La scuola delle quote

Criciuma v Nautico PE

2026-07-26 19:00 UTC — Brazil Série B

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46 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Criciuma (Casa)

Previsione 53.29%1.88quota equa
EV -5.14%
Vantaggio -2.88%
Kelly -6.58%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.78

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
51.88%53.43%53.29%54.86%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.661.721.731.7860.24%57.99%57.80%56.18%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Nautico PE (Trasferta)

Previsione 19.38%5.16quota equa
EV +10.11%
Vantaggio +1.78%
Kelly +2.16%
Crescita +0.218%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.68

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.90%19.16%19.36%20.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.404.724.755.6822.73%21.17%21.05%17.61%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.32%3.66quota equa
EV -3.29%
Vantaggio -0.928%
Kelly -1.29%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.54

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.18%27.41%27.34%28.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.343.333.5430.77%29.90%30.08%28.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (46 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 54.86%EV -6.73%E -3.85%K -8.98%G +0.000%5.68I 17.61%NM 16.90%EV +10.11%E +1.78%K +2.16%G +0.218%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.24%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-26 08:10
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 54.47%EV -9.93%E -5.88%K -14.39%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.21%EV +3.71%E +0.693%K +0.852%G +0.032%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -11.21%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 07:56
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.03%EV -7.27%E -4.18%K -9.82%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV +1.77%E +0.337%K +0.416%G +0.007%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -8.48%E -2.53%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 06:19
BetUS1.75I 57.14%NM 53.79%EV -6.73%E -3.85%K -8.98%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.10%EV +0.800%E +0.154%K +0.191%G +0.002%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -8.48%E -2.53%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 08:20
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 53.71%EV -7.27%E -4.18%K -9.82%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.97%EV +0.800%E +0.154%K +0.191%G +0.002%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 08:40
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 53.71%EV -7.27%E -4.18%K -9.82%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.97%EV +0.800%E +0.154%K +0.191%G +0.002%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 08:40
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -7.80%E -4.51%K -10.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -3.08%E -0.615%K -0.769%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 08:36
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -9.40%E -5.53%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.71%EV -5.02%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -8.48%E -2.53%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 08:40
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 53.53%EV -8.33%E -4.84%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.98%EV -5.98%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -8.48%E -2.53%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-24 19:50
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 53.53%EV -8.33%E -4.84%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.98%EV -5.98%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -8.48%E -2.53%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-24 19:50
SportsBet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.28%EV -6.20%E -3.52%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -6.95%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -5.74%E -1.67%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-26 05:55
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 53.35%EV -7.27%E -4.18%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -6.95%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-26 05:52
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.51%EV -9.40%E -5.53%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.31%EV -6.95%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.18%EV -3.29%E -0.928%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 07:55
Codere (IT)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.43%EV -8.33%E -4.84%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -6.95%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -8.48%E -2.53%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 07:09
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.68%EV -5.14%E -2.88%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -7.92%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-26 05:54
Unibet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.31%EV -6.73%E -3.85%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -7.92%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -5.74%E -1.67%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 05:54
Unibet (NL)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.31%EV -6.73%E -3.85%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -7.92%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -5.74%E -1.67%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 05:54
Unibet (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.31%EV -6.73%E -3.85%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -7.92%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -5.74%E -1.67%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 05:55
Casumo1.75I 57.14%NM 53.31%EV -6.73%E -3.85%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -7.92%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -5.74%E -1.67%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 05:50
betPARX1.75I 57.14%NM 53.31%EV -6.73%E -3.85%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -7.92%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -5.74%E -1.67%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 05:54
ATG (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.31%EV -6.73%E -3.85%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -7.92%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -5.74%E -1.67%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 05:54
Svenska Spel1.75I 57.14%NM 53.31%EV -6.73%E -3.85%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -7.92%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -5.74%E -1.67%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 05:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -6.73%E -3.85%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -7.92%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-26 05:54
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.39%EV -7.80%E -4.51%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV -7.92%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-24 19:50
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 53.34%EV -8.87%E -5.18%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -10.83%E -2.35%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 07:03
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -6.73%E -3.85%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -10.83%E -2.35%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -11.21%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-26 05:50
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -6.73%E -3.85%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -10.83%E -2.35%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -11.21%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-26 05:55
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -6.73%E -3.85%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -10.83%E -2.35%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -11.21%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-26 05:50
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -6.73%E -3.85%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -10.83%E -2.35%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -11.21%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-26 05:54
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 52.98%EV -8.33%E -4.84%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -10.83%E -2.35%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -8.48%E -2.53%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-26 05:50
betano_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 53.06%EV -9.40%E -5.53%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -10.83%E -2.35%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-26 06:24
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 53.06%EV -9.40%E -5.53%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -10.83%E -2.35%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-26 06:24
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -7.27%E -4.18%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -12.77%E -2.84%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 05:55
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 51.88%EV -6.73%E -3.85%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.18%EV -12.77%E -2.84%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -11.21%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 08:00
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 52.39%EV -7.80%E -4.51%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -12.77%E -2.84%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-26 05:53
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 52.17%EV -7.80%E -4.51%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.06%EV -12.77%E -2.84%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -11.21%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-26 05:55
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 52.83%EV -9.40%E -5.53%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -12.77%E -2.84%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-26 05:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 53.12%EV -10.46%E -6.23%K -15.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.83%EV -12.77%E -2.84%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-26 05:55
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 53.27%EV -11.00%E -6.59%K -16.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -12.77%E -2.84%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-26 05:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.59%EV -9.40%E -5.53%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -14.71%E -3.34%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 07:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.59%EV -9.40%E -5.53%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -14.71%E -3.34%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 07:04
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 52.59%EV -9.40%E -5.53%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -14.71%E -3.34%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 07:04
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 52.59%EV -9.40%E -5.53%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -14.71%E -3.34%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 07:04
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 52.67%EV -10.46%E -6.23%K -15.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.11%EV -14.71%E -3.34%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -11.21%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-26 05:55
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 52.96%EV -11.53%E -6.95%K -17.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.98%EV -14.71%E -3.34%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.05%EV -11.21%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-26 05:55
LiveScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 52.96%EV -11.53%E -6.95%K -17.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.98%EV -14.71%E -3.34%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.05%EV -11.21%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-26 05:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 55.56%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.09%1.1%2026-07-26 08:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.56%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.09%1.1%2026-07-26 08:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.56%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.09%1.1%2026-07-26 08:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 55.70%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.30%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01%1.4%2026-07-26 08:40
Smarkets1.78I 56.18%NM 55.35%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.28%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.37%1.5%2026-07-26 08:25