Szkoła KursówPolski
Criciuma v Vila Nova
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Criciuma (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 53.26%1.88kurs godziwy
EV -5.20%
Przewaga -2.92%
Kelly -6.66%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.78
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
51.65%53.34%53.22%54.91%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.651.731.731.7860.61%57.97%57.97%56.18%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Vila Nova (Goście)
Prognoza 18.45%5.42kurs godziwy
EV +4.03%
Przewaga +0.715%
Kelly +0.869%
Wzrost +0.035%
przy maksymalnym kursie 5.64
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
16.75%18.41%18.43%19.96%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.505.015.005.6422.22%19.98%20.00%17.73%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Remis
Prognoza 28.29%3.53kurs godziwy
EV -2.38%
Przewaga -0.691%
Kelly -0.973%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 3.45
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
27.18%28.26%28.34%29.49%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.003.223.203.4533.33%31.09%31.25%28.99%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Kursy bukmacherskie (48 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście ▼ | Remis | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.47%EV -6.26%E -3.56%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 5.64I 17.73%NM 17.00%EV +4.03%E +0.715%K +0.869%G +0.035% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.53%EV -4.93%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.69%EV -8.39%E -4.88%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +3.30%E +0.588%K +0.716%G +0.024% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.69%EV -8.39%E -4.88%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +3.30%E +0.588%K +0.716%G +0.024% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| BetUS | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.84%EV -8.93%E -5.22%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.75%EV +3.30%E +0.588%K +0.716%G +0.024% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| 1xBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -9.46%E -5.56%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 5.42I 18.45%NM 17.22%EV -0.025%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -5.21%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-18 18:45 |
| Unibet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.13%EV -6.26%E -3.56%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -2.24%E -0.422%K -0.521%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.13%EV -6.26%E -3.56%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -2.24%E -0.422%K -0.521%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.13%EV -6.26%E -3.56%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -2.24%E -0.422%K -0.521%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Casumo | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.13%EV -6.26%E -3.56%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -2.24%E -0.422%K -0.521%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| betPARX | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.13%EV -6.26%E -3.56%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -2.24%E -0.422%K -0.521%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.13%EV -6.26%E -3.56%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -2.24%E -0.422%K -0.521%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.13%EV -6.26%E -3.56%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -2.24%E -0.422%K -0.521%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.60%EV -5.73%E -3.24%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.07%EV -3.16%E -0.602%K -0.744%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.32%EV -5.21%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-18 18:49 |
| Bovada | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.53%EV -8.39%E -4.88%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.70%EV -4.08%E -0.785%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-18 18:53 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.00%EV -6.80%E -3.88%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.01%EV -5.01%E -0.972%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Betsson | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.67%EV -8.39%E -4.88%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.92%EV -5.01%E -0.972%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -8.04%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.67%EV -8.39%E -4.88%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.92%EV -5.01%E -0.972%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -8.04%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Betway | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -6.80%E -3.88%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -7.77%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.24%EV -7.86%E -4.54%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.42%EV -7.77%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.34%EV -8.04%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.00%EV -7.86%E -4.54%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.34%EV -7.77%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| 888sport | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -6.80%E -3.88%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -7.77%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -12.29%E -3.96%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| William Hill | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -6.80%E -3.88%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -7.77%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -12.29%E -3.96%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -6.80%E -3.88%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -7.77%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -12.29%E -3.96%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -6.80%E -3.88%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -7.77%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -12.29%E -3.96%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -12.12%E -7.35%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -7.77%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.56%EV -8.93%E -5.22%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.97%EV -7.77%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -13.70%E -4.49%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.28%EV -8.39%E -4.88%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.52%EV -8.69%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -8.04%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| BetRivers | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.57%EV -7.86%E -4.54%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.56%EV -9.62%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.87%EV -10.87%E -3.45%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-18 18:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.51%EV -9.46%E -5.56%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.22%EV -9.62%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.27%EV -13.70%E -4.49%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.55%EV -10.52%E -6.26%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.02%EV -9.62%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -15.12%E -5.04%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.70%EV -11.06%E -6.62%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.96%EV -9.62%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.34%EV -15.12%E -5.04%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.70%EV -11.06%E -6.62%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.96%EV -9.62%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.34%EV -15.12%E -5.04%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.28%EV -6.26%E -3.56%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -11.46%E -2.39%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -2.38%E -0.691%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| FanDuel | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.35%EV -7.33%E -4.21%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -11.46%E -2.39%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -3.80%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.12%EV -8.93%E -5.22%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.93%EV -11.46%E -2.39%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -8.04%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| Bet Victor | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.71%EV -11.06%E -6.62%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -11.46%E -2.39%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -8.04%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-18 18:54 |
| betano_uk | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.71%EV -11.06%E -6.62%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -11.46%E -2.39%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -8.04%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-18 18:54 |
| Coolbet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.68%EV -5.20%E -2.92%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -12.38%E -2.61%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -3.80%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.58%EV -7.33%E -4.21%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -12.38%E -2.61%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -8.04%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| BoyleSports | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.93%EV -9.46%E -5.56%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.94%EV -12.38%E -2.61%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| PlayUp | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.65%EV -6.80%E -3.88%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -15.15%E -3.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.70%EV -10.87%E -3.45%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| betfred_uk | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.17%EV -7.86%E -4.54%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.62%EV -15.15%E -3.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-18 18:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.06%EV -9.46%E -5.56%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -15.15%E -3.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -9.46%E -5.56%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -15.15%E -3.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| Neds | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -9.46%E -5.56%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -15.15%E -3.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -9.46%E -5.56%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -15.15%E -3.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -9.46%E -5.56%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -15.15%E -3.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.83%EV -9.46%E -5.56%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -16.99%E -3.78%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (5)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Remis | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.49% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.90% | 0.3% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.74% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.44% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82% | 0.6% | 2026-07-18 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.74% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.44% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82% | 0.6% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.74% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.44% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82% | 0.6% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.57% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.73% | 0.9% | 2026-07-18 18:55 |