La escuela de los momios

Criciuma v Nautico PE

2026-07-26 19:00 UTC — Brazil Série B

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Criciuma (Local)

Predicción 53.60%1.87momio equitativo
EV -5.66%
Ventaja -3.21%
Kelly -7.44%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.76

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.34%53.70%53.58%54.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.621.711.711.7661.73%58.59%58.48%56.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Nautico PE (Visitante)

Predicción 19.22%5.20momio equitativo
EV +6.85%
Ventaja +1.23%
Kelly +1.50%
Crecimiento +0.103%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.56

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.17%18.99%19.26%20.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.404.774.755.5622.73%20.97%21.05%17.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.18%3.68momio equitativo
EV -2.16%
Ventaja -0.600%
Kelly -0.830%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.94%27.31%27.17%28.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.403.353.6031.25%29.45%29.85%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 54.24%EV -5.66%E -3.21%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.17%EV +6.85%E +1.23%K +1.50%G +0.103%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.58%EV -9.23%E -2.76%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-26 05:24
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 54.07%EV -6.73%E -3.87%K -9.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.42%EV +3.78%E +0.699%K +0.858%G +0.032%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -10.31%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 05:24
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 54.07%EV -6.73%E -3.87%K -9.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.42%EV +3.78%E +0.699%K +0.858%G +0.032%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -10.31%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 05:24
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 54.07%EV -6.73%E -3.87%K -9.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.42%EV +3.78%E +0.699%K +0.858%G +0.032%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -10.31%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 05:29
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -8.34%E -4.88%K -11.74%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.37%EV +1.85%E +0.350%K +0.431%G +0.008%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -13.03%E -4.07%K -5.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 05:27
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.47%EV -6.73%E -3.87%K -9.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.05%EV +0.893%E +0.170%K +0.210%G +0.002%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -6.24%E -1.81%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-26 04:20
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 53.94%EV -7.26%E -4.20%K -9.95%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV +0.893%E +0.170%K +0.210%G +0.002%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -10.31%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 05:24
SportsBet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.63%EV -8.34%E -4.88%K -11.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -3.91%E -0.782%K -0.978%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.88%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 05:24
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 54.63%EV -8.34%E -4.88%K -11.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -3.91%E -0.782%K -0.978%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.88%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 05:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -8.87%E -5.22%K -12.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -3.91%E -0.782%K -0.978%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -4.88%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 05:25
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 53.53%EV -7.80%E -4.54%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.98%EV -6.79%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -8.95%E -2.67%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-24 19:50
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 53.53%EV -7.80%E -4.54%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.98%EV -6.79%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -8.95%E -2.67%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-24 19:50
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -8.87%E -5.22%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.87%EV -6.79%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -8.95%E -2.67%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 05:39
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.61%EV -8.34%E -4.88%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -7.76%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -2.16%E -0.600%K -0.830%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 19:40
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.61%EV -8.34%E -4.88%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -7.76%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -2.16%E -0.600%K -0.830%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 19:40
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.61%EV -8.34%E -4.88%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -7.76%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -2.16%E -0.600%K -0.830%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 19:39
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 54.61%EV -8.34%E -4.88%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -7.76%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -2.16%E -0.600%K -0.830%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 19:40
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 54.61%EV -8.34%E -4.88%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -7.76%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -2.16%E -0.600%K -0.830%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 19:40
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.61%EV -8.34%E -4.88%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -7.76%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -2.16%E -0.600%K -0.830%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 19:40
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 54.61%EV -8.34%E -4.88%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -7.76%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -2.16%E -0.600%K -0.830%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 19:40
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.21%EV -8.34%E -4.88%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.31%EV -7.76%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -4.88%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 05:34
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.81%EV -7.26%E -4.20%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -8.72%E -1.83%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -4.88%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 05:24
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.39%EV -7.26%E -4.20%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV -8.72%E -1.83%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -7.59%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-24 19:50
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.68%EV -8.34%E -4.88%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.32%EV -8.72%E -1.83%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -7.59%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 05:20
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 54.27%EV -10.48%E -6.28%K -15.64%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.08%EV -8.72%E -1.83%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -7.59%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-26 05:23
Codere (IT)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.06%EV -8.87%E -5.22%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.19%EV -9.68%E -2.06%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -11.67%E -3.59%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-24 19:49
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -6.19%E -3.54%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -11.60%E -2.52%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -10.31%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 05:35
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -6.19%E -3.54%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -11.60%E -2.52%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -10.31%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 05:34
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -6.19%E -3.54%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -11.60%E -2.52%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -10.31%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 05:34
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -6.19%E -3.54%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -11.60%E -2.52%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -10.31%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 05:34
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 53.34%EV -8.34%E -4.88%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -11.60%E -2.52%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -7.59%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 05:19
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 54.19%EV -9.94%E -5.92%K -14.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -11.60%E -2.52%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -4.88%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-25 13:30
betano_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 53.06%EV -8.87%E -5.22%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -11.60%E -2.52%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -10.31%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-26 05:19
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 53.06%EV -8.87%E -5.22%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -11.60%E -2.52%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -10.31%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-26 05:18
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 53.06%EV -8.87%E -5.22%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -11.60%E -2.52%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -10.31%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-26 05:20
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 54.05%EV -11.02%E -6.64%K -16.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.94%EV -13.52%E -3.00%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -6.24%E -1.81%K -2.55%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-25 19:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.00%EV -11.55%E -7.00%K -17.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -13.52%E -3.00%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.20%EV -7.59%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-25 19:39
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 53.27%EV -10.48%E -6.28%K -15.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -13.52%E -3.00%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -10.31%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-26 05:30
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 54.15%EV -12.09%E -7.37%K -18.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.73%EV -13.52%E -3.00%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.12%EV -7.59%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-25 19:39
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 52.51%EV -7.80%E -4.54%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.53%EV -15.44%E -3.51%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -8.95%E -2.67%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-26 05:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.59%EV -8.87%E -5.22%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -15.44%E -3.51%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -10.31%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 05:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.59%EV -8.87%E -5.22%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -15.44%E -3.51%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -10.31%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 05:19
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 52.59%EV -8.87%E -5.22%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -15.44%E -3.51%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -10.31%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 05:20
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 52.59%EV -8.87%E -5.22%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -15.44%E -3.51%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -10.31%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 05:19
Virgin Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 54.00%EV -13.16%E -8.12%K -21.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.88%EV -15.44%E -3.51%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.11%EV -8.95%E -2.67%K -3.81%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-25 19:39
LiveScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 54.00%EV -13.16%E -8.12%K -21.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.88%EV -15.44%E -3.51%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.11%EV -8.95%E -2.67%K -3.81%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-25 19:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets1.78I 56.18%NM 55.56%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.09%1.1%2026-07-26 05:30
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 55.56%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.09%1.1%2026-07-26 05:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.56%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.09%1.1%2026-07-26 05:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.56%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.09%1.1%2026-07-26 05:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.56%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.09%1.1%2026-07-26 05:29