语言:简体中文
Criciuma v Nautico PE
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Criciuma (主队)
预测 61.02%1.64公平赔率
EV -6.03%
优势 -3.91%
Kelly -11.16%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.54
博彩公司预测分布
59.32%61.18%60.83%62.97%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.441.511.501.5469.44%66.44%66.67%64.94%最小值均值中位数最大值
Nautico PE (客队)
预测 14.94%6.70公平赔率
EV +12.17%
优势 +1.62%
Kelly +1.87%
增长率 +0.228%
假设最高赔率为 7.51
博彩公司预测分布
12.74%14.84%15.12%16.95%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.256.046.007.5119.05%16.56%16.67%13.32%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 24.04%4.16公平赔率
EV -2.63%
优势 -0.650%
Kelly -0.862%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.05
博彩公司预测分布
22.89%23.98%24.05%25.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.603.813.804.0527.78%26.23%26.32%24.69%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Criciuma (主队)：61.02%；Nautico PE (客队)：14.94%；平局：24.04%。 对于“Nautico PE (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.70。 当时有6家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为7.51，对应+12.17%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (46 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.97%EV -7.25%E -4.77%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 7.51I 13.32%NM 12.74%EV +12.17%E +1.62%K +1.87%G +0.228% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.29%EV -5.28%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-26 18:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.15%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV +4.56%E +0.651%K +0.759%G +0.035% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-26 18:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.15%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV +4.56%E +0.651%K +0.759%G +0.035% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-26 18:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.49%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.78%EV +1.57%E +0.231%K +0.270%G +0.004% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -5.03%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.49%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.78%EV +1.57%E +0.231%K +0.270%G +0.004% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -5.03%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.49%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.78%EV +1.57%E +0.231%K +0.270%G +0.004% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -5.03%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-26 18:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.24%EV -6.64%E -4.34%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.42%EV -2.91%E -0.448%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -7.44%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-26 18:36 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.75%EV -7.86%E -5.20%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.34%EV -2.91%E -0.448%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.24%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.52%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -2.91%E -0.448%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-26 18:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.12%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -2.91%E -0.448%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -11.05%E -2.99%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.08%EV -12.13%E -8.42%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.75%EV -2.91%E -0.448%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -11.05%E -2.99%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-26 18:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.08%EV -12.13%E -8.42%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.75%EV -2.91%E -0.448%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -11.05%E -2.99%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-26 18:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.11%EV -6.64%E -4.34%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.61%EV -4.41%E -0.689%K -0.816%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.28%EV -7.44%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.63%EV -9.69%E -6.55%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.48%EV -4.41%E -0.689%K -0.816%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.89%EV -2.63%E -0.650%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-26 18:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.83%EV -7.25%E -4.77%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.16%EV -8.89%E -1.46%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -7.44%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.83%EV -7.25%E -4.77%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.16%EV -8.89%E -1.46%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -7.44%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-26 18:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.73%EV -6.03%E -3.91%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -5.03%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.73%EV -6.03%E -3.91%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -5.03%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.86%EV -7.25%E -4.77%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -6.24%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-26 18:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.13%EV -6.64%E -4.34%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-26 18:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.64%EV -7.86%E -5.20%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.41%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -11.05%E -2.99%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-26 18:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.41%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -11.05%E -2.99%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-26 18:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.41%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -11.05%E -2.99%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-26 18:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -13.45%E -3.74%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-26 18:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.03%E -3.91%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.04%EV -13.37%E -2.30%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -5.03%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.03%E -3.91%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.04%EV -13.37%E -2.30%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -5.03%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.03%E -3.91%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.04%EV -13.37%E -2.30%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -5.03%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.03%E -3.91%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.04%EV -13.37%E -2.30%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -5.03%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.03%E -3.91%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.04%EV -13.37%E -2.30%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -5.03%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.67%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.69%EV -13.37%E -2.30%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -7.44%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-26 18:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.58%EV -6.03%E -3.91%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.96%EV -14.12%E -2.45%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.50%EV -7.25%E -4.77%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -14.12%E -2.45%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -12.25%E -3.36%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.01%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.66%EV -14.12%E -2.45%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -11.05%E -2.99%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.01%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.66%EV -14.12%E -2.45%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -11.05%E -2.99%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-26 18:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.12%EV -9.08%E -6.09%K -18.53%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.00%EV -16.36%E -2.92%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -6.64%E -4.34%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -17.85%E -3.25%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -6.24%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -17.85%E -3.25%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-26 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -17.85%E -3.25%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-26 18:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -17.85%E -3.25%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-26 18:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.94%EV -9.08%E -6.09%K -18.53%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.24%EV -17.85%E -3.25%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.10%EV -9.69%E -6.55%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.17%EV -17.85%E -3.25%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.76%EV -12.13%E -8.42%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.91%EV -17.85%E -3.25%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.33%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-07-26 18:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 60.06%EV -10.91%E -7.47%K -23.71%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.24%EV -19.34%E -3.58%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.70%EV -11.05%E -2.99%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 60.06%EV -10.91%E -7.47%K -23.71%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.24%EV -19.34%E -3.58%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.70%EV -11.05%E -2.99%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.32%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -21.58%E -4.11%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.85% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.29% | 0.4% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.66% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22% | 0.7% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.47% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15% | 1.0% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.62% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.33% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05% | 1.4% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.62% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.33% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05% | 1.4% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |