L’École des cotes

Criciuma v Nautico PE

2026-07-26 19:00 UTC — Brazil Série B

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Criciuma (Local)

Prévision 53.60%1.87cote équitable
EV -5.66%
Avantage -3.21%
Kelly -7.44%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.76

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.34%53.70%53.58%54.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.621.711.711.7661.73%58.59%58.48%56.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Nautico PE (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.22%5.20cote équitable
EV +6.85%
Avantage +1.23%
Kelly +1.50%
Croissance +0.103%

avec la cote maximale 5.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.17%18.99%19.26%20.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.404.774.755.5622.73%20.97%21.05%17.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.18%3.68cote équitable
EV -2.16%
Avantage -0.600%
Kelly -0.830%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.94%27.31%27.17%28.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.403.353.6031.25%29.45%29.85%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 54.24%EV -5.66%E -3.21%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.17%EV +6.85%E +1.23%K +1.50%G +0.103%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.58%EV -9.23%E -2.76%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-26 05:24
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 54.07%EV -6.73%E -3.87%K -9.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.42%EV +3.78%E +0.699%K +0.858%G +0.032%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -10.31%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 05:24
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 54.07%EV -6.73%E -3.87%K -9.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.42%EV +3.78%E +0.699%K +0.858%G +0.032%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -10.31%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 05:24
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 54.07%EV -6.73%E -3.87%K -9.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.42%EV +3.78%E +0.699%K +0.858%G +0.032%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -10.31%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 05:29
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -8.34%E -4.88%K -11.74%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.37%EV +1.85%E +0.350%K +0.431%G +0.008%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -13.03%E -4.07%K -5.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 05:27
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.47%EV -6.73%E -3.87%K -9.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.05%EV +0.893%E +0.170%K +0.210%G +0.002%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -6.24%E -1.81%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-26 04:20
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 53.94%EV -7.26%E -4.20%K -9.95%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV +0.893%E +0.170%K +0.210%G +0.002%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -10.31%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 05:24
SportsBet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.63%EV -8.34%E -4.88%K -11.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -3.91%E -0.782%K -0.978%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.88%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 05:24
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 54.63%EV -8.34%E -4.88%K -11.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -3.91%E -0.782%K -0.978%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.88%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 05:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -8.87%E -5.22%K -12.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -3.91%E -0.782%K -0.978%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -4.88%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 05:25
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 53.53%EV -7.80%E -4.54%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.98%EV -6.79%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -8.95%E -2.67%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-24 19:50
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 53.53%EV -7.80%E -4.54%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.98%EV -6.79%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -8.95%E -2.67%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-24 19:50
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -8.87%E -5.22%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.87%EV -6.79%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -8.95%E -2.67%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 05:39
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.61%EV -8.34%E -4.88%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -7.76%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -2.16%E -0.600%K -0.830%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 19:40
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.61%EV -8.34%E -4.88%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -7.76%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -2.16%E -0.600%K -0.830%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 19:40
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.61%EV -8.34%E -4.88%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -7.76%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -2.16%E -0.600%K -0.830%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 19:39
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 54.61%EV -8.34%E -4.88%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -7.76%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -2.16%E -0.600%K -0.830%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 19:40
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 54.61%EV -8.34%E -4.88%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -7.76%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -2.16%E -0.600%K -0.830%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 19:40
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.61%EV -8.34%E -4.88%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -7.76%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -2.16%E -0.600%K -0.830%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 19:40
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 54.61%EV -8.34%E -4.88%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -7.76%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -2.16%E -0.600%K -0.830%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 19:40
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.21%EV -8.34%E -4.88%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.31%EV -7.76%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -4.88%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 05:34
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.81%EV -7.26%E -4.20%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -8.72%E -1.83%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -4.88%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 05:24
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.39%EV -7.26%E -4.20%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV -8.72%E -1.83%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -7.59%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-24 19:50
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.68%EV -8.34%E -4.88%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.32%EV -8.72%E -1.83%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -7.59%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 05:20
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 54.27%EV -10.48%E -6.28%K -15.64%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.08%EV -8.72%E -1.83%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -7.59%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-26 05:23
Codere (IT)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.06%EV -8.87%E -5.22%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.19%EV -9.68%E -2.06%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -11.67%E -3.59%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-24 19:49
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -6.19%E -3.54%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -11.60%E -2.52%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -10.31%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 05:35
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -6.19%E -3.54%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -11.60%E -2.52%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -10.31%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 05:34
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -6.19%E -3.54%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -11.60%E -2.52%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -10.31%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 05:34
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -6.19%E -3.54%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -11.60%E -2.52%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -10.31%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 05:34
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 53.34%EV -8.34%E -4.88%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -11.60%E -2.52%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -7.59%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 05:19
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 54.19%EV -9.94%E -5.92%K -14.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -11.60%E -2.52%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -4.88%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-25 13:30
betano_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 53.06%EV -8.87%E -5.22%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -11.60%E -2.52%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -10.31%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-26 05:19
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 53.06%EV -8.87%E -5.22%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -11.60%E -2.52%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -10.31%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-26 05:18
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 53.06%EV -8.87%E -5.22%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -11.60%E -2.52%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -10.31%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-26 05:20
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 54.05%EV -11.02%E -6.64%K -16.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.94%EV -13.52%E -3.00%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -6.24%E -1.81%K -2.55%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-25 19:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.00%EV -11.55%E -7.00%K -17.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -13.52%E -3.00%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.20%EV -7.59%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-25 19:39
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 53.27%EV -10.48%E -6.28%K -15.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -13.52%E -3.00%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -10.31%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-26 05:30
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 54.15%EV -12.09%E -7.37%K -18.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.73%EV -13.52%E -3.00%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.12%EV -7.59%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-25 19:39
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 52.51%EV -7.80%E -4.54%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.53%EV -15.44%E -3.51%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -8.95%E -2.67%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-26 05:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.59%EV -8.87%E -5.22%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -15.44%E -3.51%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -10.31%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 05:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.59%EV -8.87%E -5.22%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -15.44%E -3.51%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -10.31%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 05:19
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 52.59%EV -8.87%E -5.22%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -15.44%E -3.51%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -10.31%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 05:20
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 52.59%EV -8.87%E -5.22%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -15.44%E -3.51%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -10.31%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 05:19
Virgin Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 54.00%EV -13.16%E -8.12%K -21.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.88%EV -15.44%E -3.51%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.11%EV -8.95%E -2.67%K -3.81%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-25 19:39
LiveScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 54.00%EV -13.16%E -8.12%K -21.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.88%EV -15.44%E -3.51%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.11%EV -8.95%E -2.67%K -3.81%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-25 19:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 55.42%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.40%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%0.8%2026-07-26 05:19
Smarkets1.78I 56.18%NM 55.56%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.09%1.1%2026-07-26 05:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.56%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.09%1.1%2026-07-26 05:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.56%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.09%1.1%2026-07-26 05:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.56%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.09%1.1%2026-07-26 05:29