Idioma:Español
Criciuma v Nautico PE
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Criciuma (Local)
Predicción 61.02%1.64momio equitativo
EV -6.03%
Ventaja -3.91%
Kelly -11.16%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.54
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.32%61.18%60.83%62.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.441.511.501.5469.44%66.44%66.67%64.94%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nautico PE (Visitante)
Predicción 14.94%6.70momio equitativo
EV +12.17%
Ventaja +1.62%
Kelly +1.87%
Crecimiento +0.228%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.51
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.74%14.84%15.12%16.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.256.046.007.5119.05%16.56%16.67%13.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 24.04%4.16momio equitativo
EV -2.63%
Ventaja -0.650%
Kelly -0.862%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.89%23.98%24.05%25.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.603.813.804.0527.78%26.23%26.32%24.69%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Criciuma (Local): 61.02%; Nautico PE (Visitante): 14.94%; Empate: 24.04%. Para Nautico PE (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 6.70. 6 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 7.51, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +12.17%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.97%EV -7.25%E -4.77%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 7.51I 13.32%NM 12.74%EV +12.17%E +1.62%K +1.87%G +0.228% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.29%EV -5.28%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-26 18:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.15%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV +4.56%E +0.651%K +0.759%G +0.035% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-26 18:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.15%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV +4.56%E +0.651%K +0.759%G +0.035% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-26 18:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.49%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.78%EV +1.57%E +0.231%K +0.270%G +0.004% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -5.03%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.49%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.78%EV +1.57%E +0.231%K +0.270%G +0.004% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -5.03%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.49%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.78%EV +1.57%E +0.231%K +0.270%G +0.004% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -5.03%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-26 18:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.24%EV -6.64%E -4.34%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.42%EV -2.91%E -0.448%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -7.44%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-26 18:36 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.75%EV -7.86%E -5.20%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.34%EV -2.91%E -0.448%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.24%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.52%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -2.91%E -0.448%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-26 18:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.12%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -2.91%E -0.448%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -11.05%E -2.99%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.08%EV -12.13%E -8.42%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.75%EV -2.91%E -0.448%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -11.05%E -2.99%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-26 18:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.08%EV -12.13%E -8.42%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.75%EV -2.91%E -0.448%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -11.05%E -2.99%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-26 18:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.11%EV -6.64%E -4.34%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.61%EV -4.41%E -0.689%K -0.816%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.28%EV -7.44%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.63%EV -9.69%E -6.55%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.48%EV -4.41%E -0.689%K -0.816%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.89%EV -2.63%E -0.650%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-26 18:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.83%EV -7.25%E -4.77%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.16%EV -8.89%E -1.46%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -7.44%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.83%EV -7.25%E -4.77%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.16%EV -8.89%E -1.46%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -7.44%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-26 18:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.73%EV -6.03%E -3.91%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -5.03%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.73%EV -6.03%E -3.91%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -5.03%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.86%EV -7.25%E -4.77%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -6.24%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-26 18:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.13%EV -6.64%E -4.34%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-26 18:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.64%EV -7.86%E -5.20%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.41%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -11.05%E -2.99%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-26 18:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.41%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -11.05%E -2.99%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-26 18:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.41%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -11.05%E -2.99%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-26 18:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -13.45%E -3.74%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-26 18:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.03%E -3.91%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.04%EV -13.37%E -2.30%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -5.03%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.03%E -3.91%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.04%EV -13.37%E -2.30%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -5.03%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.03%E -3.91%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.04%EV -13.37%E -2.30%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -5.03%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.03%E -3.91%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.04%EV -13.37%E -2.30%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -5.03%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.03%E -3.91%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.04%EV -13.37%E -2.30%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -5.03%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.67%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.69%EV -13.37%E -2.30%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -7.44%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-26 18:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.58%EV -6.03%E -3.91%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.96%EV -14.12%E -2.45%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.50%EV -7.25%E -4.77%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -14.12%E -2.45%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -12.25%E -3.36%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.01%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.66%EV -14.12%E -2.45%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -11.05%E -2.99%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.01%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.66%EV -14.12%E -2.45%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -11.05%E -2.99%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-26 18:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.12%EV -9.08%E -6.09%K -18.53%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.00%EV -16.36%E -2.92%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -6.64%E -4.34%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -17.85%E -3.25%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -6.24%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -17.85%E -3.25%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-26 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -17.85%E -3.25%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-26 18:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -17.85%E -3.25%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-26 18:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.94%EV -9.08%E -6.09%K -18.53%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.24%EV -17.85%E -3.25%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.10%EV -9.69%E -6.55%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.17%EV -17.85%E -3.25%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.76%EV -12.13%E -8.42%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.91%EV -17.85%E -3.25%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.33%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-07-26 18:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 60.06%EV -10.91%E -7.47%K -23.71%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.24%EV -19.34%E -3.58%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.70%EV -11.05%E -2.99%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 60.06%EV -10.91%E -7.47%K -23.71%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.24%EV -19.34%E -3.58%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.70%EV -11.05%E -2.99%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.32%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -21.58%E -4.11%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.85% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.29% | 0.4% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.66% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22% | 0.7% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.47% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15% | 1.0% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.62% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.33% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05% | 1.4% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.62% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.33% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05% | 1.4% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |