L’École des cotesCriciuma v Vila Nova
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Criciuma (Local)
Prévision 53.26%1.88cote équitable
EV -5.20%
Avantage -2.92%
Kelly -6.66%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.78
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.65%53.34%53.22%54.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.651.731.731.7860.61%57.97%57.97%56.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Vila Nova (Visiteur)
Prévision 18.45%5.42cote équitable
EV +4.03%
Avantage +0.715%
Kelly +0.869%
Croissance +0.035%
avec la cote maximale 5.64
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.75%18.41%18.43%19.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.015.005.6422.22%19.98%20.00%17.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 28.29%3.53cote équitable
EV -2.38%
Avantage -0.691%
Kelly -0.973%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.45
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.18%28.26%28.34%29.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.223.203.4533.33%31.09%31.25%28.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.47%EV -6.26%E -3.56%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 5.64I 17.73%NM 17.00%EV +4.03%E +0.715%K +0.869%G +0.035% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.53%EV -4.93%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.69%EV -8.39%E -4.88%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +3.30%E +0.588%K +0.716%G +0.024% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.69%EV -8.39%E -4.88%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +3.30%E +0.588%K +0.716%G +0.024% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| BetUS | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.84%EV -8.93%E -5.22%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.75%EV +3.30%E +0.588%K +0.716%G +0.024% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| 1xBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -9.46%E -5.56%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 5.42I 18.45%NM 17.22%EV -0.025%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -5.21%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-18 18:45 |
| Unibet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.13%EV -6.26%E -3.56%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -2.24%E -0.422%K -0.521%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.13%EV -6.26%E -3.56%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -2.24%E -0.422%K -0.521%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.13%EV -6.26%E -3.56%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -2.24%E -0.422%K -0.521%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Casumo | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.13%EV -6.26%E -3.56%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -2.24%E -0.422%K -0.521%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| betPARX | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.13%EV -6.26%E -3.56%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -2.24%E -0.422%K -0.521%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.13%EV -6.26%E -3.56%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -2.24%E -0.422%K -0.521%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.13%EV -6.26%E -3.56%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -2.24%E -0.422%K -0.521%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.60%EV -5.73%E -3.24%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.07%EV -3.16%E -0.602%K -0.744%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.32%EV -5.21%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-18 18:49 |
| Bovada | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.53%EV -8.39%E -4.88%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.70%EV -4.08%E -0.785%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-18 18:53 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.00%EV -6.80%E -3.88%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.01%EV -5.01%E -0.972%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Betsson | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.67%EV -8.39%E -4.88%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.92%EV -5.01%E -0.972%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -8.04%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.67%EV -8.39%E -4.88%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.92%EV -5.01%E -0.972%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -8.04%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Betway | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -6.80%E -3.88%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -7.77%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.24%EV -7.86%E -4.54%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.42%EV -7.77%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.34%EV -8.04%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.00%EV -7.86%E -4.54%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.34%EV -7.77%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| 888sport | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -6.80%E -3.88%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -7.77%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -12.29%E -3.96%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| William Hill | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -6.80%E -3.88%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -7.77%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -12.29%E -3.96%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -6.80%E -3.88%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -7.77%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -12.29%E -3.96%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -6.80%E -3.88%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -7.77%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -12.29%E -3.96%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -12.12%E -7.35%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -7.77%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.56%EV -8.93%E -5.22%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.97%EV -7.77%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -13.70%E -4.49%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.28%EV -8.39%E -4.88%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.52%EV -8.69%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -8.04%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| BetRivers | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.57%EV -7.86%E -4.54%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.56%EV -9.62%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.87%EV -10.87%E -3.45%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-18 18:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.51%EV -9.46%E -5.56%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.22%EV -9.62%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.27%EV -13.70%E -4.49%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.55%EV -10.52%E -6.26%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.02%EV -9.62%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -15.12%E -5.04%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.70%EV -11.06%E -6.62%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.96%EV -9.62%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.34%EV -15.12%E -5.04%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.70%EV -11.06%E -6.62%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.96%EV -9.62%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.34%EV -15.12%E -5.04%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.28%EV -6.26%E -3.56%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -11.46%E -2.39%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -2.38%E -0.691%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| FanDuel | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.35%EV -7.33%E -4.21%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -11.46%E -2.39%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -3.80%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.12%EV -8.93%E -5.22%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.93%EV -11.46%E -2.39%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -8.04%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| Bet Victor | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.71%EV -11.06%E -6.62%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -11.46%E -2.39%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -8.04%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-18 18:54 |
| betano_uk | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.71%EV -11.06%E -6.62%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -11.46%E -2.39%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -8.04%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-18 18:54 |
| Coolbet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.68%EV -5.20%E -2.92%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -12.38%E -2.61%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -3.80%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.58%EV -7.33%E -4.21%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -12.38%E -2.61%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -8.04%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| BoyleSports | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.93%EV -9.46%E -5.56%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.94%EV -12.38%E -2.61%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| PlayUp | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.65%EV -6.80%E -3.88%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -15.15%E -3.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.70%EV -10.87%E -3.45%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| betfred_uk | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.17%EV -7.86%E -4.54%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.62%EV -15.15%E -3.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-18 18:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.06%EV -9.46%E -5.56%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -15.15%E -3.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -9.46%E -5.56%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -15.15%E -3.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| Neds | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -9.46%E -5.56%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -15.15%E -3.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -9.46%E -5.56%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -15.15%E -3.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -9.46%E -5.56%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -15.15%E -3.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.83%EV -9.46%E -5.56%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -16.99%E -3.78%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.49% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.90% | 0.3% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.74% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.44% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82% | 0.6% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.74% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.44% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82% | 0.6% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.74% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.44% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82% | 0.6% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.57% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.73% | 0.9% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |