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Criciuma v Nautico PE
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Criciuma (Хозяева)
Прогноз 61.02%1.64справедливый коэффициент
EV -6.03%
Преимущество -3.91%
Kelly -11.16%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.54
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
59.32%61.18%60.83%62.97%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.441.511.501.5469.44%66.44%66.67%64.94%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Nautico PE (Гости)
Прогноз 14.94%6.70справедливый коэффициент
EV +12.17%
Преимущество +1.62%
Kelly +1.87%
Рост +0.228%
при максимальном коэффициенте 7.51
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
12.74%14.84%15.12%16.95%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
5.256.046.007.5119.05%16.56%16.67%13.32%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 24.04%4.16справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.63%
Преимущество -0.650%
Kelly -0.862%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.05
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
22.89%23.98%24.05%25.00%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.603.813.804.0527.78%26.23%26.32%24.69%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Criciuma (Хозяева): 61.02%; Nautico PE (Гости): 14.94%; Ничья: 24.04%. Для исхода «Nautico PE (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 6.70. 6 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 7.51, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +12.17%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (46 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.97%EV -7.25%E -4.77%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 7.51I 13.32%NM 12.74%EV +12.17%E +1.62%K +1.87%G +0.228% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.29%EV -5.28%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-26 18:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.15%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV +4.56%E +0.651%K +0.759%G +0.035% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-26 18:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.15%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV +4.56%E +0.651%K +0.759%G +0.035% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-26 18:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.49%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.78%EV +1.57%E +0.231%K +0.270%G +0.004% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -5.03%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.49%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.78%EV +1.57%E +0.231%K +0.270%G +0.004% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -5.03%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.49%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.78%EV +1.57%E +0.231%K +0.270%G +0.004% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -5.03%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-26 18:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.24%EV -6.64%E -4.34%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.42%EV -2.91%E -0.448%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -7.44%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-26 18:36 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.75%EV -7.86%E -5.20%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.34%EV -2.91%E -0.448%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.24%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.52%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -2.91%E -0.448%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-26 18:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.12%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -2.91%E -0.448%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -11.05%E -2.99%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.08%EV -12.13%E -8.42%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.75%EV -2.91%E -0.448%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -11.05%E -2.99%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-26 18:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.08%EV -12.13%E -8.42%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.75%EV -2.91%E -0.448%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -11.05%E -2.99%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-26 18:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.11%EV -6.64%E -4.34%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.61%EV -4.41%E -0.689%K -0.816%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.28%EV -7.44%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.63%EV -9.69%E -6.55%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.48%EV -4.41%E -0.689%K -0.816%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.89%EV -2.63%E -0.650%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-26 18:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.83%EV -7.25%E -4.77%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.16%EV -8.89%E -1.46%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -7.44%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.83%EV -7.25%E -4.77%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.16%EV -8.89%E -1.46%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -7.44%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-26 18:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.73%EV -6.03%E -3.91%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -5.03%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.73%EV -6.03%E -3.91%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -5.03%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.86%EV -7.25%E -4.77%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -6.24%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-26 18:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.13%EV -6.64%E -4.34%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-26 18:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.64%EV -7.86%E -5.20%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.41%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -11.05%E -2.99%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-26 18:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.41%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -11.05%E -2.99%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-26 18:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.41%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -11.05%E -2.99%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-26 18:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -13.45%E -3.74%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-26 18:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.03%E -3.91%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.04%EV -13.37%E -2.30%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -5.03%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.03%E -3.91%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.04%EV -13.37%E -2.30%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -5.03%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.03%E -3.91%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.04%EV -13.37%E -2.30%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -5.03%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.03%E -3.91%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.04%EV -13.37%E -2.30%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -5.03%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.03%E -3.91%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.04%EV -13.37%E -2.30%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -5.03%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.67%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.69%EV -13.37%E -2.30%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -7.44%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-26 18:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.58%EV -6.03%E -3.91%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.96%EV -14.12%E -2.45%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.50%EV -7.25%E -4.77%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -14.12%E -2.45%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -12.25%E -3.36%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.01%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.66%EV -14.12%E -2.45%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -11.05%E -2.99%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.01%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.66%EV -14.12%E -2.45%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -11.05%E -2.99%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-26 18:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.12%EV -9.08%E -6.09%K -18.53%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.00%EV -16.36%E -2.92%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -6.64%E -4.34%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -17.85%E -3.25%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -6.24%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -17.85%E -3.25%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-26 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -17.85%E -3.25%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-26 18:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -17.85%E -3.25%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-26 18:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.94%EV -9.08%E -6.09%K -18.53%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.24%EV -17.85%E -3.25%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.10%EV -9.69%E -6.55%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.17%EV -17.85%E -3.25%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.76%EV -12.13%E -8.42%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.91%EV -17.85%E -3.25%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.33%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-07-26 18:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 60.06%EV -10.91%E -7.47%K -23.71%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.24%EV -19.34%E -3.58%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.70%EV -11.05%E -2.99%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 60.06%EV -10.91%E -7.47%K -23.71%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.24%EV -19.34%E -3.58%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.70%EV -11.05%E -2.99%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.32%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -21.58%E -4.11%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (5)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.85% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.29% | 0.4% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.66% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22% | 0.7% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.47% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15% | 1.0% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.62% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.33% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05% | 1.4% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.62% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.33% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05% | 1.4% | 2026-07-26 19:00 |