L’École des cotesBotafogo v Juventude
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Botafogo (Local)
Prévision 35.71%2.80cote équitable
EV -3.59%
Avantage -1.33%
Kelly -2.11%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.70
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.75%35.73%35.71%37.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.382.542.552.7042.02%39.35%39.22%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Juventude (Visiteur)
Prévision 32.06%3.12cote équitable
EV -2.21%
Avantage -0.724%
Kelly -1.08%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.05
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.45%32.11%32.09%34.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.652.862.883.0537.74%34.97%34.72%32.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 32.23%3.10cote équitable
EV -4.60%
Avantage -1.55%
Kelly -2.35%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.96
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.16%32.16%32.20%33.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.752.852.842.9636.36%35.10%35.21%33.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.59%E -1.33%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.31%EV -6.38%E -2.18%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.76%EV -7.18%E -2.49%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-24 00:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.59%E -1.33%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.31%EV -6.38%E -2.18%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.76%EV -7.18%E -2.49%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-24 00:20 |
| Pinnacle | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.92%EV -4.31%E -1.61%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.56%EV -2.21%E -0.724%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.52%EV -4.60%E -1.55%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-24 00:20 |
| DraftKings | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -5.38%E -2.03%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -3.81%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -6.53%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-24 00:00 |
| NordicBet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.23%EV -6.45%E -2.46%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.73%EV -9.11%E -3.23%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-23 23:50 |
| Betsson | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.23%EV -6.45%E -2.46%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.73%EV -9.11%E -3.23%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-23 23:50 |
| Coolbet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -4.92%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-23 23:50 |
| Betway | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -6.53%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-24 00:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 31.84%EV -6.70%E -2.30%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -8.14%E -2.86%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-24 00:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.60%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.48%EV -8.14%E -2.86%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-23 23:50 |
| BetUS | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-24 00:15 |
| LeoVegas | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.20%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.11%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-23 23:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.20%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.11%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-23 23:50 |
| 888sport | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -11.37%E -4.13%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-24 00:15 |
| William Hill | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -11.37%E -4.13%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-24 00:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -11.37%E -4.13%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-24 00:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -11.37%E -4.13%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-24 00:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.09%EV -15.03%E -5.67%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -6.53%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-24 00:05 |
| Bovada | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.70%EV -7.88%E -3.05%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.54%EV -8.79%E -3.11%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-24 00:20 |
| SportsBet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -8.95%E -3.51%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -4.92%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-23 23:50 |
| FanDuel | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -8.95%E -3.51%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -4.92%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-23 23:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -8.95%E -3.51%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -6.53%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-23 23:50 |
| theScore Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -8.95%E -3.51%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.64%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.52%EV -6.53%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-24 00:10 |
| BetMGM | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -8.95%E -3.51%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.28%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.28%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-23 23:45 |
| PlayUp | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -8.95%E -3.51%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.28%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.28%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-24 00:15 |
| Bet Victor | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -8.95%E -3.51%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.67%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.09%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-24 00:19 |
| betano_uk | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -8.95%E -3.51%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.67%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.09%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-24 00:20 |
| Unibet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -4.92%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-23 23:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -4.92%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-23 23:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -4.92%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-23 23:50 |
| Casumo | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -4.92%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-23 23:50 |
| betPARX | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -4.92%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-23 23:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -4.92%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-23 23:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -4.92%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-23 23:50 |
| betfred_uk | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -7.18%E -2.49%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-24 00:10 |
| Paddy Power | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-23 23:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-24 00:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -11.37%E -4.13%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-23 23:45 |
| Neds | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -11.37%E -4.13%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-23 23:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -11.37%E -4.13%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-23 23:45 |
| Coral | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -11.37%E -4.13%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-23 23:50 |
| BetRivers | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -12.52%E -5.11%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.49%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.49%EV -7.18%E -2.49%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-23 23:50 |
| Grosvenor | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.96%EV -13.23%E -5.45%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.52%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.52%EV -8.14%E -2.86%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-23 23:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.05%EV -14.30%E -5.96%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.75%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.20%EV -8.14%E -2.86%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-23 23:50 |
| TABtouch | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.84%EV -14.30%E -5.96%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-07-23 23:50 |
| BoyleSports | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.84%EV -14.30%E -5.96%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-07-24 00:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.83%EV -15.02%E -6.31%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.87%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.30%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-07-23 23:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.83%EV -15.02%E -6.31%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.87%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.30%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-07-23 23:50 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.82% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.59% | 0.6% | 2026-07-24 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.99% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.50% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50% | 0.9% | 2026-07-24 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.99% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.50% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50% | 0.9% | 2026-07-24 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.99% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.50% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50% | 0.9% | 2026-07-24 00:25 |
| Smarkets | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.82% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.83% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.35% | 1.4% | 2026-07-24 00:25 |