Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Criciuma v Nautico PE

Inizio: 2026-07-26 19:02 UTC

Finale: Criciuma 0–0 Nautico PE

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

46 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Criciuma (Casa)

Previsione 61.02%1.64quota equa
EV -6.03%
Vantaggio -3.91%
Kelly -11.16%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.54

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
59.32%61.18%60.83%62.97%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.441.511.501.5469.44%66.44%66.67%64.94%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Nautico PE (Trasferta)

Previsione 14.94%6.70quota equa
EV +12.17%
Vantaggio +1.62%
Kelly +1.87%
Crescita +0.228%

ipotizzando la quota massima 7.51

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
12.74%14.84%15.12%16.95%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
5.256.046.007.5119.05%16.56%16.67%13.32%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 24.04%4.16quota equa
EV -2.63%
Vantaggio -0.650%
Kelly -0.862%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.05

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.89%23.98%24.05%25.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.603.813.804.0527.78%26.23%26.32%24.69%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Criciuma (Casa): 61.02%; Nautico PE (Trasferta): 14.94%; Pareggio: 24.04%. Per Nautico PE (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 6.70. 6 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 7.51, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +12.17%.

Quote dei bookmaker (46 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.97%EV -7.25%E -4.77%K -13.94%G +0.000%7.51I 13.32%NM 12.74%EV +12.17%E +1.62%K +1.87%G +0.228%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.29%EV -5.28%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-26 18:59
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.15%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV +4.56%E +0.651%K +0.759%G +0.035%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 18:45
FanDuel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.15%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV +4.56%E +0.651%K +0.759%G +0.035%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 18:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.49%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.78%EV +1.57%E +0.231%K +0.270%G +0.004%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -5.03%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 19:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.49%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.78%EV +1.57%E +0.231%K +0.270%G +0.004%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -5.03%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 19:00
BetUS🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.49%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.78%EV +1.57%E +0.231%K +0.270%G +0.004%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -5.03%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 18:59
Coolbet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.24%EV -6.64%E -4.34%K -12.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.42%EV -2.91%E -0.448%K -0.530%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -7.44%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 18:36
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.75%EV -7.86%E -5.20%K -15.41%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.34%EV -2.91%E -0.448%K -0.530%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.24%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 19:00
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.52%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -2.91%E -0.448%K -0.530%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 18:30
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.12%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -2.91%E -0.448%K -0.530%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -11.05%E -2.99%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 18:55
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.08%EV -12.13%E -8.42%K -27.57%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.75%EV -2.91%E -0.448%K -0.530%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -11.05%E -2.99%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.08%EV -12.13%E -8.42%K -27.57%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.75%EV -2.91%E -0.448%K -0.530%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -11.05%E -2.99%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 18:45
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.11%EV -6.64%E -4.34%K -12.52%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.61%EV -4.41%E -0.689%K -0.816%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.28%EV -7.44%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 19:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.63%EV -9.69%E -6.55%K -20.18%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.48%EV -4.41%E -0.689%K -0.816%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.89%EV -2.63%E -0.650%K -0.862%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 18:59
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.83%EV -7.25%E -4.77%K -13.94%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.16%EV -8.89%E -1.46%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -7.44%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-26 19:00
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.83%EV -7.25%E -4.77%K -13.94%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.16%EV -8.89%E -1.46%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -7.44%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-26 18:59
Casumo🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.73%EV -6.03%E -3.91%K -11.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -5.03%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 19:00
betPARX🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.73%EV -6.03%E -3.91%K -11.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -5.03%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 19:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.86%EV -7.25%E -4.77%K -13.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -6.24%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-26 18:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.13%EV -6.64%E -4.34%K -12.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 18:35
Codere (IT)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.64%EV -7.86%E -5.20%K -15.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 19:00
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.41%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -11.05%E -2.99%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-26 18:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.41%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -11.05%E -2.99%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-26 18:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.41%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -11.05%E -2.99%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-26 18:59
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -13.45%E -3.74%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 18:35
Unibet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.03%E -3.91%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.04%EV -13.37%E -2.30%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -5.03%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 18:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.03%E -3.91%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.04%EV -13.37%E -2.30%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -5.03%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 18:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.03%E -3.91%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.04%EV -13.37%E -2.30%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -5.03%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 18:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.03%E -3.91%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.04%EV -13.37%E -2.30%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -5.03%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 18:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.03%E -3.91%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.04%EV -13.37%E -2.30%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -5.03%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 18:55
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.67%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.69%EV -13.37%E -2.30%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -7.44%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-26 18:35
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.58%EV -6.03%E -3.91%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.96%EV -14.12%E -2.45%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 19:00
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.50%EV -7.25%E -4.77%K -13.94%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -14.12%E -2.45%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -12.25%E -3.36%K -4.62%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-26 18:55
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.01%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.66%EV -14.12%E -2.45%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -11.05%E -2.99%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 18:55
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.01%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.66%EV -14.12%E -2.45%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -11.05%E -2.99%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 18:59
Grosvenor🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.12%EV -9.08%E -6.09%K -18.53%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.00%EV -16.36%E -2.92%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-26 19:00
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -6.64%E -4.34%K -12.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -17.85%E -3.25%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -6.24%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 19:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -17.85%E -3.25%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-26 18:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -17.85%E -3.25%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-26 18:35
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -17.85%E -3.25%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-26 18:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 59.94%EV -9.08%E -6.09%K -18.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.24%EV -17.85%E -3.25%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-26 18:55
TABtouch🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.10%EV -9.69%E -6.55%K -20.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.17%EV -17.85%E -3.25%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-26 18:55
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.76%EV -12.13%E -8.42%K -27.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.91%EV -17.85%E -3.25%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.33%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-26 18:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 60.06%EV -10.91%E -7.47%K -23.71%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.24%EV -19.34%E -3.58%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.70%EV -11.05%E -2.99%K -4.09%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-26 18:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 60.06%EV -10.91%E -7.47%K -23.71%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.24%EV -19.34%E -3.58%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.70%EV -11.05%E -2.99%K -4.09%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-26 18:55
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.32%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -21.58%E -4.11%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-26 19:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.56I 64.10%NM 63.85%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.29%0.4%2026-07-26 19:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.66%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22%0.7%2026-07-26 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.47%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15%1.0%2026-07-26 19:00
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 63.62%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.33%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%1.4%2026-07-26 19:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.62%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.33%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%1.4%2026-07-26 19:00