%E -3.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-18 18:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.06%EV -9.46%E -5.56%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -15.15%E -3.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-18 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -9.46%E -5.56%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -15.15%E -3.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-18 18:50
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -9.46%E -5.56%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -15.15%E -3.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-18 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -9.46%E -5.56%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -15.15%E -3.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-18 18:50
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -9.46%E -5.56%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -15.15%E -3.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-18 18:55
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 52.83%EV -9.46%E -5.56%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -16.99%E -3.78%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-18 18:50
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook1.86I 53.76%NM 53.61%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.90%0.3%2026-07-18 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.74%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.44%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82%0.6%2026-07-18 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.74%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.44%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82%0.6%2026-07-18 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.74%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.44%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82%0.6%2026-07-18 18:55
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 53.57%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.73%0.9%2026-07-18 18:55