The School of Odds

Botafogo v Juventude

2026-07-24 00:30 UTC — Brazil Série B

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Botafogo (Local)

Prediction 36.28%2.76fair odd
EV -7.49%
Edge -2.94%
Kelly -4.83%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.28%36.28%36.28%36.52%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.402.502.552.5542%40%39%39%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Juventude (Visit)

Prediction 32.98%3.03fair odd
EV -7.66%
Edge -2.73%
Kelly -4.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.87%32.98%32.98%33.16%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.652.752.802.8038%36%36%36%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 30.74%3.25fair odd
EV -6.23%
Edge -2.04%
Kelly -3.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.44%30.74%30.74%30.74%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.852.983.053.0535%34%33%33%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -7.49%E -2.94%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -7.66%E -2.73%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -6.23%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-17 01:15
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -7.49%E -2.94%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -7.66%E -2.73%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -6.23%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-17 01:15
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -7.49%E -2.94%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -7.66%E -2.73%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -6.23%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-17 01:15
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -7.49%E -2.94%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -7.66%E -2.73%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -6.23%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-17 01:15
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -7.49%E -2.94%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -7.66%E -2.73%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -6.23%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-17 01:15
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -7.49%E -2.94%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -7.66%E -2.73%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -6.23%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-17 01:15
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -7.49%E -2.94%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -7.66%E -2.73%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -6.23%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-17 01:15
BetRivers2.50I 40.00%NM 36.28%EV -9.31%E -3.72%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -9.31%E -3.38%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -9.31%E -3.15%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-17 01:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -11.12%E -4.54%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -10.96%E -4.06%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -10.84%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-17 01:15
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -11.12%E -4.54%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -10.96%E -4.06%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -10.84%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-17 01:15
TABtouch2.43I 41.15%NM 36.52%EV -11.85%E -4.88%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.87%EV -10.96%E -4.06%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -10.84%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-17 01:15
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 36.39%EV -12.93%E -5.39%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.96%EV -12.60%E -4.76%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.65%EV -12.38%E -4.34%K -6.69%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-17 01:15
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 36.39%EV -12.93%E -5.39%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.96%EV -12.60%E -4.76%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.65%EV -12.38%E -4.34%K -6.69%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-17 01:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.