Language:English
Criciuma v Nautico PE
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Criciuma (Local)
Prediction 61.02%1.64fair odd
EV -6.03%
Edge -3.91%
Kelly -11.16%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.54
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.32%61.18%60.83%62.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.511.501.5469.44%66.44%66.67%64.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Nautico PE (Visit)
Prediction 14.94%6.70fair odd
EV +12.17%
Edge +1.62%
Kelly +1.87%
Growth +0.228%
assuming max odds 7.51
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.74%14.84%15.12%16.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.256.046.007.5119.05%16.56%16.67%13.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.04%4.16fair odd
EV -2.63%
Edge -0.650%
Kelly -0.862%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.89%23.98%24.05%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.813.804.0527.78%26.23%26.32%24.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Criciuma (Local): 61.02%; Nautico PE (Visit): 14.94%; Draw: 24.04%. For Nautico PE (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.70. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.51, corresponding to a positive expected value of +12.17%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.97%EV -7.25%E -4.77%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 7.51I 13.32%NM 12.74%EV +12.17%E +1.62%K +1.87%G +0.228% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.29%EV -5.28%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-26 18:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.15%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV +4.56%E +0.651%K +0.759%G +0.035% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-26 18:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.15%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV +4.56%E +0.651%K +0.759%G +0.035% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-26 18:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.49%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.78%EV +1.57%E +0.231%K +0.270%G +0.004% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -5.03%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.49%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.78%EV +1.57%E +0.231%K +0.270%G +0.004% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -5.03%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.49%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.78%EV +1.57%E +0.231%K +0.270%G +0.004% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -5.03%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-26 18:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.24%EV -6.64%E -4.34%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.42%EV -2.91%E -0.448%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -7.44%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-26 18:36 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.75%EV -7.86%E -5.20%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.34%EV -2.91%E -0.448%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.24%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.52%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -2.91%E -0.448%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-26 18:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.12%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -2.91%E -0.448%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -11.05%E -2.99%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.08%EV -12.13%E -8.42%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.75%EV -2.91%E -0.448%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -11.05%E -2.99%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-26 18:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.08%EV -12.13%E -8.42%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.75%EV -2.91%E -0.448%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -11.05%E -2.99%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-26 18:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.11%EV -6.64%E -4.34%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.61%EV -4.41%E -0.689%K -0.816%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.28%EV -7.44%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.63%EV -9.69%E -6.55%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.48%EV -4.41%E -0.689%K -0.816%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.89%EV -2.63%E -0.650%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-26 18:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.83%EV -7.25%E -4.77%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.16%EV -8.89%E -1.46%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -7.44%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.83%EV -7.25%E -4.77%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.16%EV -8.89%E -1.46%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -7.44%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-26 18:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.73%EV -6.03%E -3.91%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -5.03%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.73%EV -6.03%E -3.91%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -5.03%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.86%EV -7.25%E -4.77%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -6.24%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-26 18:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.13%EV -6.64%E -4.34%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-26 18:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.64%EV -7.86%E -5.20%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.41%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -11.05%E -2.99%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-26 18:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.41%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -11.05%E -2.99%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-26 18:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.41%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -11.05%E -2.99%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-26 18:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -13.45%E -3.74%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-26 18:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.03%E -3.91%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.04%EV -13.37%E -2.30%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -5.03%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.03%E -3.91%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.04%EV -13.37%E -2.30%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -5.03%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.03%E -3.91%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.04%EV -13.37%E -2.30%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -5.03%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.03%E -3.91%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.04%EV -13.37%E -2.30%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -5.03%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.03%E -3.91%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.04%EV -13.37%E -2.30%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -5.03%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.67%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.69%EV -13.37%E -2.30%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -7.44%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-26 18:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.58%EV -6.03%E -3.91%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.96%EV -14.12%E -2.45%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.50%EV -7.25%E -4.77%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -14.12%E -2.45%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -12.25%E -3.36%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.01%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.66%EV -14.12%E -2.45%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -11.05%E -2.99%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.01%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.66%EV -14.12%E -2.45%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -11.05%E -2.99%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-26 18:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.12%EV -9.08%E -6.09%K -18.53%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.00%EV -16.36%E -2.92%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -6.64%E -4.34%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -17.85%E -3.25%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -6.24%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -17.85%E -3.25%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-26 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -17.85%E -3.25%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-26 18:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -17.85%E -3.25%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-26 18:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.94%EV -9.08%E -6.09%K -18.53%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.24%EV -17.85%E -3.25%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.10%EV -9.69%E -6.55%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.17%EV -17.85%E -3.25%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.76%EV -12.13%E -8.42%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.91%EV -17.85%E -3.25%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.33%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-07-26 18:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 60.06%EV -10.91%E -7.47%K -23.71%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.24%EV -19.34%E -3.58%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.70%EV -11.05%E -2.99%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 60.06%EV -10.91%E -7.47%K -23.71%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.24%EV -19.34%E -3.58%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.70%EV -11.05%E -2.99%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.32%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -21.58%E -4.11%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.85% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.29% | 0.4% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.66% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22% | 0.7% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.47% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15% | 1.0% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.62% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.33% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05% | 1.4% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.62% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.33% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05% | 1.4% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |