Langue:Français
Criciuma v Nautico PE
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Criciuma (Local)
Prévision 61.02%1.64cote équitable
EV -6.03%
Avantage -3.91%
Kelly -11.16%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.54
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.32%61.18%60.83%62.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.441.511.501.5469.44%66.44%66.67%64.94%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Nautico PE (Visiteur)
Prévision 14.94%6.70cote équitable
EV +12.17%
Avantage +1.62%
Kelly +1.87%
Croissance +0.228%
avec la cote maximale 7.51
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.74%14.84%15.12%16.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.256.046.007.5119.05%16.56%16.67%13.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 24.04%4.16cote équitable
EV -2.63%
Avantage -0.650%
Kelly -0.862%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.05
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.89%23.98%24.05%25.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.603.813.804.0527.78%26.23%26.32%24.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Criciuma (Local) : 61.02% ; Nautico PE (Visiteur) : 14.94% ; Match nul : 24.04%. Pour Nautico PE (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 6.70. 6 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 7.51, soit une espérance positive de +12.17%.
Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.97%EV -7.25%E -4.77%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 7.51I 13.32%NM 12.74%EV +12.17%E +1.62%K +1.87%G +0.228% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.29%EV -5.28%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-26 18:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.15%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV +4.56%E +0.651%K +0.759%G +0.035% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-26 18:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.15%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV +4.56%E +0.651%K +0.759%G +0.035% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-26 18:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.49%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.78%EV +1.57%E +0.231%K +0.270%G +0.004% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -5.03%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.49%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.78%EV +1.57%E +0.231%K +0.270%G +0.004% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -5.03%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.49%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.78%EV +1.57%E +0.231%K +0.270%G +0.004% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -5.03%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-26 18:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.24%EV -6.64%E -4.34%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.42%EV -2.91%E -0.448%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -7.44%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-26 18:36 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.75%EV -7.86%E -5.20%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.34%EV -2.91%E -0.448%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.24%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.52%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -2.91%E -0.448%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-26 18:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.12%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -2.91%E -0.448%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -11.05%E -2.99%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.08%EV -12.13%E -8.42%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.75%EV -2.91%E -0.448%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -11.05%E -2.99%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-26 18:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.08%EV -12.13%E -8.42%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.75%EV -2.91%E -0.448%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -11.05%E -2.99%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-26 18:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.11%EV -6.64%E -4.34%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.61%EV -4.41%E -0.689%K -0.816%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.28%EV -7.44%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.63%EV -9.69%E -6.55%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.48%EV -4.41%E -0.689%K -0.816%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.89%EV -2.63%E -0.650%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-26 18:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.83%EV -7.25%E -4.77%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.16%EV -8.89%E -1.46%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -7.44%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.83%EV -7.25%E -4.77%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.16%EV -8.89%E -1.46%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -7.44%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-26 18:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.73%EV -6.03%E -3.91%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -5.03%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.73%EV -6.03%E -3.91%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -5.03%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.86%EV -7.25%E -4.77%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -6.24%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-26 18:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.13%EV -6.64%E -4.34%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-26 18:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.64%EV -7.86%E -5.20%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.41%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -11.05%E -2.99%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-26 18:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.41%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -11.05%E -2.99%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-26 18:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.41%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -11.05%E -2.99%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-26 18:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -13.45%E -3.74%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-26 18:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.03%E -3.91%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.04%EV -13.37%E -2.30%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -5.03%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.03%E -3.91%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.04%EV -13.37%E -2.30%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -5.03%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.03%E -3.91%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.04%EV -13.37%E -2.30%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -5.03%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.03%E -3.91%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.04%EV -13.37%E -2.30%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -5.03%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.03%E -3.91%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.04%EV -13.37%E -2.30%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -5.03%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.67%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.69%EV -13.37%E -2.30%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -7.44%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-26 18:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.58%EV -6.03%E -3.91%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.96%EV -14.12%E -2.45%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.50%EV -7.25%E -4.77%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -14.12%E -2.45%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -12.25%E -3.36%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.01%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.66%EV -14.12%E -2.45%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -11.05%E -2.99%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.01%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.66%EV -14.12%E -2.45%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -11.05%E -2.99%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-26 18:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.12%EV -9.08%E -6.09%K -18.53%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.00%EV -16.36%E -2.92%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -6.64%E -4.34%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -17.85%E -3.25%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -6.24%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -17.85%E -3.25%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-26 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -17.85%E -3.25%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-26 18:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -17.85%E -3.25%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-26 18:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.94%EV -9.08%E -6.09%K -18.53%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.24%EV -17.85%E -3.25%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.10%EV -9.69%E -6.55%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.17%EV -17.85%E -3.25%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.76%EV -12.13%E -8.42%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.91%EV -17.85%E -3.25%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.33%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-07-26 18:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 60.06%EV -10.91%E -7.47%K -23.71%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.24%EV -19.34%E -3.58%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.70%EV -11.05%E -2.99%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 60.06%EV -10.91%E -7.47%K -23.71%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.24%EV -19.34%E -3.58%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.70%EV -11.05%E -2.99%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.32%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -21.58%E -4.11%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.85% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.29% | 0.4% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.66% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22% | 0.7% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.47% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15% | 1.0% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.62% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.33% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05% | 1.4% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.62% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.33% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05% | 1.4% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |