StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Criciuma v Nautico PE

Spielbeginn: 2026-07-26 19:02 UTC

Endstand: Criciuma 0–0 Nautico PE

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

46 Wettanbieter (16 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Criciuma (Heim)

Prognose 61.02%1.64faire Quote
EV -6.03%
Vorteil -3.91%
Kelly -11.16%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.54

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
59.32%61.18%60.83%62.97%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.441.511.501.5469.44%66.44%66.67%64.94%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Nautico PE (Auswärts)

Prognose 14.94%6.70faire Quote
EV +12.17%
Vorteil +1.62%
Kelly +1.87%
Wachstum +0.228%

bei einer Höchstquote von 7.51

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
12.74%14.84%15.12%16.95%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
5.256.046.007.5119.05%16.56%16.67%13.32%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 24.04%4.16faire Quote
EV -2.63%
Vorteil -0.650%
Kelly -0.862%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.05

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
22.89%23.98%24.05%25.00%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.603.813.804.0527.78%26.23%26.32%24.69%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Criciuma (Heim): 61.02%; Nautico PE (Auswärts): 14.94%; Unentschieden: 24.04%. Für Nautico PE (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 6.70. 6 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 7.51 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +12.17%.

Wettanbieterquoten (46 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.97%EV -7.25%E -4.77%K -13.94%G +0.000%7.51I 13.32%NM 12.74%EV +12.17%E +1.62%K +1.87%G +0.228%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.29%EV -5.28%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-26 18:59
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.15%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV +4.56%E +0.651%K +0.759%G +0.035%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 18:45
FanDuel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.15%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV +4.56%E +0.651%K +0.759%G +0.035%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 18:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.49%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.78%EV +1.57%E +0.231%K +0.270%G +0.004%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -5.03%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 19:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.49%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.78%EV +1.57%E +0.231%K +0.270%G +0.004%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -5.03%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 19:00
BetUS🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.49%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.78%EV +1.57%E +0.231%K +0.270%G +0.004%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -5.03%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 18:59
Coolbet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.24%EV -6.64%E -4.34%K -12.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.42%EV -2.91%E -0.448%K -0.530%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -7.44%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 18:36
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.75%EV -7.86%E -5.20%K -15.41%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.34%EV -2.91%E -0.448%K -0.530%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.24%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 19:00
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.52%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -2.91%E -0.448%K -0.530%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 18:30
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.12%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -2.91%E -0.448%K -0.530%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -11.05%E -2.99%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 18:55
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.08%EV -12.13%E -8.42%K -27.57%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.75%EV -2.91%E -0.448%K -0.530%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -11.05%E -2.99%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.08%EV -12.13%E -8.42%K -27.57%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.75%EV -2.91%E -0.448%K -0.530%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -11.05%E -2.99%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 18:45
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.11%EV -6.64%E -4.34%K -12.52%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.61%EV -4.41%E -0.689%K -0.816%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.28%EV -7.44%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 19:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.63%EV -9.69%E -6.55%K -20.18%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.48%EV -4.41%E -0.689%K -0.816%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.89%EV -2.63%E -0.650%K -0.862%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 18:59
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.83%EV -7.25%E -4.77%K -13.94%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.16%EV -8.89%E -1.46%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -7.44%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-26 19:00
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.83%EV -7.25%E -4.77%K -13.94%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.16%EV -8.89%E -1.46%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -7.44%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-26 18:59
Casumo🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.73%EV -6.03%E -3.91%K -11.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -5.03%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 19:00
betPARX🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.73%EV -6.03%E -3.91%K -11.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -5.03%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 19:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.86%EV -7.25%E -4.77%K -13.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -6.24%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-26 18:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.13%EV -6.64%E -4.34%K -12.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 18:35
Codere (IT)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.64%EV -7.86%E -5.20%K -15.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 19:00
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.41%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -11.05%E -2.99%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-26 18:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.41%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -11.05%E -2.99%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-26 18:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.41%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -11.05%E -2.99%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-26 18:59
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -10.38%E -1.73%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -13.45%E -3.74%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 18:35
Unibet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.03%E -3.91%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.04%EV -13.37%E -2.30%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -5.03%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 18:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.03%E -3.91%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.04%EV -13.37%E -2.30%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -5.03%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 18:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.03%E -3.91%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.04%EV -13.37%E -2.30%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -5.03%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 18:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.03%E -3.91%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.04%EV -13.37%E -2.30%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -5.03%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 18:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.03%E -3.91%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.04%EV -13.37%E -2.30%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -5.03%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 18:55
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.67%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.69%EV -13.37%E -2.30%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -7.44%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-26 18:35
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.58%EV -6.03%E -3.91%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.96%EV -14.12%E -2.45%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 19:00
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.50%EV -7.25%E -4.77%K -13.94%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -14.12%E -2.45%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -12.25%E -3.36%K -4.62%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-26 18:55
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.01%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.66%EV -14.12%E -2.45%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -11.05%E -2.99%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 18:55
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.01%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.66%EV -14.12%E -2.45%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -11.05%E -2.99%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 18:59
Grosvenor🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.12%EV -9.08%E -6.09%K -18.53%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.00%EV -16.36%E -2.92%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-26 19:00
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -6.64%E -4.34%K -12.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -17.85%E -3.25%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -6.24%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 19:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -17.85%E -3.25%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-26 18:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -17.85%E -3.25%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-26 18:35
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -17.85%E -3.25%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-26 18:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 59.94%EV -9.08%E -6.09%K -18.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.24%EV -17.85%E -3.25%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-26 18:55
TABtouch🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.10%EV -9.69%E -6.55%K -20.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.17%EV -17.85%E -3.25%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-26 18:55
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.76%EV -12.13%E -8.42%K -27.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.91%EV -17.85%E -3.25%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.33%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-26 18:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 60.06%EV -10.91%E -7.47%K -23.71%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.24%EV -19.34%E -3.58%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.70%EV -11.05%E -2.99%K -4.09%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-26 18:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 60.06%EV -10.91%E -7.47%K -23.71%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.24%EV -19.34%E -3.58%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.70%EV -11.05%E -2.99%K -4.09%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-26 18:55
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.32%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -21.58%E -4.11%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-26 19:00
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook1.56I 64.10%NM 63.85%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.29%0.4%2026-07-26 19:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.66%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22%0.7%2026-07-26 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.47%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15%1.0%2026-07-26 19:00
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 63.62%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.33%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%1.4%2026-07-26 19:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.62%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.33%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%1.4%2026-07-26 19:00