La escuela de los momiosBotafogo v Juventude
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Botafogo (Local)
Predicción 35.71%2.80momio equitativo
EV -3.59%
Ventaja -1.33%
Kelly -2.11%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.75%35.73%35.71%37.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.382.542.552.7042.02%39.35%39.22%37.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Juventude (Visitante)
Predicción 32.06%3.12momio equitativo
EV -2.21%
Ventaja -0.724%
Kelly -1.08%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.45%32.11%32.09%34.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.652.862.883.0537.74%34.97%34.72%32.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 32.23%3.10momio equitativo
EV -4.60%
Ventaja -1.55%
Kelly -2.35%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.96
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.16%32.16%32.20%33.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.752.852.842.9636.36%35.10%35.21%33.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.59%E -1.33%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.31%EV -6.38%E -2.18%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.76%EV -7.18%E -2.49%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-24 00:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.59%E -1.33%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.31%EV -6.38%E -2.18%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.76%EV -7.18%E -2.49%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-24 00:20 |
| Pinnacle | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.92%EV -4.31%E -1.61%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.56%EV -2.21%E -0.724%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.52%EV -4.60%E -1.55%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-24 00:20 |
| DraftKings | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -5.38%E -2.03%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -3.81%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -6.53%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-24 00:00 |
| NordicBet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.23%EV -6.45%E -2.46%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.73%EV -9.11%E -3.23%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-23 23:50 |
| Betsson | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.23%EV -6.45%E -2.46%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.73%EV -9.11%E -3.23%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-23 23:50 |
| Coolbet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -4.92%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-23 23:50 |
| Betway | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -6.53%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-24 00:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 31.84%EV -6.70%E -2.30%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -8.14%E -2.86%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-24 00:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.60%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.48%EV -8.14%E -2.86%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-23 23:50 |
| BetUS | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-24 00:15 |
| LeoVegas | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.20%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.11%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-23 23:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.20%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.11%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-23 23:50 |
| 888sport | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -11.37%E -4.13%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-24 00:15 |
| William Hill | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -11.37%E -4.13%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-24 00:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -11.37%E -4.13%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-24 00:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -11.37%E -4.13%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-24 00:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -7.16%E -2.75%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.09%EV -15.03%E -5.67%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -6.53%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-24 00:05 |
| Bovada | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.70%EV -7.88%E -3.05%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.54%EV -8.79%E -3.11%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-24 00:20 |
| SportsBet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -8.95%E -3.51%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -4.92%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-23 23:50 |
| FanDuel | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -8.95%E -3.51%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -4.92%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-23 23:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -8.95%E -3.51%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -6.53%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-23 23:50 |
| theScore Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -8.95%E -3.51%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.64%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.52%EV -6.53%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-24 00:10 |
| BetMGM | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -8.95%E -3.51%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.28%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.28%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-23 23:45 |
| PlayUp | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -8.95%E -3.51%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.28%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.28%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-24 00:15 |
| Bet Victor | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -8.95%E -3.51%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.67%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.09%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-24 00:19 |
| betano_uk | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -8.95%E -3.51%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.67%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.09%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-24 00:20 |
| Unibet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -4.92%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-23 23:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -4.92%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-23 23:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -4.92%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-23 23:50 |
| Casumo | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -4.92%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-23 23:50 |
| betPARX | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -4.92%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-23 23:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -4.92%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-23 23:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.45%EV -4.92%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-23 23:50 |
| betfred_uk | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -7.18%E -2.49%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-24 00:10 |
| Paddy Power | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-23 23:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-24 00:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -11.37%E -4.13%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-23 23:45 |
| Neds | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -11.37%E -4.13%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-23 23:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -11.37%E -4.13%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-23 23:45 |
| Coral | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -10.73%E -4.29%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -11.37%E -4.13%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-23 23:50 |
| BetRivers | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -12.52%E -5.11%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.49%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.49%EV -7.18%E -2.49%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-23 23:50 |
| Grosvenor | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.96%EV -13.23%E -5.45%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.52%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.52%EV -8.14%E -2.86%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-23 23:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.05%EV -14.30%E -5.96%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.75%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.20%EV -8.14%E -2.86%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-23 23:50 |
| TABtouch | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.84%EV -14.30%E -5.96%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-07-23 23:50 |
| BoyleSports | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.84%EV -14.30%E -5.96%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-07-24 00:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.83%EV -15.02%E -6.31%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.87%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.30%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-07-23 23:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.83%EV -15.02%E -6.31%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.87%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.30%EV -9.76%E -3.48%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-07-23 23:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.82% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.59% | 0.6% | 2026-07-24 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.99% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.50% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50% | 0.9% | 2026-07-24 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.99% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.50% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50% | 0.9% | 2026-07-24 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.99% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.50% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50% | 0.9% | 2026-07-24 00:25 |
| Smarkets | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.82% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.83% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.35% | 1.4% | 2026-07-24 00:25 |