Language:English
Botafogo v Juventude
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Botafogo (Local)
Prediction 35.71%2.80fair odd
EV -3.59%
Edge -1.33%
Kelly -2.11%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.75%35.73%35.71%37.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.542.552.7042.02%39.35%39.22%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Juventude (Visit)
Prediction 32.06%3.12fair odd
EV -2.21%
Edge -0.724%
Kelly -1.08%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.45%32.11%32.09%34.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.862.883.0537.74%34.97%34.72%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 32.23%3.10fair odd
EV -4.60%
Edge -1.55%
Kelly -2.35%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.96
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.16%32.16%32.20%33.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.852.842.9636.36%35.10%35.21%33.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Botafogo (Local): 35.71%; Juventude (Visit): 32.06%; Draw: 32.23%. For Juventude (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.12. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.05, with an expected value of -2.21%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.59%E -1.33%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.31%EV -6.38%E -2.18%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.76%EV -7.18%E -2.49%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-24 00:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.59%E -1.33%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.31%EV -6.38%E -2.18%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.76%EV -7.18%E -2.49%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-24 00:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.92%EV -4.31%E -1.61%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.56%EV -2.21%E -0.724%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.52%EV -4.60%E -1.55%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-24 00:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -5.38%E -2.03%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -3.81%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -6.53%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-24 00:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.23%EV -6.45%E -2.46%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.73%EV -9.11%E -3.23%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-23 23:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.23%EV -6.45%E -2.46%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.73%EV -9.11%E -3.23%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-23 23:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -4.92%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-23 23:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -6.53%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-24 00:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 31.84%EV -6.70%E -2.30%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -8.14%E -2.86%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-24 00:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.60%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.48%EV -8.14%E -2.86%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-23 23:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-24 00:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.20%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.11%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-23 23:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.20%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.11%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-23 23:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -11.37%E -4.13%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-24 00:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -11.37%E -4.13%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-24 00:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -11.37%E -4.13%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-24 00:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -11.37%E -4.13%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-24 00:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.09%EV -15.03%E -5.67%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -6.53%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-24 00:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.70%EV -7.88%E -3.05%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.54%EV -8.79%E -3.11%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-24 00:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -8.95%E -3.51%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -4.92%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-23 23:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -8.95%E -3.51%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -4.92%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-23 23:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -8.95%E -3.51%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -6.53%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-23 23:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -8.95%E -3.51%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.64%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.52%EV -6.53%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-24 00:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -8.95%E -3.51%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.28%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.28%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-23 23:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -8.95%E -3.51%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.28%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.28%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-24 00:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -8.95%E -3.51%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.67%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.09%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-24 00:19 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -8.95%E -3.51%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.67%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.09%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-24 00:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -4.92%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-23 23:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -4.92%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-23 23:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -4.92%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-23 23:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -4.92%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-23 23:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -4.92%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-23 23:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -4.92%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-23 23:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -4.92%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-23 23:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -7.18%E -2.49%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-24 00:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-23 23:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-24 00:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -11.37%E -4.13%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-23 23:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -11.37%E -4.13%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-23 23:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -11.37%E -4.13%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-23 23:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -11.37%E -4.13%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-23 23:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -12.52%E -5.11%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.49%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.49%EV -7.18%E -2.49%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-23 23:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.96%EV -13.23%E -5.45%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.52%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.52%EV -8.14%E -2.86%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-23 23:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.05%EV -14.30%E -5.96%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.75%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.20%EV -8.14%E -2.86%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-23 23:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.84%EV -14.30%E -5.96%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-07-23 23:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.84%EV -14.30%E -5.96%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-07-24 00:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.83%EV -15.02%E -6.31%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.87%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.30%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-07-23 23:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.83%EV -15.02%E -6.31%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.87%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.30%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-07-23 23:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.82% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.59% | 0.6% | 2026-07-24 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.99% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.50% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50% | 0.9% | 2026-07-24 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.99% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.50% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50% | 0.9% | 2026-07-24 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.99% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.50% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50% | 0.9% | 2026-07-24 00:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.82% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.83% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.35% | 1.4% | 2026-07-24 00:25 |